Legia Warszawa vs Zagłębie Lubin preview

Poland flag 2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego Today - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa
3 1
Zagłębie Lubin ZAG
Full Time Today 12:45 PM
Round 2 Regular Season
Lukasz Zjawinski - 25'
Rúben Vinagre - 72'
Rafał Adamski - 90+1'
Goal
|
Goal
Filip Kocaba - 4'

CONTEXT

Legia Warszawa hosted Zagłębie Lubin in a match that concluded with a 3-1 victory for the home side. The halftime score stood at 1-1 with both teams level. Legia controlled 62 percent of possession compared to 38 percent for the visitors. No red cards were shown to either team throughout the contest. The stronger team Legia Warszawa emerged as the winner. A significant deviation of 100 percent was recorded for Legia Warszawa. Efficiency shift remained in line with expectations based on available metrics. Market alignment held true for the final result.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Legia Warszawa recorded a significant deviation of 100 percent as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with the pre-match setup for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data remained unavailable so alignment could not be confirmed.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved market aligned according to recorded indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG values were provided to evaluate expectations against the 3-1 score.
  • Event impact: The second half produced two additional goals for Legia Warszawa after the 1-1 interval.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so match dynamics experienced no distortion from dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Arys
K. Arys
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Arys
M. Arys
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Janawa
M. Janawa
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Borowiak
A. Borowiak
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
VS
Zagłębie Lubin L. Ojrzynski
L. Ojrzynski
2.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.44
2.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 65 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 64 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 60 W
Nieciecza Rank: 55 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 65 W
Lech Poznań Rank: 76 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Piast Gliwice Rank: 63 W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 72 L
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 66 L
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 72 W
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 65 D
Nieciecza Rank: 55 L
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.6
66.97
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Legia Warszawa
Zagłębie Lubin
Power Score
71.6
66.97
League Position
7
4
Global Rank
259
397

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Zagłębie Lubin — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Legia Warszawa Zagłębie Lubin

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Legia Warszawa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Zagłębie Lubin

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Legia Warszawa ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Zagłębie Lubin
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Legia Warszawa Zagłębie Lubin
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Legia Warszawa Zagłębie Lubin
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Legia Warszawa
Zagłębie Lubin
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Legia Warszawa
vs
Zagłębie Lubin
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Legia Warszawa Zagłębie Lubin
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Legia Warszawa 0.00
Zagłębie Lubin 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Legia Warszawa Zagłębie Lubin
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Legia Warszawa 0.00
Zagłębie Lubin 0.00
Legia Warszawa
Zagłębie Lubin
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Legia Warszawa had peak pressure around 33'.
  • Legia Warszawa started the game with stronger pressure.
Legia Warszawa Pressure ZAG Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Legia Warszawa reached the top pressure at 33' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Home
4 matches
Zagłębie Lubin ZAG Away
Match Record
3
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
3
Goals
7
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
7
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-02T12:30:14+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch
O. Hindrich
Romania
89 O. Hindrich
K. Piątkowski
Poland
91 K. Piątkowski
R. Augustyniak
Poland
8 R. Augustyniak
R. Deziel Junior
Substitution
United States
5 R. Deziel Junior
D. Szymański
Substitution
Poland
4 D. Szymański
P. Wszołek
Poland
22 P. Wszołek
W. Urbański
Substitution
Poland
53 W. Urbański
B. Kapustka
Poland
67 (C) B. Kapustka
R. Nascimento Vinagre
Portugal
19 R. Nascimento Vinagre
M. Rajovic
Substitution
Denmark
29 M. Rajovic
Ł. Zjawiński
Substitution
Poland
79 Ł. Zjawiński
J. Burić
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1 J. Burić
J. Čorluka
Bosnia and Herzegovina
16 J. Čorluka
D. Michalski
Poland
4 D. Michalski
M. Nalepa
Poland
25 (C) M. Nalepa
A. Ławniczak
Poland
5 A. Ławniczak
D. Čolina
Croatia
6 D. Čolina
S. Kerk
Substitution
Germany
37 S. Kerk
J. Kolan
Substitution
Poland
26 J. Kolan
F. Kocaba
Substitution
Poland
39 F. Kocaba
M. Reguła
Substitution
Poland
44 M. Reguła
L. Szabo
Substitution
Hungary
17 L. Szabo

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 02, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity
31800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Karol Arys
Marek Arys
Marcin Janawa
Aleksander Borowiak

Statistics

Possession
Legia Warszawa
59%
ZAG
41%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 9
59 Dangerous attacks 29
62 Possession 38
9 Corners 2
12 Free kicks 9

Match Overview

10 Goal Kicks 12
5 Substitutions 5
9 Throwins 13
1 Hit Woodwork 2
1 Assists 0
22 Dribble Attempts 12
10 Successful Dribbles 4
45 Successful Dribbles Percentage 33

Attacking

115 Attacks 85

Possession

47 Long Passes 62
450 Passes 287
369 Successful Passes 204
82 Successful Passes Percentage 71
17 Key Passes 9
16 Successful Long Passes 23
34 Successful Long Passes Percentage 37

Defensive

1 Saves 5
11 Tackles 21
1 Interceptions 9
59 Duels Won 51

Build-up

33 Total Crosses 10
11 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

2 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Karol Arys

Starting XI ▼

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
7.59
5
R. Deziel
R. Deziel Defender
7.19
13
Arkadiusz Reca
Arkadiusz Reca
Defender81'
6.75
8
Rafal Augustyniak
Rafal Augustyniak Defender
7.32
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Defender
7.82
4
Damian Szymanski
Damian Szymanski Midfielder
6.92
20
Jakub Zewlakow
Jakub Zewlakow
Attacker69'
6.59
19
Rúben Vinagre
Rúben Vinagre Midfielder
7.49
22
Pawel Wszolek
Pawel Wszolek Midfielder
7.79
53
Wojciech Urbanski
Wojciech Urbanski Midfielder
6.66
21
Vahan Bichakhchyan
Vahan Bichakhchyan
Midfielder58'
6.59
67
Bartosz Kapustka
Bartosz Kapustka (C) Midfielder
6.45
29
Mileta Rajović
Mileta Rajović Attacker
6.11
9
Rafał Adamski
Rafał Adamski
Attacker69'
6.94
79
Lukasz Zjawinski
Lukasz Zjawinski Attacker
6.85
6
Henrique Arreiol
Henrique Arreiol
Midfielder81'
6.63
Referee : Karol Arys

Starting XI ▼

1
Jasmin Buric
Jasmin Buric Goalkeeper
7.09
4
Damian Michalski
Damian Michalski Defender
6.77
5
Aleks Lawniczak
Aleks Lawniczak Defender
7.51
6
David Colina
David Colina Defender
6.65
16
Josip Corluka
Josip Corluka Defender
6.69
25
Michał Nalepa
Michał Nalepa (C) Defender
7.35
26
Jakub Kolan
Jakub Kolan Midfielder
6.7
8
Damian Dąbrowski
Damian Dąbrowski
Midfielder46'
7.05
37
Sebastian Kerk
Sebastian Kerk Midfielder
6.56
71
Kamil Nowogoński
Kamil Nowogoński
Midfielder73'
6.4
39
Filip Kocaba
Filip Kocaba Midfielder
7
20
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Mateusz Dziewiatowski
Midfielder83'
6.7
44
Marcel Regula
Marcel Regula Midfielder
7.57
19
Szymon Łyczko
Szymon Łyczko
Midfielder83'
17
Levente Szabó
Levente Szabó Attacker
6.39
18
Filip Szymczak
Filip Szymczak
Attacker46'
6.41

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Rafał Adamski
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
90+1'
83'
Event
Mateusz Dziewiatowski → Filip Kocaba
9th Substitution
83'
Event
Szymon Łyczko → Marcel Regula
10th Substitution
Event
Henrique Arreiol → Lukasz Zjawinski
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Arkadiusz Reca → R. Deziel
8th Substitution
81'
73'
Event
Kamil Nowogoński → Sebastian Kerk
6th Substitution
Event
Rúben Vinagre
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
72'
Event
Rafał Adamski → Mileta Rajović
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Jakub Zewlakow → Damian Szymanski
5th Substitution
69'
Event
Vahan Bichakhchyan → Wojciech Urbanski
3rd Substitution
58'
46'
Event
Damian Dąbrowski → Jakub Kolan
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Filip Szymczak → Levente Szabó
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Mileta Rajović
Goal disallowed
34'
Event
Lukasz Zjawinski
Header / 2nd Goal
25'
4'
Event
Filip Kocaba
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Rafal Adamski takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
86
Attempt Attempt
Kamil Nowogonski takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
83
Update Update
Mateusz Dziewiatowski is on, and Filip Kocaba is off.
83
Update Update
Szymon Lyczko comes on for Marcel Regula.
81
Update Update
Henrique Arreiol is on, and Lukasz Zjawinski is off.
81
Update Update
Arkadiusz Reca comes on for Robert Deziel.
80
Attempt Attempt
Aleks Lawniczak attempts a header but misses the shot.
73
Update Update
Kamil Nowogonski comes on for Sebastian Kerk.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Ruben Vinagre scores with a left-footed shot.
72
Attempt Attempt
Vahan Bichakhchyan takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ruben Vinagre scores, making it 2-1.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
69
Attempt Attempt
Lukasz Zjawinski takes a header shot but misses.
69
Update Update
Jakub Zewlakow comes on for Damian Szymanski.
69
Update Update
Rafal Adamski is on, and Mileta Rajovic is off.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
67
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Michal Nalepa with his right foot, but it's saved.
66
Attempt Attempt
David Colina takes a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Lukasz Zjawinski takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
63
Attempt Attempt
Mileta Rajovic's right-footed shot is saved.
61
Attempt Attempt
Damian Dabrowski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
60
Attempt Attempt
Damian Michalski attempts a header but misses the shot.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Attempt Attempt
Kamil Piatkowski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Kapustka takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
58
Update Update
On comes Vahan Bichakhchyan, off goes Wojcieh Urbanski.
56
Attempt Attempt
Marcel Regula takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
55
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Kerk takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Kapustka takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
51
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Filip Szymczak comes on for Levente Szabo.
46
Update Update
Damian Dabrowski comes on for Jakub Kolan.
45
Attempt Attempt
Rafal Augustyniak takes a right-footed shot but misses.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Attempt Attempt
Levente Szabo takes a left-footed shot but misses.
37
Attempt Attempt
Wojcieh Urbanski's left-footed shot is blocked.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
VAR decision: Goal disallowed for offside against Mileta Rajovic.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Mileta Rajovic Head Shot Goal
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
31
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Kapustka takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Rafal Augustyniak takes a header shot but misses.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Kapustka takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
26
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lukasz Zjawinski scores, bringing the match to 1-1.
25
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Lukasz Zjawinski scores, making it 1-1.
22
Attempt Attempt
Ruben Vinagre takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Bartosz Kapustka takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Damian Szymanski takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Attempt Attempt
Josip Corluka takes a right-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Mileta Rajovic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
9
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Mileta Rajovic takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Filip Kocaba Head Shot Goal
4
Attempt Attempt
Aleks Lawniczak attempts a header but misses the shot.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Filip Kocaba scores to make it 1-0.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Karol Arys.

CONCLUSION

The 3-1 result reflected Legia Warszawa maintaining control after the even halftime period. Possession favored the home team at 62 percent which supported their ability to add goals in the second half. Absence of red cards allowed both sides to keep full squads on the pitch for the full duration. Significant deviation metrics pointed to Legia Warszawa exceeding baseline projections in key areas. Efficiency remained consistent with the overall pattern observed in the data. Without xG figures direct comparison to shot quality stayed limited yet the scoreline aligned with the stronger team prevailing. The match proceeded without event distortions from cards or other interruptions.