Lillestrøm vs Sandefjord preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Åråsen Stadion Sat, 16 May - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Lillestrøm Lillestrøm
3 1
Sandefjord Sandefjord
Full Time Sat, 16 May 2:00 PM
Round 9 Regular Season
Lars Ranger - 12'
Gustav Nyheim - 84'
Linus Alperud - 90+3'
Goal
|
Goal
Nikolaj Möller - 49'
|
Second yellow card Zinedin Smajlović 87'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Lillestrøm 3–1 Sandefjord. The result saw Lillestrøm take the points. Lillestrøm showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Lillestrøm 1.8 – 1.5 Sandefjord. Possession was 53%–47%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Lillestrøm 3-1 Sandefjord. Lillestrøm showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: Red card(s) affected the match (Classify).
  • Red card distortion: Classify as red card distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
E. Eskås
E. Eskås
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Langseth
R. Langseth
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Engan
J. Engan
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Hafezi
M. Hafezi
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
VS
Sandefjord A. Tegström
A. Tegström
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.9
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rosenborg Rank: 62 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 60 W
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 81 L
Vålerenga Rank: 59 W
Tromsø Rank: 68 D
Start Rank: 49 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kristiansund Rank: 57 W
Aalesund Rank: 42 W
Tromsø Rank: 69 L
Rosenborg Rank: 61 D
Brann Rank: 69 W
KFUM Rank: 56 W
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 5 - 3
3

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lillestrøm
95.61%
Draw
4.2%
Away Sandefjord
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.62
61.19
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lillestrøm
Sandefjord
Power Score
49.62
61.19
League Position
3
8
Global Rank
557
434

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lillestrøm — Opponent-weighted form score
Sandefjord — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lillestrøm Sandefjord

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sandefjord

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lillestrøm ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sandefjord
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.60
28.94
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.94
31.60
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lillestrøm +0.27 Efficiency Index
vs
Sandefjord -0.27 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lillestrøm
Sandefjord
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lillestrøm
vs
Sandefjord
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lillestrøm Sandefjord
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lillestrøm Sandefjord
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
Lillestrøm
Sandefjord
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lillestrøm
vs
Sandefjord
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lillestrøm Sandefjord
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lillestrøm 0.25
Sandefjord 0.38
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lillestrøm Sandefjord
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lillestrøm 0.03
Sandefjord 0.05
Lillestrøm
Sandefjord
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Lillestrøm had peak pressure around 25'.
  • Lillestrøm started the game with stronger pressure.
Lillestrøm Pressure Sandefjord Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Lillestrøm reached the top pressure at 25' (74.22).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 22 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lillestrøm Lillestrøm Home
22 matches
Sandefjord Sandefjord Away
Match Record
14
Wins
3
5
Draws
5
3
Losses
14
Goals
41
Goals Scored
20
20
Goals Conceded
41
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-18T08:56:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch
P. Dahlberg
Sweden
12 P. Dahlberg
L. Ranger
Norway
2 L. Ranger
S. Foss
Norway
5 S. Foss
L. Gabrielsen
Norway
28 (C) L. Gabrielsen
S. Ottesen
Substitution
Norway
3 S. Ottesen
H. Woxen
Substitution
6 H. Woxen
C. Jebara
Substitution
Sweden
19 C. Jebara
M. Karlsbakk
Norway
8 M. Karlsbakk
G. Kjølstad Nyheim
Substitution
Norway
14 G. Kjølstad Nyheim
S. Drammeh
Substitution
Gambia
15 S. Drammeh
V. António Félix
Angola
20 V. António Félix
E. Hadaya
Sweden
30 E. Hadaya
V. Walle Egeli
Norway
3 V. Walle Egeli
X. Lambrix
Belgium
44 X. Lambrix
Z. Smajlovic
Sweden
2 Z. Smajlovic
F. Pedersen
Norway
4 F. Pedersen
S. Mørk
Norway
6 (C) S. Mørk
R. Kristensen Alte
Substitution
Norway
10 R. Kristensen Alte
M. Melchior
Substitution
Norway
20 M. Melchior
E. Sundbö Pettersen
Substitution
Norway
14 E. Sundbö Pettersen
B. Berntsen
Substitution
19 B. Berntsen
N. Moller
Substitution
Sweden
11 N. Moller

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 9 · Regular Season
Stadium
Åråsen Stadion
Capacity
12250
Attendance
9395
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Espen Eskås
Runar Langseth
Jan Erik Engan
Mohammad Hafezi

Statistics

Possession
Lillestrøm
54%
Sandefjord
46%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 1
14 Shots 12
55 Dangerous attacks 32
53 Possession 47
6 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 1

Match Overview

7 Successful Dribbles 3
1 Hit Woodwork 0
8 Goal Kicks 8
18 Throwins 17
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 17
0 Injuries 1
10 Goal Attempts 11
14 Dribble Attempts 18
63 Ball Safe 66
1 Assists 0
5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

105 Attacks 90
1 Counter Attacks 0
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

505 Passes 453
36 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31
66 Long Passes 48
9 Key Passes 5
81 Successful Passes Percentage 79
410 Successful Passes 358
24 Successful Long Passes 15

Defensive

6 Interceptions 11
5 Saves 3
20 Tackles 13
58 Duels Won 39

Build-up

6 Total Crosses 8
4 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

13 Fouls 12
4 Offsides 1

Lineup

Referee : Espen Eskås

Starting XI ▼

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
6.41
2
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger Defender
7.73
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen Defender
6.7
7
Linus Alperud
Linus Alperud
Midfielder78'
7.37
5
Sander Moen Foss
Sander Moen Foss Defender
6.58
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen (C) Defender
6.91
6
Harald Woxen
Harald Woxen Midfielder
6.99
4
Espen Garnås
Espen Garnås
Defender90'
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk Midfielder
7.32
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Midfielder
7.69
18
Kevin Krygård
Kevin Krygård
Midfielder88'
6.38
15
Salieu Drammeh
Salieu Drammeh Midfielder
6.93
26
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil
Midfielder88'
19
Camil Jebara
Camil Jebara Midfielder
6.96
11
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær
Defender78'
6.52
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá Attacker
7.79
Referee : Espen Eskås

Starting XI ▼

30
Elias Hadaya
Elias Hadaya Goalkeeper
6.25
2
Zinedin Smajlović
Zinedin Smajlović Defender
6.55
3
Vetle Walle Egeli
Vetle Walle Egeli Defender
6.2
4
Fredrik Carson Pedersen
Fredrik Carson Pedersen Defender
5.8
44
Xander Lambrix
Xander Lambrix Defender
6.08
6
Sander Risan Mørk
Sander Risan Mørk (C) Midfielder
6.45
10
Ruben Alte
Ruben Alte Midfielder
6.39
47
Stian Kristiansen
Stian Kristiansen
Defender90'
14
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
Edvard Sundbø Pettersen Midfielder
6.33
37
Jakob Vester
Jakob Vester
Midfielder60'
6.42
19
Bendik Berntsen
Bendik Berntsen Midfielder
6.7
7
Evangelos Patoulidis
Evangelos Patoulidis
Midfielder61'
6.85
20
Marcus Melchior
Marcus Melchior Midfielder
6.66
8
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic
Midfielder90'
11
Nikolaj Möller
Nikolaj Möller Attacker
7.13
24
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Sebastian Holm Mathisen
Attacker61'
6.67

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Linus Alperud
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
90+3'
Event
Kevin Krygård
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Espen Garnås → Harald Woxen
9th Substitution
90'
90'
Event
Stian Kristiansen → Ruben Alte
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Robin Dzabic → Marcus Melchior
8th Substitution
Event
Kevin Krygård → Gustav Nyheim
6th Substitution
88'
Event
Yaw Paintsil → Salieu Drammeh
7th Substitution
88'
87'
Event
Zinedin Smajlović
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Gustav Nyheim
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
84'
Event
Linus Alperud → Sturla Ottesen
4th Substitution
78'
Event
Frederik Elkær → Camil Jebara
5th Substitution
78'
Event
Gustav Nyheim
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
62'
Event
Zinedin Smajlović
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
61'
Event
Sebastian Holm Mathisen → Nikolaj Möller
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Evangelos Patoulidis → Bendik Berntsen
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Jakob Vester → Edvard Sundbø Pettersen
1st Substitution
49'
Event
Nikolaj Möller
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
1ST-HALF
30'
Event
Marcus Melchior
Argument / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Lars Ranger
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
12'

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Lillestrøm 3-1 Sandefjord. Structural assessment: Lillestrøm exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.