KFUM vs Molde preview
2026 Eliteserien, Norway
KFUM Arena
Sun, 26 Jul - 3:00 PM
Round 15 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 13
CONTEXT
KFUM faced Molde in a league encounter that concluded with a 2-4 scoreline. The halftime score stood at 1-1. Molde controlled possession at 65 percent compared to KFUM's 35 percent. Expected goals favored Molde heavily at 2.72 against KFUM's 0.53, producing an xG differential of -2.19. The stronger team Molde secured the victory in line with the xG data. No red cards were shown to either side. The outcome proved consistent with the underlying metrics and showed a significant deviation level for the away side.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Final score: KFUM 2-4 Molde. Molde showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with expected performance levels for both teams.
-
xG alignment: The final result stayed consistent with the xG differential of -2.19.
-
Market alignment: The outcome aligned with pre-match market projections for the stronger side.
-
xG expectations: Molde generated an xG of 2.72 while KFUM managed only 0.53.
-
Event impact: Key events produced a clear impact that matched the xG and possession patterns.
-
Red card distortion: No red cards occurred and therefore created zero distortion to the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
S. Amland
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
J. Knutsen
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
T. Grønevik
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
M. Berg
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
J. Isnes
VS
S. Tjelmeland
0.92
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1.54
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lillestrøm
Rank: 59
L
Bodø / Glimt
Rank: 83
L
Tromsø
Rank: 71
D
Rosenborg
Rank: 65
W
Brann
Rank: 70
L
Viking
Rank: 80
L
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Brann
Rank: 69
L
Aalesund
Rank: 47
D
Sandefjord
Rank: 63
W
Sarpsborg 08
Rank: 65
L
Kristiansund
Rank: 56
W
Tromsø
Rank: 71
L
2
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 2 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
58.28
67.86
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
KFUM
Molde
Power Score
58.28
67.86
League Position
14
5
Global Rank
605
325
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
KFUM
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Molde
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
KFUM Molde
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
KFUM
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Molde
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
KFUM
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Molde
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
26.29
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
31.69
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
KFUM
-0.52
Efficiency Index
vs
Molde
+0.52
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
KFUM
Molde
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
KFUM
vs
Molde
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
KFUM
Molde
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
14%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.07
vs
-0.25
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
KFUM
Molde
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
9%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.25
vs
-0.07
KFUM
Molde
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
KFUM
vs
Molde
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
KFUM
Molde
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
KFUM
0.16
Molde
0.35
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
KFUM
Molde
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
KFUM
0.08
Molde
0.05
KFUM
Molde
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- MOL had peak pressure around 36'.
- MOL started the game with stronger pressure.
KFUM Pressure
MOL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
MOL reached the top pressure at 36' (82.42).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
KFUM
KFUM
Home
4
matches
Molde
MOL
Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
7
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:04:21+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-4-2-1
Match Formation
4-2-3-1
General Information
Date & Time
Jul 26, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026 Eliteserien, Norway · Round 15 · Regular Season
Stadium
KFUM Arena
Capacity
1500
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Sivert Amland
Jon-Michael Knutsen
Tom Harald Grønevik
Martin Berg
Next Match
KFUM
vs
Kristiansund
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 2 Aug - 3:00 PM
Venue: KFUM Arena
Molde
vs
Sarpsborg 08
League: Eliteserien
Kickoff: Sun, 2 Aug - 3:00 PM
Venue: Aker Stadion
Statistics
Possession
KFUM
38%
MOL
62%
Top Statistics
2
Goals
4
0
Big Chances Created
2
2
Shots
8
44
Dangerous attacks
52
35
Possession
65
3
Corners
9
10
Free kicks
8
3
Yellow Cards
3
Match Overview
62
Ball Safe
59
12
Goal Kicks
9
6
Goal Attempts
12
5
Substitutions
5
21
Throwins
16
0
Hit Woodwork
2
22
Dribble Attempts
22
7
Successful Dribbles
8
32
Successful Dribbles Percentage
36
Attacking
74
Attacks
100
4
Counter Attacks
6
Possession
65
Long Passes
55
281
Passes
544
187
Successful Passes
451
67
Successful Passes Percentage
83
3
Key Passes
13
17
Successful Long Passes
31
26
Successful Long Passes Percentage
56
Defensive
5
Saves
2
21
Tackles
17
3
Interceptions
13
50
Duels Won
53
Build-up
14
Total Crosses
16
4
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
2
Offsides
4
8
Fouls
9
Lineup
Referee :
Sivert Amland
Manager ▼
J. Isnes
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
31
Darian Mink
Goalkeeper
4
Momodou Lion Njie
Defender
33
Amin Nouri
Defender
20
Mostafa Najafzadeh
Midfielder
Referee :
Sivert Amland
Manager ▼
S. Tjelmeland
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
Events
2ND-HALF
90+3'
Left foot shot / 6th Goal
10th Substitution
88'
87'
Goal awarded
85'
Right foot shot / 5th Goal
83'
9th Substitution
8th Substitution
79'
75'
7th Substitution
4th Substitution
69'
69'
3rd Substitution
69'
5th Substitution
69'
6th Substitution
63'
Simulation / 6th Yellowcard
63'
Penalty disallowed
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
60'
58'
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
1st Substitution
46'
2nd Substitution
46'
46'
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
45+5'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
45+5'
45+5'
Argument / 2nd Yellowcard
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
45+2'
45'
Goal disallowed
40'
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
1'
CONCLUSION
Molde's superior xG output and possession dominance translated directly into a 2-4 away win over KFUM. The halftime parity at 1-1 gave way to a second-half surge that reflected the expected goals gap. KFUM's limited 0.53 xG underscored their inability to create sustained threats despite the early equalizer. Molde maintained control without the need for disciplinary interventions, preserving the integrity of the statistical trends. The absence of red cards ensured the result rested solely on open-play efficiency and structural advantages. Overall the data confirmed Molde as the deserved winner in a match that followed the pre-game metrics closely.
