KF Ballkani vs Connah's Quay preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
Europa Conference League
KF BallkaniBAL
3 2
Connah's QuayCON
Full Time
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 2
Edvin Kuc - 20'
Giovanni - 49'
Goal
|
Goal
Max Woodcock - 69' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. KF Ballkani 3–2 Connah's Quay. The result saw KF Ballkani take the points. KF Ballkani showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 66%–34%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Minimal deviation of 4.4 percent occurred for KF Ballkani.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns.
  • xG alignment: No xG data was available to assess alignment.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals information was not recorded for this match.
  • Event impact: The second half produced the decisive 3-2 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to distort match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Ghaltakchyan
A. Ghaltakchyan
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
K. Hovhannisyan
K. Hovhannisyan
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
S. Hovhannisyan
S. Hovhannisyan
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yura Mahtesyan
Yura Mahtesyan
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
KF Ballkani M. Karoglan
M. Karoglan
VS
Connah's Quay J. Disney
J. Disney
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Connah's Quay Rank: 51 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
KF Ballkani Rank: 54 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home KF Ballkani
95.64%
Draw
3.72%
Away Connah's Quay
0.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
54.72
50.51
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
KF Ballkani
Connah's Quay
Power Score
54.72
50.51
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
693
815

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
KF Ballkani — Opponent-weighted form score
Connah's Quay — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) KF Ballkani Connah's Quay

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

KF Ballkani

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Connah's Quay

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

KF Ballkani ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Connah's Quay
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
28.86
33.68
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
33.68
28.86
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
KF Ballkani -0.39 Efficiency Index
vs
Connah's Quay +0.39 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
KF Ballkani
Connah's Quay
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

KF Ballkani ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Connah's Quay
Created Set-piece attacking threat
KF Ballkani Connah's Quay
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
KF Ballkani Connah's Quay
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
KF Ballkani
Connah's Quay
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
KF Ballkani
vs
Connah's Quay
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
KF Ballkani Connah's Quay
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
KF Ballkani 0.19
Connah's Quay 0.12
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
KF Ballkani Connah's Quay
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
KF Ballkani 0.03
Connah's Quay 0.04
KF Ballkani
Connah's Quay
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • BAL had peak pressure around 31'.
  • BAL started the game with stronger pressure.
BAL Pressure CON Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: BAL reached the top pressure at 31' (55.12).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

KF Ballkani BAL Home
1 matches
Connah's Quay CON Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:03:22+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 2
Stadium
Stadiumi Fadil Vokrri
Capacity
13500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Ashot Ghaltakchyan
Khachatur Hovhannisyan
Sargis Hovhannisyan
Yura Mahtesyan

Statistics

Possession
BAL
61%
CON
39%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
6 Shots 5
81 Dangerous attacks 69
66 Possession 34
6 Corners 0
13 Free kicks 11
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

131 Ball Safe 63
0 Penalties 1
10 Goal Attempts 7
5 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 16
2 Injuries 1

Attacking

182 Attacks 123

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
7 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Ashot Ghaltakchyan

Starting XI ▼

25
Adnan Golubovic
Adnan Golubovic Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Gentrit Halili
Gentrit Halili Defender
6.04
6
Diar Vokrri
Diar Vokrri Defender
6.16
12
Abou Dosso
Abou Dosso Defender
6.16
28
Ivica Batarelo
Ivica Batarelo Defender
6.04
5
A. Šabanadžović
A. Šabanadžović Midfielder
6.27
10
Giovanni
Giovanni Midfielder
7.06
—
Giovanni
67'
19
Engjëll Ajazaj
Engjëll Ajazaj Midfielder
6.5
99
Albin Berisha
Albin Berisha
Attacker67'
6.43
20
Edvin Kuc
Edvin Kuc (C) Midfielder
6.69
16
Erlis Xhemaili
Erlis Xhemaili
Midfielder66'
6.27
30
Almedin Klinaku Midfielder
9
Valentin Serebe
Valentin Serebe Attacker
6.79
29
Albert Diène
Albert Diène
Midfielder79'
6.5
Referee : Ashot Ghaltakchyan

Starting XI ▼

1
Chris Renshaw
Chris Renshaw Goalkeeper
5.68
3
Shane Flynn
Shane Flynn Defender
5.88
4
James Jones
James Jones (C) Defender
5.88
6
Dan Cowan
Dan Cowan Defender
5.86
7
Darren Stephenson
Darren Stephenson
Attacker66'
6.5
22
Joseph Ferugson
Joseph Ferugson Defender
5.88
8
Callum West
Callum West Midfielder
6.18
—
Callum West
67'
11
Michael Stone
Michael Stone Midfielder
6.13
27
Freddie Redshaw
Freddie Redshaw
Attacker90+1'
16
Frankie Deane
Frankie Deane Midfielder
6.23
18
Max Woodcock
Max Woodcock
Attacker53'
6.67
20
Iwan Murray
Iwan Murray Midfielder
6.18
23
Abdi Sharif
Abdi Sharif Midfielder
6.18
12
Harry Franklin
Harry Franklin Attacker
6.34
99
Hussein Mehasseb
Hussein Mehasseb
Attacker66'
6.83

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
7th Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
Ivica Batarelo
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+5'
90+1'
Event
Freddie Redshaw → Michael Stone
10th Substitution
87'
Event
Michael Stone
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Hussein Mehasseb
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
80'
Event
Dan Cowan
Foul / 8th Yellowcard
Event
Albert Diène → Valentin Serebe
9th Substitution
79'
76'
Event
Hussein Mehasseb
Field Goal / 4th Goal
69'
Event
Max Woodcock
Penalty / 1st Penalty
Event
Albin Berisha → Engjëll Ajazaj
6th Substitution
67'
Event
Lorik Dobratiqi → Giovanni
7th Substitution
67'
67'
Event
Alex Hughes → Callum West
8th Substitution
Event
Erlis Xhemaili → Edvin Kuc
5th Substitution
66'
66'
Event
Hussein Mehasseb → Harry Franklin
3rd Substitution
66'
Event
Darren Stephenson → Dan Cowan
4th Substitution
Event
Valentin Serebe
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
57'
53'
Event
Max Woodcock → Frankie Deane
2nd Substitution
52'
Event
Frankie Deane
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Giovanni
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
49'
Event
Marsel Ismajlgeci → Almedin Klinaku
1st Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
42'
Event
Harry Franklin
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Edvin Kuc
Field Goal / 1st Goal
20'
Event
Gentrit Halili
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
13'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
90
Update Update
On comes Freddie Redshaw, off goes Michael Stone.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Hussein Mehasseb.
79
Update Update
On comes Albert Diene, off goes Valentin Serebe.
76
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-2.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Max Woodcock scores, making it 3-1.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Max Woodcock scores, bringing the tally to 3-1.
67
Update Update
On comes Lorik Dobratiqi, off goes Giovanni.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Max Woodcock scores, making it 3-1.
67
Update Update
On Lorik Dobratiqi, Off Giovanni.
67
Update Update
Albin Berisha comes on for Ajazaj Engjell.
66
Update Update
Erlis Xhemajli comes on for Edvin Kuc.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-0.
53
Substitution Substitution
Max Woodcock is substituted for Frankie Deane.
53
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Frankie Deane receives a yellow card.
49
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Giovanni scores, making it 2-0.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Update Update
Marsel Ismajlgeci replaces Almedin Klinaku.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Harry Franklin receives a yellow card.
33
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Edvin Kuc scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Abou Dosso.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
13
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Gentrit Halili receives a yellow card.
7
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Attempt Attempt
Kick-off! The referee is Ashot Ghaltakhchyan.

CONCLUSION

KF Ballkani completed a 3-2 home win over Connah's Quay to finish the tie 3-2 on aggregate. The home team controlled possession throughout and converted their advantage after the interval. Halftime arrived at 1-0 with no cards issued. The outcome stayed consistent with the stronger team's profile and showed only minimal deviation from indicators. Efficiency metrics aligned closely without notable shifts. Absence of xG figures limited deeper statistical review yet the final score reflected the flow of play. Connah's Quay created limited threats despite their share of the ball in phases.