Korona Kielce vs Widzew Lodz preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Exbud Arena Fri, 15 May - 6:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Widzew LodzWidzew Lodz
KICKOFF : Fri, 15 May - 6:30 PM
Round 33 Regular Season

CONTEXT

Korona Kielce hosts Widzew Lodz at Exbud Arena in a pivotal Ekstraklasa regular season encounter during the 2025/2026 campaign. The home side, perched in 15th position, confronts a Widzew team one spot higher at 14th, intensifying the stakes in their shared struggle near the relegation battleground. Power assessments highlight Widzew's narrow superiority at 60.89 against Korona's 60.18, yielding a mere 0.7-point edge to the visitors. Form metrics sharpen the narrative, as Widzew's robust 21.72 eclipses Korona's modest 8.11, signaling greater recent cohesion for the away outfit. Without specific last outing details or comprehensive form records, focus shifts to intrinsic strengths. Set piece evaluations draw from low-confidence proxies absent xG data, while efficiency and transition insights remain elusive. Korona banking on fervent home backing meets Widzew's subtle ascendancy in this taut affair.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Widzew Lodz carries a slight 0.7-point power advantage over Korona Kielce with scores of 60.89 to 60.18.
  • Form: Widzew Lodz outperforms in form at 21.72 compared to Korona Kielce's 8.11.
  • Squad: Korona Kielce ranks 15th in the Ekstraklasa, directly below Widzew Lodz at 14th.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are unavailable for this matchup.
  • Transition: Transition play data is not available for either team.
  • Set pieces: Set piece stats for both teams use low-confidence proxies without xG availability.
  • xVariable: xG variables lack direct data, depending on proxy estimates with low confidence.
  • Market: Baseline split: Korona Kielce 38.1% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ+0%) | Widzew Lodz 33.6% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
VS
Widzew Lodz A. Vukovic
A. Vukovic
1.12
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 61 D
Katowice Rank: 64 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 65 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 65 D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 59 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 60 W
Legia Warszawa Rank: 64 L
Motor Lublin Rank: 60 W
Radomiak Radom Rank: 58 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 69 D
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 5 - 7
7
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Korona Kielce
38.06%
Draw
28.39%
Away Widzew Lodz
33.55%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.18
60.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Korona Kielce
Widzew Lodz
Power Score
60.18
60.89
League Position
15
14
Global Rank
489
464

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Widzew Lodz — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Korona Kielce Widzew Lodz

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 20 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Home
20 matches
Widzew Lodz Widzew Lodz Away
Match Record
8
Wins
7
5
Draws
5
7
Losses
8
Goals
25
Goals Scored
21
21
Goals Conceded
25
+4
Goal Difference
-4
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-12T00:06:50+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
May 15, 2026, 06:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 33 · Regular Season
Stadium
Exbud Arena
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI ▼

1
Xavier Dziekonski
Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper
6.93
37
Hubert Zwozny
Hubert Zwozny Midfielder
6.47
7
Dawid Blanik
Dawid Blanik Midfielder
7.23
6
Marcel Pieczek
Marcel Pieczek Midfielder
6.86
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle Midfielder
6.93
70
Antoñín
Antoñín Centre Forward
6.66
89
Simon Gustafson
Simon Gustafson Central Midfield
6.61
5
Pau Resta
Pau Resta Left Back
7.1
24
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk Right Back
6.8
44
Konstantinos Sotiriou
Konstantinos Sotiriou Centre Back
6.93
88
Tamar Svetlin
Tamar Svetlin Central Midfield
6.9

Starting XI ▼

1
Bartlomiej Dragowski
Bartlomiej Dragowski Goalkeeper
6.79
77
Ángel Baena
Ángel Baena Attacker
6.61
99
Sebastian Bergier
Sebastian Bergier Centre Forward
7.03
7
Mariusz Fornalczyk
Mariusz Fornalczyk Attacker
6.72
2
Carlos Isaac
Carlos Isaac Right Back
6.82
10
Fran Álvarez
Fran Álvarez Central Midfield
7.09
3
Samuel Kozlovský
Samuel Kozlovský Left Back
6.71
8
Emil Kornvig
Emil Kornvig Central Midfield
6.99
18
Lindon Selahi
Lindon Selahi Central Midfield
6.8
25
Przemysław Wiśniewski
Przemysław Wiśniewski Right Back
7.03
53
Steve Kapuadi
Steve Kapuadi Left Back
6.68

CONCLUSION

Widzew Lodz arrives with subtle momentum from superior form and power metrics, testing Korona Kielce's resolve at Exbud Arena. The hosts' 15th-place standing demands a strong home showing against a 14th-placed rival hungry for separation. Widzew's edge could manifest through sustained pressure, yet Korona's familiarity with the venue offers counterbalance. Sparse details on set pieces, efficiency, and transitions underscore the need for tactical discipline. This clash shapes as a grinder, where exploiting scant opportunities decides the outcome. Widzew appears poised for a potential breakthrough, but Korona's grit might secure parity in a hard-fought contest.