Levadia vs Caernarfon Town preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
A. Le Coq Arena Thu, 16 Jul - 4:30 PM
Europa Conference League
Levadia Levadia
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
KICKOFF : Thu, 16 Jul - 4:30 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 5 - 0

CONTEXT

Levadia welcomes Caernarfon Town to A. Le Coq Arena for the second leg of their Europa Conference League first qualifying round encounter. The Estonian side secured a commanding 5-0 victory in the opening fixture away from home. Equal power scores of 50 points apiece set an even baseline ahead of this return match. Levadia carries a form rating of 50 into the contest while the visitors sit at zero. Domestic league positions offer no guidance given the international cup setting. Both clubs rely on proxy data for set piece evaluation with low confidence levels reported. The aggregate lead of 5-0 places Levadia in a dominant position entering the second leg. Venue familiarity could influence proceedings on home soil.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Both teams hold equal power scores of 50 points each.
  • Form: Levadia enters with a form score of 50 while Caernarfon Town has a form score of 0.
  • Squad: Levadia is identified as the stronger squad in this matchup.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not available for either side in this fixture.
  • Transition: Transition play data remains unavailable for analysis.
  • Set pieces: Set piece statistics show low confidence with proxy data used for both teams.
  • xVariable: The power advantage stands at zero points between the sides.
  • Market: Levadia 73% (Δ+1.6%) | Draw 17.6% (Δ-0.8%) | Caernarfon Town 9.5% (Δ-0.9%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Levadia V. Zahovaiko
V. Zahovaiko
VS
Caernarfon Town R. Davies
R. Davies
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Caernarfon Town Rank: 43 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Levadia Rank: L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Levadia
72.95%
Draw
17.57%
Away Caernarfon Town
9.48%

Movement

Changes since opening
Levadia
+1.64%
Draw
-0.77%
Caernarfon Town
-0.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Levadia
Caernarfon Town
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Levadia — Opponent-weighted form score
Caernarfon Town — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Levadia Caernarfon Town

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Levadia Levadia Home
1 matches
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
5
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
5
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-14T00:03:05+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 04:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 5 - 0
Stadium
A. Le Coq Arena
Capacity
15000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ryan Lee
Ross MacLeod
Ross Nelson
Lloyd Wilson

Squad

Referee : Ryan Lee

Squad ▼

99
Karl Andre Vallner
Karl Andre Vallner Goalkeeper
1
Oliver Ani
Oliver Ani Goalkeeper
6
Rasmus Peetson
Rasmus Peetson Defender
29
Joseph Saliste
Joseph Saliste Defender
23
Frank Liivak
Frank Liivak Defender
4
Tanel Tammik
Tanel Tammik Defender
20
Abraham Nnamdi Nwankwo
Abraham Nnamdi Nwankwo Defender
71
Kauã Davi Fernandes Braga
Kauã Davi Fernandes Braga Defender
35
Victory Sunday Iboro
Victory Sunday Iboro Defender
11
Mihkel Ainsalu
Mihkel Ainsalu Midfielder
8
Aleksandr Zakarlyuka
Aleksandr Zakarlyuka Midfielder
18
Alexandre Lopes Gomes
Alexandre Lopes Gomes Midfielder
14
Aleksander Švedovski
Aleksander Švedovski Midfielder
21
Maksimilian Skvortsov
Maksimilian Skvortsov Midfielder
17
Robert Kirss
Robert Kirss Attacker
5
Mark Oliver Roosnupp
Mark Oliver Roosnupp Attacker
36
João Pedro de Moura Siembarski
João Pedro de Moura Siembarski Attacker
7
Gregor Lehtmets
Gregor Lehtmets Attacker
9
Bubacarr Tambedou
Bubacarr Tambedou Attacker
10
Wendell Gabriel Mendes Craveiro
Wendell Gabriel Mendes Craveiro Attacker
33
Enock Kofi Otoo
Enock Kofi Otoo Attacker
19
Moussa Felix Sambe
Moussa Felix Sambe Attacker
Referee : Ryan Lee

Squad ▼

1
Connor Roberts
Connor Roberts Goalkeeper
13
Hari Thomas
Hari Thomas Goalkeeper
15
Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith Defender
27
Ryan Sears
Ryan Sears Defender
23
Chris Marriott
Chris Marriott Defender
16
Ben Nash
Ben Nash Defender
5
Phil Mooney
Phil Mooney Defender
4
Jordan Piggott
Jordan Piggott Defender
3
Matthew Jones
Matthew Jones Defender
2
Morgan Rhys Wyn Owen
Morgan Rhys Wyn Owen Defender
54
Caron Williams
Caron Williams Defender
7
Paulo Mendes
Paulo Mendes Midfielder
14
Noah Edwards
Noah Edwards Midfielder
8
Danny Gossett
Danny Gossett Midfielder
10
Darren Thomas
Darren Thomas Midfielder
6
Iwan Lewis
Iwan Lewis Midfielder
28
Osian Ellis
Osian Ellis Midfielder
11
Adrian Cieślewicz
Adrian Cieślewicz Attacker
25
Offrande Zanzala
Offrande Zanzala Attacker
19
Sion Bradley
Sion Bradley Attacker
21
Connor Salisbury
Connor Salisbury Attacker
9
Zack Clarke
Zack Clarke Attacker
29
Osian Wyn Evans
Osian Wyn Evans Attacker

CONCLUSION

Levadia holds a substantial aggregate advantage after the first leg triumph and will look to manage the return fixture with control at their familiar venue. Caernarfon Town faces a steep challenge to overturn the deficit despite the fresh start each match provides. Equal underlying power ratings suggest the home side retains the structural edge on paper. Limited data availability across efficiency and transition areas leaves set piece insights reliant on proxy estimates. The second leg offers Levadia an opportunity to close out progression while the visitors seek to salvage pride. Venue conditions at A. Le Coq Arena may favor the hosts in dictating tempo throughout the encounter.