Lech Poznań vs AGF preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Enea stadion Today - 5:00 PM
Champions League
Lech Poznań LPO
AGF AGF
KICKOFF : Today - 5:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 1

CONTEXT

The second leg of the Champions League second qualifying round brings Lech Poznań and AGF together at Enea stadion. Lech secured a 4-1 victory in the opening leg away from home and now hold a commanding aggregate lead. The hosts aim to seal progression in front of their own supporters while AGF search for a way back into the tie. Power scores sit almost level with the visitors holding a narrow advantage. Lech record a form score of 50 against AGF's mark of 0. The fixture represents a key moment in the 2026/2027 season for both clubs as they pursue further advancement in the competition. The home environment at Enea stadion offers Lech a platform to control proceedings and manage the game state effectively.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Lech Poznań host AGF at Enea stadion in the second leg of the Champions League second qualifying round.
  • Form: Lech hold a form score of 50 while AGF register a mark of 0 ahead of this fixture.
  • Squad: Both squads bring competitive depth to this international cup qualifier.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics appear closely matched between the two sides.
  • Transition: Transition phases will shape the flow of this second-leg encounter.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence with proxy data applied for both teams.
  • xVariable: Power scores show a tight contest with AGF slightly ahead at 74.78 to 74.33.
  • Market: Lech Poznań 53.7% (Δ+0%) | Draw 24.5% (Δ+0%) | AGF 21.8% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Lech Poznań N. Frederiksen
N. Frederiksen
VS
AGF J. Poulsen
J. Poulsen
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
AGF Rank: 74 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lech Poznań Rank: 73 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Lech Poznań
53.66%
Draw
24.51%
Away AGF
21.83%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
74.33
74.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lech Poznań
AGF
Power Score
74.33
74.78
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
166
155

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Lech Poznań Opponent-weighted form score
AGF Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lech Poznań AGF

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lech Poznań LPO Home
1 matches
AGF AGF Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
4
+3
Goal Difference
-3
Expected Goals
1.43
xG
0.94
0.94
xGA
1.43

Data last updated: 2026-07-28T00:04:32+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 29, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 1
Stadium
Enea stadion
Capacity
42837
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Juxhin Xhaja
Arbër Zalla
Tauland Kasa
Andi Koçi

Squad

Referee : Juxhin Xhaja

Squad

1
Mateusz Lis
Mateusz Lis Goalkeeper
41
Bartosz Mrozek
Bartosz Mrozek Goalkeeper
33
Mateusz Pruchniewski
Mateusz Pruchniewski Goalkeeper
31
Wiktor Obremski
Wiktor Obremski Goalkeeper
20
Robert Gumny
Robert Gumny Defender
2
Joel Vieira Pereira
Joel Vieira Pereira Defender
3
Alex Douglas
Alex Douglas Defender
4
João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho
João Gervásio Bragança Moutinho Defender
72
Mateusz Skrzypczak
Mateusz Skrzypczak Defender
59
Terry Yegbe
Terry Yegbe Defender
15
Michał Gurgul
Michał Gurgul Defender
27
Wojciech Mońka
Wojciech Mońka Defender
90
Hubert Janyszka
Hubert Janyszka Defender
22
Radosław Murawski
Radosław Murawski Midfielder
24
Filip Jagiełło
Filip Jagiełło Midfielder
21
Pablo Rodríguez Delgado
Pablo Rodríguez Delgado Midfielder
43
Antoni Kozubal
Antoni Kozubal Midfielder
23
Gísli Gottskalk Thórdarson
Gísli Gottskalk Thórdarson Midfielder
53
Karol Delikat
Karol Delikat Midfielder
9
Mikael Ishak
Mikael Ishak Attacker
8
Ali Gholizadeh
Ali Gholizadeh Attacker
14
Leo Bengtsson
Leo Bengtsson Attacker
77
Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera
Luis Enrique Palma Oseguera Attacker
17
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh
Allahyar Sayyadmanesh Attacker
11
Daniel Håkans
Daniel Håkans Attacker
Bryan Fiabema
Bryan Fiabema Attacker
10
Patrik Wålemark
Patrik Wålemark Attacker
7
Mel Yannick Joel Agnero
Mel Yannick Joel Agnero Attacker
54
Kamil Jakóbczyk
Kamil Jakóbczyk Attacker
Referee : Juxhin Xhaja

Squad

1
Jesper Hansen
Jesper Hansen Goalkeeper
21
Mads Christiansen
Mads Christiansen Goalkeeper
5
Frederik Tingager
Frederik Tingager Defender
14
Tobias Mølgaard Henriksen
Tobias Mølgaard Henriksen Defender
19
Eric Kahl
Eric Kahl Defender
40
Jonas Jensen-Abbew
Jonas Jensen-Abbew Defender
33
Luka Callo
Luka Callo Defender
16
Jens Jønsson
Jens Jønsson Midfielder
6
Nicolai Poulsen
Nicolai Poulsen Midfielder
23
Mikael Anderson
Mikael Anderson Midfielder
11
Gift Links
Gift Links Midfielder
7
Markus Solbakken
Markus Solbakken Midfielder
17
Kevin Yakob
Kevin Yakob Midfielder
4
Magnus Knudsen
Magnus Knudsen Midfielder
29
Rasmus Carstensen
Rasmus Carstensen Midfielder
26
Jacob Andersen
Jacob Andersen Midfielder
22
Oskar Skou Haugstrup
Oskar Skou Haugstrup Midfielder
13
Janni-Luca Serra
Janni-Luca Serra Attacker
31
Tobias Bech Kristensen
Tobias Bech Kristensen Attacker
8
Sebastian Vinther Jørgensen
Sebastian Vinther Jørgensen Attacker
15
Youssouph Mamadou Badji
Youssouph Mamadou Badji Attacker
10
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad
Kristian Fredrik Malt Arnstad Attacker
20
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson
Tómas Óli Kristjánsson Attacker
18
Richmond Gyamfi
Richmond Gyamfi Attacker
39
Frederik Emmery Søgaard
Frederik Emmery Søgaard Attacker
28
James Bogere
James Bogere Attacker
27
Stefen Erwan Tchamche
Stefen Erwan Tchamche Attacker

CONCLUSION

Lech Poznań enter this second leg with a clear aggregate cushion and the comfort of playing at home. Their superior recent form provides a platform to dictate tempo and limit AGF's opportunities. The visitors must produce an improved display to overturn the deficit yet face a stern test against a side that has already demonstrated quality on the road. Near identical power ratings suggest the contest could remain measured rather than open. Lech will likely prioritize control and defensive organisation while looking for moments to extend their lead. AGF's response will depend on their ability to create chances in transition and exploit any spaces left by the hosts. Overall the tie sits heavily in Lech's favour but both teams still have work to complete before the next stage is confirmed.