Legia Warszawa vs Widzew Lodz preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego Fri, 1 May - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
Widzew LodzWidzew Lodz
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 6:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Legia Warszawa welcomes Widzew Lodz to Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego for an Ekstraklasa regular season fixture in the 2025/2026 campaign. The hosts boast a superior power score of 64.23 against the visitors' 59.84, translating to a 4.4-point advantage that marks Legia as the stronger side. Form metrics tilt in favor of Legia with 23.5 points over Widzew's 20.33. In domestic standings, Legia occupies 15th place while Widzew languishes in 16th, highlighting their battle near the relegation zone. Detailed insights into set pieces reveal low-confidence proxy data with no xG available for either team, limiting analysis of dead-ball threats. Efficiency and transition statistics remain absent, focusing attention on overall power and form disparities. This encounter promises intensity between two struggling outfits, with Legia's home advantage potentially decisive.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Legia Warszawa possesses a 4.4-point power advantage over Widzew Lodz, with scores of 64.23 to 59.84.
  • Form: Hosts lead in form scores at 23.5 compared to Widzew Lodz's 20.33.
  • Squad: Legia Warszawa sits 15th in the league, one position above Widzew Lodz at 16th.
  • Efficiency: No efficiency data provided for either team.
  • Transition: Transition metrics unavailable in current dataset.
  • Set pieces: Set piece performance data shows low confidence with proxy usage and no xG available.
  • xVariable: xG statistics absent for attack and defense on both sides.
  • Market: Legia Warszawa 44.2% (Δ+0%) | Draw 29.7% (Δ+0%) | Widzew Lodz 26.1% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
VS
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
1.17
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 70 L
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 62 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 65 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 61 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
Radomiak Radom Rank: 60 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 W
Radomiak Radom Rank: 58 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 67 D
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 D
14
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
14 - 4 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Legia Warszawa
44.18%
Draw
29.69%
Away Widzew Lodz
26.14%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.23
59.84
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Legia Warszawa
Widzew Lodz
Power Score
64.23
59.84
League Position
15
16
Global Rank
343
477

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Legia Warszawa Widzew Lodz

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 19 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Home
19 matches
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Away
Match Record
14
Wins
1
4
Draws
4
1
Losses
14
Goals
32
Goals Scored
11
11
Goals Conceded
32
+21
Goal Difference
-21
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:05:49+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
O. Hindrich
89 O. Hindrich
K. Piątkowski
91 K. Piątkowski
A. Jędrzejczyk
55 A. Jędrzejczyk
R. Pankov
12 R. Pankov
P. Wszołek
7 P. Wszołek
K. Urbanski
82 K. Urbanski
J. Elitim Sepúlveda
22 J. Elitim Sepúlveda
D. Szymański
44 D. Szymański
P. Kun
23 P. Kun
M. Rajovic
29 M. Rajovic
R. Adamski
9 R. Adamski

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski Legii Warszawa im. Marszałka Józefa Piłsudskiego
Capacity
31800
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Wojciech Myć
Adam Kupsik
Mikołaj Kostrzewa
Aleksander Borowiak

Expected Lineup

Referee : Wojciech Myć

Starting XI ▼

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
6.68
7
Pawel Wszolek
Pawel Wszolek Midfielder
6.81
23
Patryk Kun
Patryk Kun Midfielder
6.68
9
Rafal Adamski
Rafal Adamski Attacker
6.87
29
Mileta Rajović
Mileta Rajović Attacker
6.82
22
Juergen Elitim
Juergen Elitim Central Midfield
7.12
82
Kacper Urbanski
Kacper Urbanski Central Midfield
6.62
44
Damian Szymanski
Damian Szymanski Central Midfield
6.85
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Right Back
6.84
12
Radovan Pankov
Radovan Pankov Left Back
6.91
55
Artur Jedrzejczyk
Artur Jedrzejczyk Centre Back
6.92
Referee : Wojciech Myć

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.8
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk Attacker
6.71
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Centre Forward
6.95
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Attacker
6.96
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Left Back
6.68
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Right Back
7.06
2
Carlos Isaac
Carlos Isaac Right Back
6.8
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Central Midfield
7.08
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský Left Back
6.69
19
Bartlomiej Pawlowski
Bartlomiej Pawlowski Central Midfield
6.65
18
Lindon Selahi
Lindon Selahi Central Midfield
6.83

CONCLUSION

Legia Warszawa's edge in power ratings and form positions them favorably against a faltering Widzew Lodz side in this Ekstraklasa showdown. Hosting at their fortress-like stadium, the 15th-placed hosts can leverage a 4.4-point superiority to climb the table. Widzew, mired in 16th, faces an uphill task without standout metrics in key areas like set pieces or efficiency. Expect Legia to control proceedings through structural dominance, though both teams' lower-table status hints at potential for surprises. Victory here could ignite Legia's season resurgence.