Lanús vs San Lorenzo preview
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Lanús defeated San Lorenzo 1-0 in a match that stayed level at 0-0 through halftime. The home side generated 1.75 expected goals against 0.7 for the visitors while both teams held 50 percent possession. Lanús as the stronger team converted their edge into the only goal of the contest. No red cards were shown to either side allowing full squads to remain on the pitch for the duration. The outcome proved consistent with the expected goals differential of 1.05 and reflected a significant structural deviation favoring the winners. Defensive organization limited clear openings until the decisive strike occurred in the second half. This result demonstrated how chance creation and finishing efficiency can separate evenly matched sides over ninety minutes.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Lanús recorded a significant structural deviation of 100 percent.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams.
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xG alignment: The 1-0 result aligned with the expected goals of 1.75 to 0.7.
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Market alignment: The outcome matched pre-match projections.
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xG expectations: Lanús held an xG advantage of 1.05 over San Lorenzo.
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Event impact: The second half goal decided the final scoreline.
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Red card distortion: No red cards were issued so no distortion occurred.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Team Power Ranking
i
64.69
63.82
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Lanús
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Lanús
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Lanús
Lanús
San Lorenzo
Lanús
San Lorenzo
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- LAN had peak pressure around 15'.
- LAN started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-26T01:00:50+00:00
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General Information
Next Match
Lanús
vs
Instituto
League: Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Kickoff: Mon, 3 Aug - 12:30 AM
Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
San Lorenzo
vs
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
League: Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Kickoff: Tue, 28 Jul - 10:00 PM
Venue: Estadio Pedro Bidegaín
Statistics
Top Statistics
Match Overview
Attacking
Possession
Defensive
Build-up
Discipline
Lineup
Manager ▼
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Match Commentary