Liepāja vs Austria Wien preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Slokas Stadionā
Europa Conference League
LiepājaFKL
0 2
Austria WienFAK
Full Time
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
|
Goal
Moritz Wels - 55'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Liepāja 0–2 Austria Wien. The result saw Austria Wien take the points. Austria Wien showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Liepāja 1.7 – 1.4 Austria Wien. Possession was 48%–52%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Liepāja 0-2 Austria Wien. Austria Wien showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
H. Jónasson
H. Jónasson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Guðlaugsson
E. Guðlaugsson
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Hrafnkelsson
E. Hrafnkelsson
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Jónsson
J. Jónsson
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Liepāja V. Vassiljev
V. Vassiljev
VS
Austria Wien S. Helm
S. Helm
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Dečić Rank: W
Dečić Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Liepāja
15.71%
Draw
20.87%
Away Austria Wien
63.42%

Movement

Changes since opening
Liepāja
+14.94%
Draw
+18.96%
Austria Wien
-33.9%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
26.08
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Liepāja
Austria Wien
Power Score
50
26.08
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Liepāja — Opponent-weighted form score
Austria Wien — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Liepāja Austria Wien

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Liepāja

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Austria Wien

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Liepāja ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Austria Wien
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.56
22.69
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
22.69
36.56
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Liepāja +1.12 Efficiency Index
vs
Austria Wien -1.12 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Liepāja
Austria Wien
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Liepāja
vs
Austria Wien
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Liepāja Austria Wien
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
47%
6%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.82 vs -0.09
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Liepāja Austria Wien
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
6%
47%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.09 vs -0.82
Liepāja
Austria Wien
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Liepāja
vs
Austria Wien
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Liepāja Austria Wien
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Liepāja 0.20
Austria Wien 0.28
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Liepāja Austria Wien
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Liepāja 0.06
Austria Wien 0.00
Liepāja
Austria Wien
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • FKL had peak pressure around 24'.
  • FAK started the game with stronger pressure.
FKL Pressure FAK Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: FKL reached the top pressure at 24' (88.75).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Slokas Stadionā
Capacity
2800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Helgi Mikael Jónasson
Egill Guðlaugsson
Eysteinn Hrafnkelsson
Jóhann Ingi Jónsson

Statistics

Possession
FKL
49%
FAK
51%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
0 Big Chances Created 5
6 Shots 3
71 Dangerous attacks 36
48 Possession 52
6 Corners 3
12 Free kicks 9
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

63 Ball Safe 73
5 Goal Kicks 15
8 Goal Attempts 7
0 Substitutions 2
23 Throwins 23
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Assists 1
18 Dribble Attempts 19
8 Successful Dribbles 12
44 Successful Dribbles Percentage 63

Attacking

95 Attacks 77
0 Big Chances Missed 4

Possession

45 Long Passes 54
419 Passes 463
340 Successful Passes 356
81 Successful Passes Percentage 77
18 Successful Long Passes 16
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 30

Defensive

0 Saves 2
11 Tackles 23
20 Interceptions 9

Build-up

31 Total Crosses 14
6 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Helgi Mikael Jónasson

Starting XI ▼

24
Davis Oss
Davis Oss (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Bart Straalman
Bart Straalman Defender
6.65
26
Vjačeslavs Isajevs
Vjačeslavs Isajevs Defender
7.24
33
Ilja Korotkovs
Ilja Korotkovs Defender
7.08
35
Vladislavs Sorokins
Vladislavs Sorokins Defender
6.5
28
Andriy Korobenko
Andriy Korobenko
Midfielder68'
6.42
6
Rodolphe Ekou
Rodolphe Ekou Midfielder
6.26
70
Danila Patijcuks
Danila Patijcuks
Midfielder68'
5.93
7
Abiodun Ogunniyi
Abiodun Ogunniyi Midfielder
7.34
—
Abiodun Ogunniyi
75'
23
Amar Haïdara
Amar Haïdara Midfielder
6.61
32
Leonel Strumia
Leonel Strumia Midfielder
6.9
44
Kyvon Leidsman
Kyvon Leidsman Midfielder
7.1
40
Roberts Untulis
Roberts Untulis
Midfielder86'
18
Joseph Oloko Ede
Joseph Oloko Ede Attacker
6.91
Referee : Helgi Mikael Jónasson

Starting XI ▼

1
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger Goalkeeper
7.03
3
Ibrahim Buhari
Ibrahim Buhari Defender
6.86
44
Valentin Toifl
Valentin Toifl
Defender83'
7.08
4
Jonas Feddersen
Jonas Feddersen Defender
6.78
16
Kang-hee Lee
Kang-hee Lee Defender
6.51
15
Aleksandar Dragovic
Aleksandar Dragovic
Defender46'
7.27
21
Matteo Schablas
Matteo Schablas Midfielder
7.24
22
Florian Wustinger
Florian Wustinger Midfielder
7.33
26
Reinhold Ranftl
Reinhold Ranftl Midfielder
7.29
30
Manfred Fischer
Manfred Fischer (C) Midfielder
7.25
7
Vasilije Markovic
Vasilije Markovic Attacker
6.5
20
Julian Hettwer
Julian Hettwer
Attacker60'
6.63
10
Sanel Saljic
Sanel Saljic Attacker
6.55
37
Moritz Wels
Moritz Wels
Midfielder46'
7.15
19
Johannes Eggestein
Johannes Eggestein Attacker
6.33
6
Philipp Maybach
Philipp Maybach
Midfielder72'
6.65

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Roberts Untulis → Kyvon Leidsman
9th Substitution
86'
83'
Event
Valentin Toifl → Ibrahim Buhari
8th Substitution
Event
Afonso Leite → Abiodun Ogunniyi
7th Substitution
75'
72'
Event
Philipp Maybach → Johannes Eggestein
6th Substitution
Event
Vjačeslavs Isajevs
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
Event
Andriy Korobenko → Vladislavs Sorokins
4th Substitution
68'
Event
Danila Patijcuks → Rodolphe Ekou
5th Substitution
68'
60'
Event
Julian Hettwer → Vasilije Markovic
3rd Substitution
55'
Event
Moritz Wels
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
46'
Event
Aleksandar Dragovic → Kang-hee Lee
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Moritz Wels → Sanel Saljic
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Amar Haïdara
Simulation / 2nd Yellowcard
33'
31'
Event
Florian Wustinger
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
16'
Event
Sanel Saljic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Manfred Fischer takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Amar Haidara takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Attempt Attempt
Robert Untulis takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
86
Update Update
Robert Untulis is on, and Kyvon Leidsman is off.
83
Update Update
Valentin Toifl is on, and Ibrahim Buhari is off.
79
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Joseph Ede Head Shot Missed
79
Attempt Attempt
Joseph Ede takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Attempt Attempt
Amar Haidara takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
75
Substitution Substitution
Afonso Leite is substituted for Abiodun Ogunniyi.
74
Attempt Attempt
Matteo Schablas takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
72
Update Update
Philipp Maybach is on, and Johannes Eggestein is off.
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Vjaceslavs Isajevs.
69
Attempt Attempt
Joseph Ede takes a left-footed shot but misses.
68
Update Update
Andriy Korobenko comes on, and Vladislavs Sorokins goes off.
68
Update Update
On Danila Patijcuks, off Ekou Rodolphe.
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ilja Korotkovs Head Shot Saved
64
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Johannes Eggestein with his right foot is blocked.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Update Update
On comes Julian Hettwer, off goes Vasilije Markovic.
58
Attempt Attempt
Moritz Wels takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
57
Attempt Attempt
Kyvon Leidsman takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Moritz Wels takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
55
Attempt Attempt
Moritz Wels takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
51
Attempt Attempt
Joseph Ede takes a right-footed shot but misses.
50
Attempt Attempt
Moritz Wels takes a left-footed shot but misses.
46
Substitution Substitution
Moritz Wels is substituted for Sanel Saljic.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Aleksandar Dragovic comes on for Lee Kang Hee.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Johannes Eggestein with his left foot, but it's blocked.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Florian Wustinger takes a right-footed shot and scores.
31
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Florian Wustinger scores, making it 0-1.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Abiodun Ogunniyi takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
20
Attempt Attempt
Abiodun Ogunniyi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
18
Attempt Attempt
Abiodun Ogunniyi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
16
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Sanel Saljic receives a yellow card.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
8
Attempt Attempt
Joseph Ede takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Helgi Mikael Jonasson.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Liepāja 0-2 Austria Wien. Structural assessment: Austria Wien exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.