Koper vs NSÍ preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
ŠRC Bonifika Thu, 30 Jul - 6:45 PM
Europa Conference League
Full Time: Finished on Penalties Thu, 30 Jul 6:45 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 3

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Koper 1–3 NSÍ. The result saw NSÍ take the points. NSÍ showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 63%–37%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Koper held 63 percent possession yet lost the match 1-3.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with pre-match indicators.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for this fixture.
  • Market alignment: The result aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No xG metrics were recorded to evaluate expectations.
  • Event impact: NSÍ overturned the 3-3 aggregate with a 3-1 win.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to influence proceedings.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Jöllenbeck
M. Jöllenbeck
Referee 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Schaal
D. Schaal
1st Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Weickenmeier
J. Weickenmeier
2nd Assistant 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Reichel
T. Reichel
4th Official 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Koper Z. Željkovič
Z. Željkovič
VS
NSÍ S. Eyjolfsson
S. Eyjolfsson
3
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.33
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
NSÍ Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Koper Rank: 72 L
Hamrun Spartans Rank: W
Hamrun Spartans Rank: D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Koper
0.65%
Draw
1.91%
Away NSÍ
97.44%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
27.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Koper
NSÍ
Power Score
50
27.78
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Koper Opponent-weighted form score
NSÍ Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Koper NSÍ

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

vs

Koper

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

NSÍ

Left / Center / Right
Opposition half density
vs season average

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Koper ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NSÍ
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
61.67
41.22
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
41.22
61.67
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Koper +1.96 Efficiency Index
vs
NSÍ -1.96 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Koper
NSÍ
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Koper ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NSÍ
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Koper NSÍ
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
7.00 6.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
vs
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Koper NSÍ
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
6.00 7.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
vs
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Koper
NSÍ
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

Koper
vs
NSÍ
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Koper NSÍ
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Koper NSÍ
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
Koper
NSÍ
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KOP had peak pressure around 107'.
  • KOP started the game with stronger pressure.
KOP Pressure NSÍ Pressure
Pressure Index: KOP reached the top pressure at 107' (85.74).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Koper KOP Home
1 matches
NSÍ NSÍ Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
2
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:07:42+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-1-2
Match Formation 4-3-3

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 3
Stadium
ŠRC Bonifika
Capacity
4010
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Matthias Jöllenbeck
Dominik Schaal
Jonas Weickenmeier
Tobias Reichel

Statistics

Possession
KOP
59%
NSÍ
41%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 3
17 Shots 3
117 Dangerous attacks 65
63 Possession 37
7 Corners 8
17 Free kicks 24
6 Yellow Cards 5

Match Overview

120 Ball Safe 119
1 Penalties 0
21 Goal Attempts 8
6 Substitutions 3
32 Throwins 26
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

194 Attacks 126

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
21 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Matthias Jöllenbeck

Starting XI

1
Luka Bas
Luka Bas Goalkeeper
5.68
3
Johannes Hoff Thorup
6.25
18
Giuseppe Agyemang
6.04
5
Filip Backulja
Filip Backulja Defender
5.88
33
Filip Damjanovic
Filip Damjanovic Defender
5.88
47
Álvaro Roncal
Álvaro Roncal Defender
5.86
6
Fran Tomek
Fran Tomek Midfielder
6.27
86
Stefano Surdanovic
Stefano Surdanovic
Midfielder79'
6.37
10
Leo Rimac
Leo Rimac Midfielder
6.02
8
Bassirou N'Diaye
Bassirou N'Diaye
Midfielder85'
6.41
25
Bangaly Diawara
Bangaly Diawara Midfielder
6.13
27
Andraz Ruedl
Andraz Ruedl Midfielder
6.37
99
Kamil Manseri
Kamil Manseri
Midfielder67'
6.27
45
Isaac Matondo
Isaac Matondo Midfielder
6.27
80
Jean-Pierre Longonda
6.37
9
Brown Irabor
Brown Irabor Attacker
6.43
72
Josip Ilicic
Josip Ilicic
Attacker79'
6.46
Referee : Matthias Jöllenbeck

Starting XI

13
Tom Amos
Tom Amos Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Viljormur Davidsen
6.36
4
Daniel Obbekjær
Daniel Obbekjær Defender
6.26
12
Filip Drinic
Filip Drinic Defender
6.26
28
Markus Danielsen
Markus Danielsen
Attacker103'
6.5
17
Jann Benjaminsen
Jann Benjaminsen Defender
6.25
2
Sammy Skytte
Sammy Skytte Midfielder
6.61
5
Alex Freyr Elísson
6.26
6
Beinir Nolsøe
Beinir Nolsøe Midfielder
6.52
22
Jóel Tróndargjógv
6.5
11
Marius Lindh
Marius Lindh Midfielder
6.57
16
Petur Knudsen
Petur Knudsen (C) Midfielder
6.33
33
Michal Przybylski
Michal Przybylski Midfielder
6.57
45
Meinhard Olsen
Meinhard Olsen Midfielder
6.5
10
Klaemint Olsen
Klaemint Olsen
Attacker74'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
120+2'
Event
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
115'
Event
Jóel Tróndargjógv Beinir Nolsøe
10th Substitution
Event
Time wasting / 11th Yellowcard
111'
106'
Event
Foul / 10th Yellowcard
103'
Event
Markus Danielsen Filip Drinic
9th Substitution
Event
Penalty / 1st Penalty
102'
102'
Event
Argument / 9th Yellowcard
101'
Event
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
101'
Event
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
101'
Event
J. Benjaminsen
12th Yellowcard
101'
Event
V. Davidsen
13th Yellowcard
99'
Event
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
Jean-Pierre Longonda Isaac Matondo
8th Substitution
91'
Event
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+5'
87'
Event
Alex Freyr Elísson Sammy Skytte
7th Substitution
Event
Bassirou N'Diaye Leo Rimac
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Josip Ilicic Brown Irabor
4th Substitution
79'
Event
Stefano Surdanovic Fran Tomek
5th Substitution
79'
74'
Event
Klaemint Olsen  Meinhard Olsen
3rd Substitution
Event
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
71'
Event
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
70'
70'
Event
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
Event
Giuseppe Agyemang Johannes Hoff Thorup
2nd Substitution
68'
Event
Kamil Manseri Andraz Ruedl
1st Substitution
67'
Event
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
58'
1ST-HALF
35'
Event
Field Goal / 1st Goal
Event
Goalkeeper save
25'
Event
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
22'
Event
Goalkeeper save
12'
Event
Goalkeeper save
6'
5'
Event
Goalkeeper save
Event
Goalkeeper save
2'
1'
Event
Off target

Match Commentary

125
Update Update
Penalty miss by Filip Damjanovic in the shootout. The score remains 3-4.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Daniel Obbekjaer scores, making it 3-4.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Jean-Pierre Longonda scores, making it 3-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Klaemint Olsen scores, making it 2-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Kamil Manseri scores, making it 2-2.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss by Alvaro Roncal. The match remains 1-1.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal scored, making it 2-1.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss by Viljornur Davidsen. The match remains 1-1.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal! Bassirou Ndiaye scores, making it 1-1.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal! Jann Benjaminsen scores to make it 0-1.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss by Josip Ilicic. The score remains 0-0.
125
Attempt Attempt
Penalty missed. The score remains 0-0.
120
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Michal Przybylski scores, making it 1-3.
120
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
115
Update Update
On comes Joel Trondargjogv, off goes Beinir Nolsoe.
111
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Giuseppe Agyemang.
110
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
106
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
103
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Joel Trondargjogv comes on for Filip Drinic.
103
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
102
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Bassirou Ndiaye scores, making it 1-2.
101
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Bassirou Ndiaye scores, making it 1-2.
101
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
99
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
97
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
91
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jean-Pierre Longonda comes on for Isaac Matondo.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Diawara Bangaly.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
87
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alex Freyr Elisson comes on for Sammy Skytte.
85
Update Update
Bassirou Ndiaye is on, and Leo Rimac is off.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Stefano Surdanovic replaces Fran Tomek.
79
Update Update
Josip Ilicic comes on for Brown Irabor.
74
Update Update
On Klaemint Olsen, Off Klaemint Olsen.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Luka Bas.
71
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Leo Rimac.
70
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-2.
68
Update Update
Giuseppe Agyemang is on, and Florian Hartherz is off.
67
Update Update
Kamil Manseri comes on for Andraz Ruedl.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Florian Hartherz receives a yellow card.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Beinir Nolsoe scores to make it 0-1, assisted by Sammy Skytte.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Diawara Bangaly puts the score at 0-1.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Penalty saved! Leo Rimac's attempt does not find the net.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Alvaro Roncal.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Matthias Jollenbeck.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Koper 1-3 NSÍ. Structural assessment: NSÍ exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.