Lanús vs San Lorenzo preview
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Lanús defeated San Lorenzo 1-0 in a match that stayed level at 0-0 through halftime. The home side generated 1.91 expected goals while the visitors managed just 0.71, creating a clear 1.2 differential despite both teams holding exactly 50 percent possession. No red cards were shown to either side, preserving full squads for the entire contest. The decisive goal arrived after the break and proved sufficient for the victory. Lanús, identified as the stronger team beforehand, delivered an outcome fully consistent with the underlying performance data. The significant deviation recorded for the winners reflected their ability to outperform structural expectations on the day.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Lanús recorded a significant 100 percent structural deviation as the stronger side.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections for both teams.
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xG alignment: The 1-0 result stayed consistent with xG alignment favoring Lanús.
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Market alignment: The final outcome proved market aligned with available indicators.
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xG expectations: Lanús met xG expectations by posting 1.91 against San Lorenzo's 0.71.
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Event impact: The second-half goal delivered the decisive event impact in the 1-0 win.
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Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no red card distortion during the match.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
65.25
63.82
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Lanús
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Lanús
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Lanús
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Lanús
San Lorenzo
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- LAN had peak pressure around 15'.
- LAN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:00:33+00:00
STARTING XI







General Information
Next Match
Lanús
vs
Instituto
League: Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Kickoff: Mon, 3 Aug - 12:30 AM
Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
San Lorenzo
vs
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
League: Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Kickoff: Tue, 28 Jul - 10:00 PM
Venue: Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼







Manager ▼
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼






























Match Commentary