Lillestrøm vs Viking preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Åråsen Stadion Wed, 22 Jul - 5:00 PM
Eliteserien
LillestrømLILL
1 2
VikingVIK
Full Time Wed, 22 Jul 5:00 PM
Round 11 Regular Season
Lars Ranger - 63'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Lillestrøm hosted Viking in a competitive encounter that concluded with a 1-2 scoreline in favor of the away side. The first half ended with Lillestrøm trailing 0-1 after Viking took an early advantage. Expected goals were remarkably close with Lillestrøm at 0.98 and Viking at 0.97, indicating a tight contest on paper. However, the actual result diverged from these metrics as Viking claimed the victory. Home possession stood at 53 percent compared to 47 percent for the visitors. Neither team received any red cards during the match. Viking, identified as the stronger team beforehand, managed to secure the win despite the minimal xG differential of 0.01. The game featured no major disruptions and proceeded without significant structural changes. This outcome highlighted the challenges in predicting results based solely on possession and xG data when small margins decide the match.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Viking exhibited a significant structural deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall performance metrics.
  • xG alignment: The match outcome was not consistent with the expected goals alignment.
  • Market alignment: The result showed true market alignment despite the close contest.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals were nearly identical at 0.98 for Lillestrøm and 0.97 for Viking.
  • Event impact: The away team's halftime lead of 1-0 proved decisive in the final 2-1 outcome.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were recorded, resulting in zero distortion to the game flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Saggi
R. Saggi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Langseth
R. Langseth
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Alnes Dyb
J. Alnes Dyb
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
H. Holthe
H. Holthe
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
VS
Viking M. Jensen
M. Jensen
1.92
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.5
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
KFUM Rank: 59 W
Fredrikstad Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 61 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 L
Sandefjord Rank: 62 W
Rosenborg Rank: 64 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sandefjord Rank: 62 W
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 62 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 W
Start Rank: 51 W
KFUM Rank: 58 W
Rosenborg Rank: 64 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.99
79.95
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lillestrøm
Viking
Power Score
49.99
79.95
League Position
4
1
Global Rank
541
75

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score
Viking — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lillestrøm Viking

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Viking

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lillestrøm ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Viking
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.42
29.15
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.15
21.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lillestrøm -0.75 Efficiency Index
vs
Viking +0.75 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lillestrøm
Viking
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lillestrøm
vs
Viking
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lillestrøm Viking
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
66%
37%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.64 vs -0.36
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lillestrøm Viking
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
37%
66%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.36 vs -0.64
Lillestrøm
Viking
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lillestrøm
vs
Viking
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lillestrøm Viking
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lillestrøm 0.37
Viking 0.20
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lillestrøm Viking
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lillestrøm 0.04
Viking 0.04
Lillestrøm
Viking
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • VIK had peak pressure around 57'.
  • VIK started the game with stronger pressure.
LILL Pressure VIK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: VIK reached the top pressure at 57' (77.54).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lillestrøm LILL Home
2 matches
Viking VIK Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
5
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-23T00:00:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 22, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 11 · Regular Season
Stadium
Åråsen Stadion
Capacity
12250
Attendance
8177
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rohit Saggi
Runar Langseth
Jim André Alnes Dyb
Herman Holthe

Statistics

Possession
LILL
51%
VIK
49%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
4 Shots 4
27 Dangerous attacks 54
53 Possession 47
3 Corners 9
20 Free kicks 17
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

84 Ball Safe 73
13 Goal Kicks 5
5 Goal Attempts 12
5 Substitutions 5
26 Throwins 18
9 Dribble Attempts 12
3 Successful Dribbles 3
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

Attacking

90 Attacks 102
1 Counter Attacks 2

Possession

61 Long Passes 69
507 Passes 435
395 Successful Passes 336
78 Successful Passes Percentage 77
8 Key Passes 8
17 Successful Long Passes 21
28 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30

Defensive

5 Saves 0
14 Tackles 15
8 Interceptions 9
59 Duels Won 49

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 22
5 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 20

Lineup

Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
6.97
2
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger Defender
7.31
4
Espen Garnås
Espen Garnås Defender
6.72
11
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær Defender
6.77
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen (C) Defender
7.05
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk Midfielder
6.33
18
Kevin Krygård
Kevin Krygård
Midfielder64'
6.65
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Midfielder
6.81
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá Midfielder
6.73
9
Kparobo Arierhi
Kparobo Arierhi
Attacker83'
6.45
26
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil Midfielder
6.62
77
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Attacker64'
6.26
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj Midfielder
6.6
6
Harald Woxen
Harald Woxen
Midfielder84'
6.64
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
Thomas Lehne Olsen Attacker
6.44
15
Gustav Nordh
Gustav Nordh
Attacker77'
6.53
Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

30
Lubomir Belko
Lubomir Belko Goalkeeper
6.07
5
Henrik Heggheim
Henrik Heggheim Defender
6.82
18
Sondre Bjørshol
Sondre Bjørshol
Defender46'
6.96
6
Gianni Stensness
Gianni Stensness Defender
6.74
21
Anders Bærtelsen
Anders Bærtelsen Defender
7.02
28
Kristoffer Haugen
Kristoffer Haugen Defender
6.33
24
Vetle Auklend
Vetle Auklend
Defender78'
6.41
7
Kristoffer Askildsen
Kristoffer Askildsen Midfielder
7.54
8
Joe Bell
Joe Bell Midfielder
6.85
10
Zlatko Tripic
Zlatko Tripic (C) Midfielder
6.91
23
Niklas Fuglestad
Niklas Fuglestad
Attacker62'
6.6
17
Edvin Austbø
Edvin Austbø Midfielder
6.78
16
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte
Midfielder63'
6.47
26
Simen Kvia-Egeskog
Simen Kvia-Egeskog Midfielder
6.3
20
Peter Christiansen
Peter Christiansen Attacker
7.39
3
Viljar Vevatne
Viljar Vevatne
Defender89'

Events

2ND-HALF
89'
Event
Viljar Vevatne → Peter Christiansen
10th Substitution
Event
Harald Woxen → Y. Ibrahimaj
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Kparobo Arierhi → Felix Vá
8th Substitution
83'
78'
Event
Vetle Auklend → Kristoffer Haugen
7th Substitution
Event
Gustav Nordh → Thomas Lehne Olsen
6th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Ruben Alte
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Y. Ibrahimaj
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
74'
Event
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
70'
Event
Fredrik Gulbrandsen → Yaw Paintsil
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Kevin Krygård → Markus Karlsbakk
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Lars Ranger
Header / 3rd Goal
63'
63'
Event
Ruben Alte → Edvin Austbø
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Niklas Fuglestad → Zlatko Tripic
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Anders Bærtelsen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
58'
Event
Zlatko Tripic
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
55'
Event
Peter Christiansen
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
Sondre Bjørshol → Henrik Heggheim
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
31'
Event
Kristoffer Askildsen
Header / 1st Goal
25'
Event
Henrik Heggheim
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

CONCLUSION

The victory for Viking underscores their ability to capitalize on opportunities even when expected goals suggest parity. Lillestrøm created slightly more in terms of xG but failed to convert efficiently enough to overcome the deficit. The halftime score of 0-1 set the tone for the second half where adjustments were necessary but ultimately insufficient for the home team. With no red cards affecting play, the match remained balanced in terms of player numbers throughout. The significant deviation noted for the winning side points to effective execution beyond statistical projections. Overall, this result demonstrates the importance of clinical finishing and defensive resilience in close games where possession shares were nearly even.