Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moskva preview

Russia flag 2025/2026 Premier League, Russia
Samara Arena Sat, 18 Apr - 11:30 AM
Premier League
Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov
1 – 1
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva
Full Time Sat, 18 Apr 11:30 AM
Round 25 Regular Season
I. Oleynikov - 65'
Goal
|
Goal
Sergey Bozhin - 75' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

In a hard-fought Russian Premier League encounter, Krylya Sovetov secured a valuable 1-1 draw against stronger visitors CSKA Moskva at their home ground. The first half passed without goals, as CSKA controlled 58% possession but struggled to penetrate the hosts' organized defense. Tension mounted post-interval, with both sides netting once in the second half to share the spoils. Despite Krylya Sovetov's lower 42% possession, their resilience frustrated CSKA's superiority, resulting in a deadlock. No red cards disrupted play, and the even halftime score set the stage for a balanced finish. This outcome marked a significant deviation for CSKA, who entered as favorites but couldn't convert dominance into victory, highlighting Krylya Sovetov's tactical discipline.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Significant structural deviation occurred as the draw defied CSKA Moskva's pre-match strength advantage.
  • Efficiency shift: Team efficiencies stayed in line with overall expectations throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment cannot be evaluated due to unavailable expected goals data.
  • Market alignment: Final result fully aligned with pre-match market evaluations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remain unassessable without provided expected goals metrics.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or notable events influenced the match dynamics.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards ensured the result faced no disciplinary distortions.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
I. Demeshko
I. Demeshko
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.9
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.93
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.61
A. Bogdanov
A. Bogdanov
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.9
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.93
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.61
Y. Khromey
Y. Khromey
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.9
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.93
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.61
P. Shadykhanov
P. Shadykhanov
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 21.9
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 2.93
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.22
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.61
Krylya Sovetov S. Bulatov
S. Bulatov
VS
CSKA Moskva F. Celestini
F. Celestini
0.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.38
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Akhmat Grozny Rank: D
Zenit Rank: L
Rubin Kazan Rank: D
FK Nizjni Novgorod Rank: L
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sochi Rank: L
Akron Rank: W
Dynamo Makhachkala Rank: W
Baltika Kaliningrad Rank: L
Dinamo Moskva Rank: L
Akhmat Grozny Rank: L
4
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
4 - 8 - 25
25

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Krylya Sovetov
0%
Draw
0%
Away CSKA Moskva
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
15.49
21.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moskva
Power Score
15.49
21.5
League Position
13
5
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Krylya Sovetov — Opponent-weighted form score
CSKA Moskva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Krylya Sovetov

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

CSKA Moskva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
35.95
15.52
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.52
35.95
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Krylya Sovetov +2.38 Efficiency Index
vs
CSKA Moskva -2.38 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moskva
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Krylya Sovetov ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy CSKA Moskva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moskva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Krylya Sovetov
vs
CSKA Moskva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Krylya Sovetov 0.31
CSKA Moskva 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Krylya Sovetov CSKA Moskva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Krylya Sovetov 0.02
CSKA Moskva 0.02
Krylya Sovetov
CSKA Moskva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Krylya Sovetov had peak pressure around 40'.
  • Krylya Sovetov started the game with stronger pressure.
Krylya Sovetov Pressure CSKA Moskva Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Krylya Sovetov reached the top pressure at 40' (81.87).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 37 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Krylya Sovetov Krylya Sovetov Home
37 matches
CSKA Moskva CSKA Moskva Away
Match Record
4
Wins
25
8
Draws
8
25
Losses
4
Goals
28
Goals Scored
72
72
Goals Conceded
28
-44
Goal Difference
+44
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-19T00:01:36+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
S. Pesyakov
Russia
30 S. Pesyakov
F. Peixoto Costanza
Brazil
22 F. Peixoto Costanza
N. Chernov
Russia
23 N. Chernov
S. Bozhin
Russia
47 S. Bozhin
K. Pechenin
Belarus
2 K. Pechenin
N. Rasskazov
Russia
15 N. Rasskazov
M. Vityugov
Substitution
Russia
8 M. Vityugov
S. Babkin
Substitution
Russia
6 S. Babkin
I. Akhmetov
Substitution
Russia
77 I. Akhmetov
A. Rahmanović
Substitution
Bosnia and Herzegovina
11 A. Rahmanović
I. Oleynikov
Substitution
Russia
19 I. Oleynikov
V. Torop
Russia
49 V. Torop
D. Krugovoi
Russia
3 D. Krugovoi
K. Danilov
Russia
79 K. Danilov
D. Barinov
Russia
6 D. Barinov
M. Gajić
Serbia
22 M. Gajić
M. Kislyak
Russia
31 M. Kislyak
I. Oblyakov
Russia
10 I. Oblyakov
K. Glebov
Substitution
Russia
17 K. Glebov
D. Kozlov
Substitution
Russia
18 D. Kozlov
H. Fabiano do Carmo
Substitution
37 H. Fabiano do Carmo
L. Gondou
Substitution
Argentina
9 L. Gondou

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 18, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premier League, Russia · Round 25 · Regular Season
Stadium
Samara Arena
Capacity
44918
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Igor Demeshko
Aleksandr Bogdanov
Yaroslav Khromey
Pavel Shadykhanov

Statistics

Possession
Krylya Sovetov
45%
CSKA Moskva
55%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
2 Shots 0
42 Dangerous attacks 60
42 Possession 58
11 Corners 4
14 Free kicks 13
4 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

1 Assists 0
21 Throwins 13
2 Injuries 2
10 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 4
66 Ball Safe 65
17 Dribble Attempts 14
5 Successful Dribbles 5
29 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36
7 Goal Kicks 11
9 Successful Headers 8

Attacking

62 Attacks 90

Possession

308 Passes 441
50 Successful Long Passes Percentage 59
26 Successful Long Passes 22
238 Successful Passes 378
77 Successful Passes Percentage 86
52 Long Passes 37

Defensive

12 Tackles 15
0 Saves 1
37 Duels Won 41
10 Interceptions 9

Build-up

6 Accurate Crosses 4
26 Total Crosses 26

Discipline

0 Offsides 1
14 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Pavel Shadykhanov

Starting XI ▼

30
S. Pesyakov
S. Pesyakov Goalkeeper
6.88
2
Kirill Pechenin
Kirill Pechenin Defender
6.72
22
Fernando Costanza
Fernando Costanza Defender
6.85
23
Nikita Chernov
Nikita Chernov Defender
6.75
47
Sergey Bozhin
Sergey Bozhin Defender
6.88
6
S. Babkin
S. Babkin Midfielder
6.67
70
Artem Shumanskiy
Artem Shumanskiy
Attacker90+3'
6.67
8
M. Vityugov
M. Vityugov Midfielder
6.55
20
K. Stolbov
K. Stolbov
Midfielder84'
6.39
15
N. Rasskazov
N. Rasskazov Midfielder
6.48
77
I. Akhmetov
I. Akhmetov Midfielder
6.88
26
Jimmy Marín
Jimmy Marín
Midfielder76'
6.59
11
A. Rahmanović
A. Rahmanović Attacker
6.7
91
V. Ignatenko
V. Ignatenko
Attacker76'
6.66
19
I. Oleynikov
I. Oleynikov Attacker
6.74
14
Mihajlo Banjac
Mihajlo Banjac
Midfielder76'
6.69
Referee : Pavel Shadykhanov

Starting XI ▼

49
Vladislav Torop
Vladislav Torop Goalkeeper
6.97
3
Danil Krugovoy
Danil Krugovoy Defender
6.99
6
Dmitri Barinov
Dmitri Barinov Defender
7.14
22
Milan Gajić
Milan Gajić Defender
6.75
79
Kirill Danilov
Kirill Danilov Defender
6.57
10
Ivan Oblyakov
Ivan Oblyakov Midfielder
7.44
17
Kirill Glebov
Kirill Glebov Midfielder
6.99
7
Matheus Alves Nascimento
Matheus Alves Nascimento
Midfielder43'
6.92
18
Danila Kozlov
Danila Kozlov Midfielder
6.65
27
Moisés
Moisés
Defender44'
6.85
31
Matvey Kislyak
Matvey Kislyak Midfielder
7.24
37
Henrique Carmo
Henrique Carmo Midfielder
6.8
20
Matija Popović
Matija Popović
Midfielder62'
6.59
9
Luciano Gondou
Luciano Gondou Attacker
6.62
11
Tamerlan Musaev
Tamerlan Musaev
Attacker62'
6.87

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Artem Shumanskiy → S. Babkin
9th Substitution
90+3'
Event
Mihajlo Banjac
Foul / 7th Yellowcard
90+1'
Event
K. Stolbov → M. Vityugov
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Mihajlo Banjac → I. Oleynikov
5th Substitution
76'
Event
V. Ignatenko → A. Rahmanović
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Jimmy Marín → I. Akhmetov
7th Substitution
76'
75'
Event
Sergey Bozhin
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal
Event
Nikita Chernov
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
70'
66'
Event
Dmitri Barinov
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
I. Oleynikov
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
65'
Event
Fernando Costanza
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
65'
62'
Event
Tamerlan Musaev → Luciano Gondou
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Matija Popović → Henrique Carmo
4th Substitution
57'
Event
Matvey Kislyak
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
44'
Event
Moisés → Danila Kozlov
2nd Substitution
43'
Event
Matheus Alves Nascimento → Kirill Glebov
1st Substitution
40'
Event
Danila Kozlov
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Sergey Bozhin
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
19'
18'
Event
Henrique Carmo
Goal disallowed

CONCLUSION

Krylya Sovetov's gritty performance earned a creditable point against CSKA Moskva, underscoring their defensive solidity in holding a superior side to a 1-1 stalemate. CSKA's possession edge failed to yield more, exposing vulnerabilities in their finishing despite control. This draw represents a significant upset in structure, aligning with markets but diverging from strength hierarchies. With no disruptions like reds or tactical shifts, the game reflected pure execution. For Krylya, it's momentum-building; for CSKA, a wake-up call to sharpen conversion rates ahead of future tests.