Kingstonian vs Hastings United preview

England flag 2026/2027 FA Cup, England
King George's Field Yesterday - 6:45 PM
FA Cup
KingstonianLAK
4 1
Hastings UnitedHAS
Full Time Yesterday 6:45 PM
Extra Preliminary Round

CONTEXT

Kingstonian secured a convincing 4-1 victory over Hastings United at home. The halftime score was 2-1, reflecting early dominance by the hosts who controlled 53 percent of possession throughout the contest. Hastings United managed 47 percent ball control but struggled to match the intensity after the break. Kingstonian as the stronger side delivered a performance marked by significant deviation from baseline expectations. No red cards were shown to either team, allowing uninterrupted play. The result highlighted clear efficiency in converting opportunities for the winners. This outcome reinforced Kingstonian's position while exposing areas for improvement in the visitors' approach.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kingstonian exhibited significant deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with pre-match projections.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed due to unavailable data.
  • Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with market alignment.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations remained undetermined from the given metrics.
  • Event impact: Key events produced the final 4-1 scoreline for Kingstonian.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to create any match distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
No referee statistics available.
Kingstonian Kingstonian
Kingstonian
VS
Hastings United Hastings United
Hastings United
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
50
50
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kingstonian
Hastings United
Power Score
50
50
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kingstonian — Opponent-weighted form score
Hastings United — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kingstonian Hastings United

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kingstonian

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hastings United

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kingstonian ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hastings United
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
39.15
30.32
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
30.32
39.15
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kingstonian — Efficiency Index
vs
Hastings United — Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kingstonian
Hastings United
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kingstonian ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hastings United
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kingstonian Hastings United
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kingstonian Hastings United
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kingstonian
Hastings United
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kingstonian
vs
Hastings United
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kingstonian Hastings United
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kingstonian 0.33
Hastings United 0.27
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kingstonian Hastings United
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kingstonian 0.02
Hastings United 0.07
Kingstonian
Hastings United
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • LAK had peak pressure around 53'.
  • HAS started the game with stronger pressure.
LAK Pressure HAS Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: LAK reached the top pressure at 53' (67.58).

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 07, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 FA Cup, England · Extra Preliminary Round
Stadium
King George's Field
Capacity
2700
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Statistics

Possession
LAK
55%
HAS
45%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
9 Shots 6
55 Dangerous attacks 45
53 Possession 47
3 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5

Attacking

95 Attacks 85

Squad

Squad ▼

—
Rob Tolfrey
Rob Tolfrey Goalkeeper
—
Mason Whitnell
Mason Whitnell Goalkeeper
—
Sam Riley
Sam Riley Goalkeeper
—
Harry Osborne
Harry Osborne Defender
—
Ollie Cook
Ollie Cook Defender
—
Kenny Beaney
Kenny Beaney Midfielder
—
Ghassimu Sow
Ghassimu Sow Midfielder
—
Kershaney Samuels
Kershaney Samuels Midfielder
—
Juevan Spencer
Juevan Spencer Midfielder
—
Aaron Lamont
Aaron Lamont Midfielder

Squad ▼

—
Louis Rogers
Louis Rogers Goalkeeper
—
Craig Stone
Craig Stone Defender
—
Alexander Brefo
Alexander Brefo Defender
—
Armandas Briedis
Armandas Briedis Defender
—
Josh Turner
Josh Turner Defender
—
Sam Adams
Sam Adams Midfielder
—
Sam Hasler
Sam Hasler Midfielder
—
Tom Chalmers
Tom Chalmers Midfielder
—
Kane Penn
Kane Penn Midfielder
—
Oscar Barry
Oscar Barry Midfielder
—
James Hull
James Hull Midfielder
—
Jamal Lubanga
Jamal Lubanga Midfielder

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Eddie Simon
5th Goal
63'
Event
Eddie Simon
4th Goal
60'
1ST-HALF
Event
2nd Goal
39'
Event
Reuben Duncan
3rd Goal
39'
21'
Event
1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
71
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-1.
60
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-1.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
39
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off has occurred!

CONCLUSION

Kingstonian capitalized on their home advantage to overcome Hastings United by a 4-1 margin after leading 2-1 at the interval. Possession stats showed a slight edge for the hosts at 53 percent, enabling sustained pressure that translated into goals. The absence of disciplinary issues kept the game flowing smoothly for both sides. Significant deviation by the stronger team proved decisive in securing the win. Efficiency remained aligned with projections, underscoring solid execution from Kingstonian. This result leaves Hastings United with lessons on maintaining competitiveness away from home. Overall the match demonstrated clear control by the victors from start to finish.