Lillestrøm vs KFUM preview

Norway flag 2026 Eliteserien, Norway
Åråsen Stadion Sat, 18 Jul - 2:00 PM
Eliteserien
Full Time Sat, 18 Jul 2:00 PM
Round 14 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Lillestrøm 2–1 KFUM. The result saw Lillestrøm take the points. Lillestrøm showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Lillestrøm 0.7 – 0.6 KFUM. Possession was 54%–46%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Lillestrøm 2-1 KFUM. Lillestrøm showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was consistent with expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Aligned with xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Sinnes
S. Sinnes
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Lundberg
M. Lundberg
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. B. V. Schulz
M. B. V. Schulz
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Bodding
A. Bodding
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lillestrøm H. Ødegaard
H. Ødegaard
VS
KFUM J. Isnes
J. Isnes
1.83
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Fredrikstad Rank: 63 W
HamKam Rank: 61 L
Kristiansund Rank: 56 L
Sandefjord Rank: 62 W
Rosenborg Rank: 64 L
Sarpsborg 08 Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Bodø / Glimt Rank: 83 L
Tromsø Rank: 71 D
Rosenborg Rank: 64 W
Brann Rank: 70 L
Viking Rank: 80 L
Vålerenga Rank: 61 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
49.98
58.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lillestrøm
KFUM
Power Score
49.98
58.22
League Position
4
13
Global Rank
530
587

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Lillestrøm Opponent-weighted form score
KFUM Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lillestrøm KFUM

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Lillestrøm

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

KFUM

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lillestrøm ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KFUM
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
15.65
21.52
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
21.52
15.65
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lillestrøm -0.57 Efficiency Index
vs
KFUM +0.57 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lillestrøm
KFUM
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lillestrøm
vs
KFUM
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lillestrøm KFUM
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
8%
8%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.06 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lillestrøm KFUM
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
8%
8%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs -0.06
Lillestrøm
KFUM
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Lillestrøm
vs
KFUM
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lillestrøm KFUM
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lillestrøm KFUM
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Lillestrøm
KFUM
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KFUM had peak pressure around 10'.
  • KFUM started the game with stronger pressure.
LILL Pressure KFUM Pressure
Pressure Index: KFUM reached the top pressure at 10' (62.67).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lillestrøm LILL Home
2 matches
KFUM KFUM Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-19T00:01:35+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 18, 2026, 02:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 14 · Regular Season
Stadium
Åråsen Stadion
Capacity
12250
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Svein Tore Sinnes
Magnus Lundberg
Marius Benkestok Vesterhus Schulz
Anders Bodding

Statistics

Possession
LILL
52%
KFUM
48%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 0
1 Shots 4
49 Dangerous attacks 58
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 4
13 Free kicks 9
0 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

71 Ball Safe 62
10 Goal Kicks 7
6 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
18 Throwins 23
1 Injuries 1
21 Dribble Attempts 17
6 Successful Dribbles 8
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

109 Attacks 125

Possession

54 Long Passes 88
558 Passes 455
451 Successful Passes 340
81 Successful Passes Percentage 75
5 Key Passes 4
20 Successful Long Passes 27
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 31

Defensive

3 Saves 2
16 Tackles 22
7 Interceptions 8
56 Duels Won 51

Build-up

13 Total Crosses 30
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
9 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Starting XI

12
Pontus Dahlberg
Pontus Dahlberg Goalkeeper
7
3
Sturla Ottesen
Sturla Ottesen Defender
6.25
2
Lars Ranger
Lars Ranger
Defender65'
6.93
11
Frederik Elkær
Frederik Elkær Defender
7.03
23
Ulrik Yttergård Jenssen
7.01
28
Ruben Gabrielsen
Ruben Gabrielsen Defender
6.78
8
Markus Karlsbakk
Markus Karlsbakk Midfielder
6.79
18
Kevin Krygård
Kevin Krygård
Midfielder65'
6.55
14
Gustav Nyheim
Gustav Nyheim Midfielder
7.9
20
Felix Vá
Felix Vá Midfielder
6.71
4
Espen Garnås
Espen Garnås
Defender90'
26
Yaw Paintsil
Yaw Paintsil Midfielder
6.27
15
Gustav Nordh
Gustav Nordh
Attacker75'
6.45
29
Y. Ibrahimaj
Y. Ibrahimaj Midfielder
7.08
10
Thomas Lehne Olsen
6.79
77
Fredrik Gulbrandsen
6.77
Referee : Svein Tore Sinnes

Starting XI

1
Emil Ødegaard
Emil Ødegaard Goalkeeper
6.02
2
Daniel Schneider
Daniel Schneider Defender
6.5
13
Brage Skaret
Brage Skaret Defender
6.52
19
Eirik Saunes
Eirik Saunes Defender
6.54
7
Robin Rasch
Robin Rasch (C) Midfielder
7.11
20
Mostafa Najafzadeh
Mostafa Najafzadeh
Midfielder89'
16
Jonas Lange Hjorth
Jonas Lange Hjorth Midfielder
7.11
21
S. Sjøkvist
S. Sjøkvist Midfielder
7.08
33
Amin Nouri
Amin Nouri
Defender89'
27
T. Sørås
T. Sørås Midfielder
6.71
10
Bilal Njie
Bilal Njie Attacker
6.49
22
Bjørn Martin Kristensen
6.25
18
Rasmus Eggen Vinge
6.98
42
David Hickson
David Hickson
Attacker68'
6.52
28
Magnus Grødem
Magnus Grødem Attacker
6.38
17
Teodor Berg Haltvik
Teodor Berg Haltvik
Midfielder75'
6.59

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Espen Garnås Felix Vá
10th Substitution
90'
89'
Event
Mostafa Najafzadeh Robin Rasch
8th Substitution
89'
Event
Amin Nouri S. Sjøkvist
9th Substitution
Event
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
85'
82'
Event
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Fredrik Gulbrandsen Thomas Lehne Olsen
5th Substitution
75'
Event
Gustav Nordh Yaw Paintsil
7th Substitution
75'
75'
Event
Teodor Berg Haltvik Magnus Grødem
6th Substitution
68'
Event
David Hickson Rasmus Eggen Vinge
3rd Substitution
68'
Event
4th Substitution
Event
Kevin Krygård Markus Karlsbakk
1st Substitution
65'
Event
Lars Ranger Sturla Ottesen
2nd Substitution
65'
61'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
45'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Hans Erik Odegaard
Argument / 5th Yellowcard
40'
Event
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
6'
5'
Event
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Lillestrøm 2-1 KFUM. Structural assessment: Lillestrøm exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.