Korona Kielce vs Legia Warszawa preview

Poland flag 2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Exbud Arena Today - 6:15 PM
Ekstraklasa
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
1 – 1
Legia WarszawaLegia Warszawa
Full Time Today 6:15 PM
Round 3 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

The match between Korona Kielce and Legia Warszawa resulted in a 1-1 draw. Legia Warszawa established a lead during the first half, going into halftime with a 0-1 advantage. Korona Kielce managed to equalize in the second half to secure the draw. The home team dominated possession with 61 percent compared to 39 percent for the away team. No red cards were issued to players from either side. Legia Warszawa entered as the stronger team but experienced a significant deviation in their performance outcome. The efficiency shift was in line with expectations based on the data. With no xG data available, alignment assessments were limited to other metrics. The result showed market alignment as true.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Korona Kielce 1-1 Legia Warszawa. Legia Warszawa showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to determine alignment.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations could not be evaluated due to null values.
  • Event impact: The halftime lead by Legia Warszawa was overturned by Korona Kielce's second half equalizer.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, resulting in no distortion from such events.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Przybył
J. Przybył
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Mucha
S. Mucha
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Kosarzecki
M. Kosarzecki
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Kuropatwa
M. Kuropatwa
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Korona Kielce P. Golański
P. Golański
VS
Legia Warszawa M. Papszun
M. Papszun
1.06
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.19
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 73 D
Jagiellonia Białystok Rank: 69 L
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 62 D
Widzew Lodz Rank: 64 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 71 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 63 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 67 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 65 W
Motor Lublin Rank: 62 W
Lechia Gdańsk Rank: 60 W
Nieciecza Rank: 55 W
Widzew Lodz Rank: 64 W
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 2
2

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
63.21
70.9
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
Power Score
63.21
70.9
League Position
16
1
Global Rank
474
242

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Legia Warszawa — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Korona Kielce Legia Warszawa

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Korona Kielce

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Legia Warszawa

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Korona Kielce ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Legia Warszawa
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Korona Kielce Legia Warszawa
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Korona Kielce Legia Warszawa
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Korona Kielce
vs
Legia Warszawa
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Korona Kielce Legia Warszawa
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Korona Kielce 0.00
Legia Warszawa 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Korona Kielce Legia Warszawa
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Korona Kielce 0.00
Legia Warszawa 0.00
Korona Kielce
Legia Warszawa
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • Korona Kielce had peak pressure around 97'.
  • Korona Kielce started the game with stronger pressure.
Korona Kielce Pressure Legia Warszawa Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: Korona Kielce reached the top pressure at 97' (75.84).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Home
4 matches
Legia Warszawa Legia Warszawa Away
Match Record
1
Wins
2
1
Draws
1
2
Losses
1
Goals
3
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
3
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-08T18:00:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Pitch
X. Dziekonski
Poland
1 X. Dziekonski
S. Rubežić
Serbia
23 S. Rubežić
C. Soteriou
Cyprus
44 C. Soteriou
A. Mosór
Substitution
Poland
2 A. Mosór
W. Długosz
Poland
71 W. Długosz
P. Hellebrand
Czech Republic
18 P. Hellebrand
K. Jakubczyk
Substitution
Poland
35 K. Jakubczyk
M. Pieczek
Poland
6 M. Pieczek
M. Faßbender
Germany
22 M. Faßbender
S. Gustafson
Substitution
Sweden
86 S. Gustafson
M. Stępiński
Substitution
Poland
14 M. Stępiński

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 06:15 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 3 · Regular Season
Stadium
Exbud Arena
Capacity
5000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jarosław Przybył
Sebastian Mucha
Maciej Kosarzecki
Maciej Kuropatwa

Statistics

Possession
Korona Kielce
58%
Legia Warszawa
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
1 Big Chances Created 2
7 Shots 4
68 Dangerous attacks 54
61 Possession 39
6 Corners 0
18 Free kicks 17
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

100 Ball Safe 83
8 Goal Attempts 5
4 Substitutions 4
16 Throwins 16
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 1
1 Injuries 0
7 Dribble Attempts 6
7 Successful Dribbles 6
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 60

Attacking

117 Attacks 107

Possession

30 Long Passes 14
558 Passes 347
273 Successful Passes 167
83 Successful Passes Percentage 80
11 Key Passes 3

Defensive

0 Saves 2
11 Tackles 5
8 Interceptions 8
58 Duels Won 54

Build-up

11 Total Crosses 17

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Jarosław Przybył

Starting XI ▼

1
Xavier Dziekoński
Xavier Dziekoński Goalkeeper
7.09
2
Ariel Mosór
Ariel Mosór Defender
7.28
9
Stjepan Davidovic
Stjepan Davidovic
63'
6.69
6
Marcel Pięczek
Marcel Pięczek Defender
6.71
23
Slobodan Rubežić
Slobodan Rubežić Defender
6.83
44
Konstantinos Sotiriou
Konstantinos Sotiriou Defender
6.9
71
Wiktor Długosz
Wiktor Długosz Defender
6.85
18
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Midfielder
7.11
22
Morgan Faßbender
Morgan Faßbender Midfielder
6.58
35
Kamil Jakubczyk
Kamil Jakubczyk Midfielder
6.45
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle
71'
6.27
86
Simon Gustafson
Simon Gustafson Midfielder
6.95
10
Nono
Nono
85'
6.62
14
Mariusz Stępiński
Mariusz Stępiński Attacker
6.47
99
Daniel Bąk
Daniel Bąk
85'
6.36
Referee : Jarosław Przybył

Starting XI ▼

89
Otto Hindrich
Otto Hindrich Goalkeeper
7.14
5
R. Deziel
R. Deziel Defender
7.06
8
Rafal Augustyniak
Rafal Augustyniak Defender
7.22
91
Kamil Piatkowski
Kamil Piatkowski Defender
7.29
4
Damian Szymanski
Damian Szymanski Midfielder
6.97
53
Wojciech Urbanski
Wojciech Urbanski Midfielder
6.49
20
Jakub Zewlakow
Jakub Zewlakow
67'
6.77
67
Bartosz Kapustka
Bartosz Kapustka Midfielder
7.06
6
Henrique Arreiol
Henrique Arreiol
87'
6.56
9
Rafał Adamski
Rafał Adamski Attacker
7.14
19
Rúben Vinagre
Rúben Vinagre Attacker
7.73
22
Pawel Wszolek
Pawel Wszolek Attacker
7.47
13
Arkadiusz Reca
Arkadiusz Reca
88'
6.26
79
Lukasz Zjawinski
Lukasz Zjawinski Attacker
7.38
29
Mileta Rajović
Mileta Rajović
67'
6.54

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Arkadiusz Reca → Pawel Wszolek
8th Substitution
87'
Event
Henrique Arreiol → Bartosz Kapustka
7th Substitution
Event
Daniel Bąk → Mariusz Stępiński
5th Substitution
85'
Event
Nono  → Simon Gustafson
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Martin Remacle → Kamil Jakubczyk
4th Substitution
71'
Event
Mariusz Stępiński
Header / 2nd Goal
70'
67'
Event
Mileta Rajović → Lukasz Zjawinski
2nd Substitution
67'
Event
Jakub Zewlakow → Wojciech Urbanski
3rd Substitution
Event
Stjepan Davidovic → Ariel Mosór
1st Substitution
63'
Event
Kamil Jakubczyk
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
60'
51'
Event
Rafał Adamski
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
28'
Event
Lukasz Zjawinski
Header / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Stjepan Davidovic attempts a header but misses the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Morgan Fabender with his right foot is blocked.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Attempt Attempt
Marcel Pieczek takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
88
Update Update
Arkadiusz Reca is on, and Pawel Wszolek is off.
87
Attempt Attempt
Patrik Hellebrand takes a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Update Update
Henrique Arreiol comes on for Bartosz Kapustka.
85
Update Update
On comes David Gonzalez Plata, off goes Simon Gustafson.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Daniel Bak comes on for Mariusz Stepinski.
73
Attempt Attempt
Wiktor Dlugosz takes a right-footed shot but misses.
71
Substitution Substitution
Martin Remacle is substituted for Kamil Jakubczyk.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Mariusz Stepinski takes a shot with his head and scores a goal.
70
Attempt Attempt
Wiktor Dlugosz takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Mariusz Stepinski scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Wiktor Dlugosz.
67
Update Update
Mileta Rajovic comes on for Lukasz Zjawinski.
67
Update Update
Jakub Zewlakow is on, and Wojciech Urbanski is off.
62
Update Update
Stjepan Davidovic is on, and Ariel Mosor is off.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kamil Jakubczyk receives a yellow card.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Rafal Adamski.
49
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Rafal Adamski receives a yellow card.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Kamil Jakubczyk's right-footed shot is blocked.
43
Attempt Attempt
Morgan Fabender takes a right-footed shot, but it hits the post.
32
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Rafal Adamski Head Shot Missed
32
Attempt Attempt
Rafal Adamski takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
31
Attempt Attempt
Wojciech Urbanski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
28
Attempt Attempt
Rafal Adamski takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
28
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
20
Attempt Attempt
Rafal Adamski takes a header shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Mariusz Stepinski takes a right-footed shot but misses.
14
Attempt Attempt
Ariel Mosor takes a header shot but misses.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Attempt Attempt
Kamil Jakubczyk takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jaroslaw Przybyl.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Korona Kielce 1-1 Legia Warszawa. Structural assessment: Legia Warszawa exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.