KuPS vs Sabah preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Savon Sanomat Areena Tue, 28 Jul - 3:00 PM
Champions League
KuPSKUPS
0 2
SabahSABA
Full Time Tue, 28 Jul 3:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 3
|
Goal
Veljko Simic - 52'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. KuPS 0–2 Sabah. The result saw Sabah take the points. Sabah showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 56%–44%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: The match recorded a significant deviation of 58.7 percent with Sabah identified as the deviation team.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match projections for the contest.
  • xG alignment: Outcome consistency with expected goals could not be determined due to null data.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were available to establish performance benchmarks.
  • Event impact: Sabah recorded a 0-2 away win in the second leg of the tie.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to match dynamics occurred.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Laibuvitz
G. Laibuvitz
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Hassan
R. Hassan
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Y. Babayof
Y. Babayof
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Tzino
D. Tzino
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
KuPS M. Nuutinen
M. Nuutinen
VS
Sabah V. Dambrauskas
V. Dambrauskas
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sabah Rank: L
Vardar Rank: L
Vardar Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
KuPS Rank: W
The New Saints Rank: 63 W
The New Saints Rank: 63 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home KuPS
31.86%
Draw
26.82%
Away Sabah
41.32%

Movement

Changes since opening
KuPS
+30.9%
Draw
+24.92%
Sabah
-55.81%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
18
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
KuPS
Sabah
Power Score
18
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
KuPS — Opponent-weighted form score
Sabah — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) KuPS Sabah

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

KuPS

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sabah

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

KuPS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sabah
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
19.02
24.55
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
24.55
19.02
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
KuPS -0.47 Efficiency Index
vs
Sabah +0.47 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
KuPS
Sabah
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

KuPS ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sabah
Created Set-piece attacking threat
KuPS Sabah
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
KuPS Sabah
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
KuPS
Sabah
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
KuPS
vs
Sabah
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
KuPS Sabah
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
KuPS 0.10
Sabah 0.14
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
KuPS Sabah
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
KuPS 0.04
Sabah 0.00
KuPS
Sabah
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KUPS had peak pressure around 82'.
  • KUPS started the game with stronger pressure.
KUPS Pressure SABA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KUPS reached the top pressure at 82' (63.07).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

KuPS KUPS Home
1 matches
Sabah SABA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-29T00:00:20+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 28, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 3
Stadium
Savon Sanomat Areena
Capacity
5300
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gal Laibuvitz
Roei Hassan
Yossi Babayof
Dekel Tzino

Statistics

Possession
KUPS
53%
SABA
47%

Top Statistics

0 Goals 2
5 Shots 4
73 Dangerous attacks 56
56 Possession 44
8 Corners 6
20 Free kicks 16
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 23

Attacking

94 Attacks 87

Defensive

2 Saves 2

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
14 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Gal Laibuvitz

Starting XI ▼

1
Johannes Kreidl
Johannes Kreidl Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Kasim Adams
Kasim Adams Defender
6.05
24
Bob Nii Armah
Bob Nii Armah Defender
6.26
21
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba
Midfielder58'
6.37
25
Clinton Antwi
Clinton Antwi Defender
6.05
3
Saku Heiskanen
Saku Heiskanen
Midfielder74'
6.5
28
Brahima Magassa
Brahima Magassa Defender
6.04
29
Akseli Puukko
Akseli Puukko Defender
6.05
6
Saku Savolainen
Saku Savolainen
Defender81'
6.5
8
Petteri Pennanen
Petteri Pennanen (C) Midfielder
6.23
10
Valentín Gasc
Valentín Gasc Midfielder
6.37
20
Piotr Parzyszek
Piotr Parzyszek
Attacker58'
6.46
16
Tommi Jyry
Tommi Jyry Midfielder
6.27
13
Niilo Kujasalo
Niilo Kujasalo
Midfielder74'
6.5
22
Saikou Touray
Saikou Touray Midfielder
6.23
11
Jaime Moreno
Jaime Moreno Attacker
6.43
Referee : Gal Laibuvitz

Starting XI ▼

92
Stas Pokatilov
Stas Pokatilov (C) Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Steve Solvet
Steve Solvet Defender
6.5
5
Rahman Dashdamirov
Rahman Dashdamirov Defender
6.5
27
Tymoteusz Puchacz
Tymoteusz Puchacz Defender
6.61
80
Akim Zedadka
Akim Zedadka Defender
6.5
17
Tellur Mütallimov
Tellur Mütallimov
Defender78'
6.5
7
Umarali Rakhmonaliev
Umarali Rakhmonaliev Midfielder
6.45
6
Abdulakh Khaybulayev
Abdulakh Khaybulayev
Midfielder78'
6.5
10
Aleksey Isayev
Aleksey Isayev Midfielder
6.5
88
Rodrigo Fernandes
Rodrigo Fernandes
Midfielder78'
6.5
11
Kaheem Parris
Kaheem Parris Midfielder
6.5
34
Xander Severina
Xander Severina
Midfielder61'
6.61
13
Ivan Lepinjica
Ivan Lepinjica Midfielder
6.5
21
Veljko Simic
Veljko Simic Midfielder
6.69
20
Joy-Lance Mickels
Joy-Lance Mickels Attacker
6.86
99
Orphé Mbina
Orphé Mbina
Attacker87'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Brahima Magassa
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
89'
87'
Event
Orphé Mbina → Joy-Lance Mickels
10th Substitution
Event
Saku Savolainen → Akseli Puukko
9th Substitution
81'
78'
Event
Rodrigo Fernandes → Aleksey Isayev
6th Substitution
78'
Event
Abdulakh Khaybulayev → Umarali Rakhmonaliev
7th Substitution
78'
Event
Tellur Mütallimov → Akim Zedadka
8th Substitution
Event
Saku Heiskanen → Clinton Antwi
4th Substitution
74'
Event
Niilo Kujasalo → Tommi Jyry
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Saikou Touray
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
72'
70'
Event
Joy-Lance Mickels
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Petteri Pennanen 
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
62'
61'
Event
Xander Severina → Kaheem Parris
3rd Substitution
60'
Event
Umarali Rakhmonaliev
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba → Bob Nii Armah
1st Substitution
58'
Event
Piotr Parzyszek → Valentín Gasc
2nd Substitution
58'
52'
Event
Veljko Simic
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Brahima Magassa
87
Update Update
On Orphe Mbina，Off Joy-Lance Mickels
85
Corner Corner
Corner
81
Update Update
On Saku Savolainen，Off Akseli Puukko
80
Corner Corner
Corner
78
Update Update
On Tellur Mutallimov，Off Akim Zedadka
78
Update Update
On Abdulakh Khaybulaev，Off Umarali Rakhmonaliev
78
Update Update
On Rodrigo Francisco Pinto Vieira Fernandes，Off Aleksey Isaev
78
Corner Corner
Corner
74
Update Update
On Niilo Kujasalo，Off Tommi Jyry
74
Update Update
On Saku Heiskanen，Off Clinton Antwi
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Saikou Touray
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Joy-Lance Mickels 0-2，Assist：Aleksey Isaev
66
Corner Corner
Corner
62
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Petteri Pennanen
61
Update Update
On Xander Severina，Off Kaheem Parris
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Umarali Rakhmonaliev
60
Corner Corner
Corner
58
Corner Corner
Corner
58
Update Update
On Joslyn Luyeye-Lutumba，Off Bob Nii Armah
58
Update Update
On Piotr Parzyszek，Off Valentin Gasc
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Veljko Simic 0-1
41
Corner Corner
Corner
31
Corner Corner
Corner
22
Corner Corner
Corner
16
Corner Corner
Corner
13
Corner Corner
Corner
10
Corner Corner
Corner
7
Corner Corner
Corner
4
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Gal Leibovitz

CONCLUSION

The 0-2 result delivered Sabah a clean advancement from the tie after they controlled the second half following a goalless opening period. KuPS maintained a slight edge in possession yet failed to convert territorial advantage into scoring opportunities. With no disciplinary interruptions the game progressed without external structural changes. The absence of expected goals metrics limited deeper efficiency comparisons but the outcome remained consistent with the identified market alignment. Sabah as the designated stronger team executed the required adjustments to close out the aggregate lead. Overall the fixture highlighted a straightforward execution by the visitors on the road.