Lanús vs Instituto preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez Mon, 3 Aug - 12:30 AM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
LanúsLAN
0 1
InstitutoIACC
Full Time Mon, 3 Aug 12:30 AM
Round 3 2nd Phase
|
Goal

CONTEXT

The match between Lanús and Instituto concluded with a 0-1 victory for the away side in what proved to be a low-scoring affair. Lanús controlled the majority of the ball with 62 percent possession but could not find the back of the net. Instituto on the other hand made their limited opportunities count effectively. The halftime score remained 0-0 as neither side managed to break the deadlock before the interval. Expected goals stood at 0.92 for Lanús and 1.08 for Instituto reflecting a closely matched contest in terms of chance quality. The stronger team Lanús was unable to overcome the visitors who secured the win through efficient finishing. No red cards were issued during the match keeping both teams at full strength for the duration. This outcome highlighted how possession does not always translate directly into results when the opponent defends resolutely and takes their chances.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Instituto achieved a significant 100 percent deviation by claiming the win against the stronger side.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the performance metrics throughout the contest.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the expected goals recorded in the match.
  • Market alignment: The result demonstrated alignment with pre-match indicators according to available data.
  • xG expectations: Lanús posted 0.92 expected goals against Instituto's 1.08 with a differential of -0.16.
  • Event impact: Instituto's victory produced the 0-1 final score in line with the underlying statistics.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred leaving the match free of any numerical distortion effects.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Arasa
N. Arasa
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Callegari
E. Callegari
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
E. Grünmann
E. Grünmann
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Negrete
M. Negrete
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Lanús M. Pellegrino
M. Pellegrino
VS
Instituto D. Flores
D. Flores
1.31
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.5
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
San Lorenzo Rank: 64 W
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 73 L
Deportivo Riestra Rank: 62 D
Central Cordoba SdE Rank: 61 D
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Rank: 64 L
Banfield Rank: 61 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Platense Rank: 60 W
Vélez Sarsfield Rank: 66 L
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto Rank: 57 W
Newell's Old Boys Rank: 60 D
Estudiantes Rank: 71 L
Deportivo Riestra Rank: 62 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
65.33
64.41
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Lanús
Instituto
Power Score
65.33
64.41
League Position
11
9
Global Rank
447
475

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Lanús — Opponent-weighted form score
Instituto — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Lanús Instituto

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Lanús

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Instituto

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Lanús ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Instituto
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.82
56.05
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
56.05
27.82
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Lanús -2.41 Efficiency Index
vs
Instituto +2.41 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Lanús
Instituto
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Lanús
vs
Instituto
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Lanús Instituto
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
26%
37%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.24 vs -0.40
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Lanús Instituto
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
37%
26%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.40 vs -0.24
Lanús
Instituto
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Lanús
vs
Instituto
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Lanús Instituto
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Lanús 0.33
Instituto 0.41
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Lanús Instituto
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Lanús 0.02
Instituto 0.00
Lanús
Instituto
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • IACC had peak pressure around 84'.
  • LAN started the game with stronger pressure.
LAN Pressure IACC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: IACC reached the top pressure at 84' (93.16).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Lanús LAN Home
4 matches
Instituto IACC Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
8
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-04T00:01:09+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 03, 2026, 12:30 AM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 3 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Ciudad de Lanús - Néstor Díaz Pérez
Capacity
46619
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nazareno Arasa
Ernesto Callegari
Erik Grünmann
Mariano Negrete

Statistics

Possession
LAN
58%
IACC
42%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 1
7 Shots 6
45 Dangerous attacks 46
62 Possession 38
7 Corners 7
16 Free kicks 5
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

84 Ball Safe 68
5 Goal Kicks 9
8 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 5
24 Throwins 20
0 Hit Woodwork 1
0 Assists 1
15 Dribble Attempts 19
7 Successful Dribbles 11
47 Successful Dribbles Percentage 58

Attacking

133 Attacks 96
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

68 Long Passes 56
554 Passes 334
466 Successful Passes 256
84 Successful Passes Percentage 77
11 Key Passes 14
37 Successful Long Passes 22
54 Successful Long Passes Percentage 39

Defensive

5 Saves 3
18 Tackles 21
12 Interceptions 7
60 Duels Won 54

Build-up

29 Total Crosses 25
7 Accurate Crosses 10

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
5 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Nazareno Arasa

Starting XI ▼

26
Nahuel Losada
Nahuel Losada Goalkeeper
7.48
6
Sasha Marcich
Sasha Marcich Defender
6.82
13
José Canale
José Canale Defender
7.57
35
Ronaldo Dejesús
Ronaldo Dejesús
Defender46'
6.74
24
Carlos Izquierdoz
Carlos Izquierdoz (C) Defender
7.46
33
Tomás Guidara
Tomás Guidara Defender
7.24
5
Felipe Peña Biafore
Felipe Peña Biafore Midfielder
7.1
17
Agustín Medina
Agustín Medina
Midfielder80'
6.34
8
Franco Watson
Franco Watson Midfielder
6.2
25
Dylan Aquino
Dylan Aquino
Attacker61'
6.85
16
Matías Sepúlveda
Matías Sepúlveda Midfielder
7.06
30
Agustín Cardozo
Agustín Cardozo Midfielder
7.31
77
Lucas Besozzi
Lucas Besozzi Midfielder
7.24
23
Ramiro Carrera
Ramiro Carrera
Midfielder61'
6.44
20
Allan Wlk
Allan Wlk Attacker
6.5
19
Yoshan Valois
Yoshan Valois
Attacker65'
6.45
Referee : Nazareno Arasa

Starting XI ▼

29
Marcos Ledesma
Marcos Ledesma Goalkeeper
7.32
22
Agustín Massaccesi
Agustín Massaccesi Defender
7.48
26
Leonel Mosevich
Leonel Mosevich Defender
7
30
Jonatan Galván
Jonatan Galván (C) Defender
6.54
6
Fernando Alarcón
Fernando Alarcón
Defender46'
7.74
3
Diego Sosa
Diego Sosa Midfielder
7.1
15
Matías Gallardo
Matías Gallardo Midfielder
7.04
19
Gastón Lodico
Gastón Lodico
Midfielder75'
7.13
44
Giuliano Cerato
Giuliano Cerato Midfielder
6.74
55
Gustavo Abregú
Gustavo Abregú Midfielder
6.87
10
Alex Luna
Alex Luna Attacker
7.87
11
Matías Fonseca
Matías Fonseca
Attacker86'
17
Matías Tissera
Matías Tissera Attacker
6.38
7
Nicolás Guerra
Nicolás Guerra
Attacker65'
6.67
20
Jhon Córdoba
Jhon Córdoba Attacker
6.87
21
Jeremías Lázaro
Jeremías Lázaro
Midfielder65'
6.89

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Fernando Alarcón 
Header / 1st Goal
86'
Event
Matías Fonseca → Alex Luna
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Fernando Alarcón 
Time wasting / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Agustín Medina → Felipe Peña Biafore
9th Substitution
80'
75'
Event
Gastón Lodico → Matías Gallardo
8th Substitution
Event
Yoshan Valois → Allan Wlk
7th Substitution
65'
65'
Event
Nicolás Guerra → Matías Tissera
5th Substitution
65'
Event
Jeremías Lázaro → Jhon Córdoba
6th Substitution
Event
Dylan Aquino → Franco Watson
3rd Substitution
61'
Event
Ramiro Carrera → Lucas Besozzi
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Ronaldo Dejesús → José Canale
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Fernando Alarcón  → Jonatan Galván
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Giuliano Cerato
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Matías Sepúlveda
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
28'
10'
Event
Jonatan Galván
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal! Fernando Ruben Alarcon heads the ball into the net.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Fernando Ruben Alarcon scores to make it 0-1.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Diego Sosa's header is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Agustín Medina takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Update Update
Offside.
87
Attempt Attempt
Nicolas Guerra takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
86
Update Update
Matias Fonseca comes on for Alex Luna.
86
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Fernando Ruben Alarcon.
83
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Roberto Izquierdoz takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Fernando Ruben Alarcon.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Attempt Attempt
Alex Luna takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
82
Attempt Attempt
Diego Sosa's left-footed shot is blocked.
81
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jeremías Lázaro Head Shot Missed
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
Agustín Medina replaces Felipe Pena Biafore.
75
Update Update
Gaston Lodico comes on for Matias Gallardo.
73
Attempt Attempt
Alex Luna attempts a header but misses the shot.
73
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Cardozo takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Y. Valois is on, and Allan Wlk is off.
65
Update Update
On comes Y. Valois, off goes Allan Wlk.
65
Update Update
Nicolas Guerra comes on for Matias Tissera.
64
Update Update
Jeremías Lázaro is on, and Jhon Cordoba is off.
61
Update Update
On comes Dylan Aquino, off goes Franco Watson.
61
Update Update
Ramiro Carrera comes on for Lucas Besozzi.
60
Attempt Attempt
Matias Sepulveda takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
60
Attempt Attempt
Diego Sosa takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
58
Update Update
Offside.
56
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Update Update
Offside.
55
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Cordoba takes a right-footed shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Alex Luna takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
53
Attempt Attempt
Matias Gallardo takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Ronaldo De Jesus is on, and José Canale is off.
46
Update Update
Fernando Ruben Alarcon is on, and Jonathan Galvan is off.
45
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Pena Biafore takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
44
Attempt Attempt
Alex Luna takes a left-footed shot but misses.
44
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Jhon Cordoba takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Giuliano Cerato.
36
Attempt Attempt
Allan Wlk takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Franco Watson takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
30
Attempt Attempt
Franco Watson's header is saved.
28
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Matias Sepulveda receives a yellow card.
24
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Pena Biafore takes a left-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Diego Sosa takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Diego Sosa's left-footed shot is saved.
21
Attempt Attempt
Felipe Pena Biafore takes a shot with his right foot, but it is saved.
18
Attempt Attempt
Matias Sepulveda takes a left-footed shot but misses.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Guidara takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Attempt Attempt
Sasha Julian Marcich takes a left-footed shot but misses.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jonathan Galvan.
7
Attempt Attempt
Carlos Roberto Izquierdoz takes a left-footed shot but misses.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Lucas Besozzi takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
5
Attempt Attempt
Gustavo Abregu attempts a header but misses the shot.
5
Attempt Attempt
Matias Tissera takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Nazareno Arasa.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Lanús 0-1 Instituto. Structural assessment: Instituto exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.