Korona Kielce vs Piast Gliwice preview

Poland flag 2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Exbud Arena Fri, 1 May - 3:30 PM
Ekstraklasa
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Piast GliwicePiast Gliwice
KICKOFF : Fri, 1 May - 3:30 PM
Round 31 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the Ekstraklasa regular season clash at Exbud Arena, Korona Kielce hosts Piast Gliwice during the 2025/2026 campaign. Piast Gliwice enters with a marginal power edge, boasting a 61.06 rating against Korona's 60.34, translating to a 0.7-point advantage. Currently, Piast occupies 9th place, one spot above Korona in 12th, underscoring a tight mid-table battle. Form metrics highlight Piast's stronger momentum at 24.5 versus Korona's 11.83, suggesting better recent cohesion. Both sides lack detailed last outing data, but league positions reflect steady rather than spectacular campaigns. Set-piece and efficiency stats remain unavailable due to low-confidence proxies and absent xG information, leveling analytical insights. Korona will lean on home advantage, while Piast's subtle superiority could shine in transitions. This encounter promises tactical intrigue in Poland's top flight.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Piast Gliwice possesses a 0.7-point power advantage over Korona Kielce with scores of 61.06 to 60.34.
  • Form: Piast Gliwice outperforms in form with 24.5 against Korona Kielce's 11.83.
  • Squad: Korona Kielce ranks 12th and Piast Gliwice 9th in Ekstraklasa domestic standings.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data unavailable for both Korona Kielce and Piast Gliwice.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics provided in available data.
  • Set pieces: Set-piece stats unavailable due to low confidence and proxy usage for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables absent as add-on not enabled.
  • Market: Korona Kielce 41.3% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.4% (Δ+0%) | Piast Gliwice 30.2% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
VS
Piast Gliwice D. Myśliwiec
D. Myśliwiec
1.13
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.72
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: 64 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 65 L
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 63 D
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 55 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 61 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Arka Gdynia Rank: 56 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 61 D
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 60 L
Nieciecza Rank: 52 L
Radomiak Radom Rank: 60 W
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 64 W
8
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
8 - 10 - 9
9
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Korona Kielce
41.34%
Draw
28.41%
Away Piast Gliwice
30.24%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
60.34
61.06
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Korona Kielce
Piast Gliwice
Power Score
60.34
61.06
League Position
12
9
Global Rank
465
442

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Piast Gliwice — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Korona Kielce Piast Gliwice

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 27 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Home
27 matches
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice Away
Match Record
8
Wins
9
10
Draws
10
9
Losses
8
Goals
26
Goals Scored
28
28
Goals Conceded
26
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-01T00:05:18+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
May 01, 2026, 03:30 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 31 · Regular Season
Stadium
Exbud Arena
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Patryk Gryckiewicz
Marcin Boniek
Bartosz Kaszyński
Mateusz Mastaj

Expected Lineup

Referee : Patryk Gryckiewicz

Starting XI ▼

1
Xavier Dziekonski
Xavier Dziekonski Goalkeeper
6.95
3
Konrad Matuszewski
Konrad Matuszewski Midfielder
6.96
37
Hubert Zwozny
Hubert Zwozny Midfielder
6.53
14
Mariusz Stepinski
Mariusz Stepinski Centre Forward
6.92
71
Wiktor Dlugosz
Wiktor Dlugosz Attacker
6.93
7
Dawid Blanik
Dawid Blanik Attacker
7.23
24
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk
Bartlomiej Smolarczyk Right Back
6.76
89
Simon Gustafson
Simon Gustafson Central Midfield
6.58
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle Central Midfield
6.92
5
Pau Resta
Pau Resta Centre Back
7.11
6
Marcel Pieczek
Marcel Pieczek Left Back
6.87
Referee : Patryk Gryckiewicz

Starting XI ▼

30
Dominik Holec
Dominik Holec Goalkeeper
7.54
7
Jorge Félix
Jorge Félix Centre Forward
6.87
29
Igor Drapinski
Igor Drapinski Left Back
6.85
17
Quentin Boisgard
Quentin Boisgard Attacking Midfield
6.65
28
Filip Borowski
Filip Borowski Right Back
6.48
36
Jakub Lewicki
Jakub Lewicki Left Back
6.76
11
Leandro Sanca
Leandro Sanca Left Wing
7
20
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz
Grzegorz Tomasiewicz Defensive Midfield
6.81
5
Juande Rivas
Juande Rivas Right Back
7.03
10
Patryk Dziczek
Patryk Dziczek Defensive Midfield
7.07
98
Jason Lokilo
Jason Lokilo Right Wing
6.82

CONCLUSION

Piast Gliwice's slight power and form edges position them favorably against Korona Kielce at Exbud Arena. Home support may bolster Korona's resolve, yet Piast's higher league standing hints at greater consistency. Absent advanced metrics like efficiency or set pieces leave room for on-pitch surprises. Expect a competitive affair where Piast's momentum could tip scales, though Korona's domestic positioning ensures resilience. Mid-table implications loom large in this Ekstraklasa regular season fixture.