La Fiorita vs UNA Strassen preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Europa Conference League
La FioritaLa Fiorita
0 2
UNA StrassenUNST
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 3
|
Goal
Valentin Steinmetz - 38'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. La Fiorita 0–2 UNA Strassen. The result saw UNA Strassen take the points. UNA Strassen showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 38%–62%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: UNA Strassen recorded a significant 39.5 percent deviation from pre-match expectations.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with observed performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable preventing any alignment evaluation.
  • Market alignment: The final outcome proved aligned with prevailing market indicators.
  • xG expectations: No xG expectations could be formed owing to the absence of underlying metrics.
  • Event impact: The 0-2 result secured UNA Strassen's advancement in the two-legged tie.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown and therefore no distortion affected the contest.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Galia
S. Galia
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Macias
M. Macias
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Guerrero
F. Guerrero
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Reoch
T. Reoch
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
La Fiorita S. Ceci
S. Ceci
VS
UNA Strassen J. Deichelbohrer
J. Deichelbohrer
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
UNA Strassen Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
La Fiorita Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home La Fiorita
14.46%
Draw
25.04%
Away UNA Strassen
60.5%

Movement

Changes since opening
La Fiorita
+13.5%
Draw
+23.14%
UNA Strassen
-36.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
La Fiorita
UNA Strassen
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
La Fiorita — Opponent-weighted form score
UNA Strassen — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) La Fiorita UNA Strassen

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

La Fiorita

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

UNA Strassen

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

La Fiorita ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy UNA Strassen
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
10.53
37.66
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
37.66
10.53
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
La Fiorita -2.20 Efficiency Index
vs
UNA Strassen +2.20 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
La Fiorita
UNA Strassen
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

La Fiorita ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy UNA Strassen
Created Set-piece attacking threat
La Fiorita UNA Strassen
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
La Fiorita UNA Strassen
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
La Fiorita
UNA Strassen
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
La Fiorita
vs
UNA Strassen
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
La Fiorita UNA Strassen
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
La Fiorita 0.05
UNA Strassen 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
La Fiorita UNA Strassen
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
La Fiorita 0.02
UNA Strassen 0.00
La Fiorita
UNA Strassen
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • UNST had peak pressure around 90'.
  • UNST started the game with stronger pressure.
La Fiorita Pressure UNST Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: UNST reached the top pressure at 90' (56.48).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

La Fiorita La Fiorita Home
1 matches
UNA Strassen UNST Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-15T00:01:54+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-2
Match Formation 5-3-2
Pitch
27
27
M. Mazzotti
Substitution
Italy
5 M. Mazzotti
V. Nava
Italy
7 V. Nava
M. Drudi
Substitution
Italy
18 M. Drudi
G. Nigretti
Italy
28 G. Nigretti
S. Pancotti
San Marino
19 S. Pancotti
17
17
4
4
23
23
21
21
77
77

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 3
Stadium
Stadio Olimpico di Serravalle
Capacity
6664
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Seth Galia
Michael Macias
Faustino Guerrero
Tim Reoch

Statistics

Possession
La Fiorita
37%
UNST
63%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
2 Shots 12
40 Dangerous attacks 87
38 Possession 62
2 Corners 7
11 Free kicks 11
3 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

64 Ball Safe 73
2 Goal Attempts 16
5 Substitutions 5
10 Throwins 17
0 Assists 2

Attacking

68 Attacks 103

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
7 Fouls 6

Lineup

Referee : Seth Galia

Starting XI ▼

27
Gianluca Vivan Goalkeeper
5
Marco Mazzotti
Marco Mazzotti Defender
6.05
—
Marco Mazzotti
60'
7
Valerio Nava
Valerio Nava Defender
6.05
18
Mirko Drudi
Mirko Drudi Defender
6.05
—
Mirko Drudi
90'
23
Andrea Grandoni Defender
28
Giacomo Nigretti
Giacomo Nigretti Defender
6.04
4
Alì Molossi Midfielder
17
Marco Djuric Midfielder
77
Mathias Bonetti Midfielder
19
Samuel Pancotti
Samuel Pancotti Attacker
6.43
21
Riccardo Zulli Attacker
Referee : Seth Galia

Starting XI ▼

67
Koray Ozcan Goalkeeper
3
Kino Delorge Defender
34
Tim Hall
Tim Hall Defender
6.5
94
Daryl Myre
Daryl Myre Defender
6.5
—
Daryl Myre
77'
5
Galaye Gueye Midfielder
10
Edis Agovic
Edis Agovic Midfielder
6.5
11
Omar Natami
Omar Natami Midfielder
6.61
9
Amine Zenadji
Amine Zenadji
Midfielder69'
6.5
18
David Dadashev
David Dadashev Midfielder
6.5
28
Valentin Steinmetz Midfielder
44
Babou Seye
Babou Seye Attacker
6.59
—
Babou Seye
77'
90
Nicolas Perez
Nicolas Perez Attacker
6.86
—
Nicolas Perez
56'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Thomas Bonifazi → Marco Djuric
9th Substitution
90'
Event
H. Zazas → Mirko Drudi
10th Substitution
90'
Event
Alì Molossi
3rd Yellowcard
83'
77'
Event
Alen Agovic → Babou Seye
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Alexandre Sacras → Daryl Myre
8th Substitution
Event
Marcello Mularoni → Riccardo Zulli
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Marco Djuric
2nd Yellowcard
71'
69'
Event
João Teixeira → Kino Delorge
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Amine Zenadji → Omar Natami
5th Substitution
Event
Andrea Brighi → Marco Mazzotti
2nd Substitution
60'
Event
Tommaso Guidi → Matthias Bonetti
3rd Substitution
60'
56'
Event
Matheus → Nicolas Perez
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
38'
Event
Valentin Steinmetz
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
Giacomo Nigretti
1st Yellowcard
22'
8'
Event
Nicolas Perez
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
On comes Hernan Zazas, off goes Mirko Drudi.
90
Update Update
On Thomas Bonifazi, off Marco Djuric.
83
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Update Update
Alexandre Sacras comes on for Daryl Myre.
77
Update Update
Alen Agovic comes on for Babou Seye.
77
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Marco Djuric.
69
Update Update
Joao Teixeira comes on for Kino Delorge.
69
Update Update
Amine Zenadji is on, and Omar Natami is off.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Update Update
Tommaso Guidi comes on for Matthias Bonetti.
60
Substitution Substitution
Andrea Brighi is substituted off for Marco Mazzotti.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
56
Update Update
Matheus comes on for Nicolas Perez.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
38
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nicolas Perez scores, making it 0-2.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Giacomo Nigretti.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nicolas Perez scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Babou Seye.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: La Fiorita 0-2 UNA Strassen. Structural assessment: UNA Strassen exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.