Kauno Žalgiris vs KÍ preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Jonavos centrinis stadionas Wed, 29 Jul - 4:00 PM
Champions League
Kauno ŽalgirisKAU
1 0
KÍKÍ
Full Time Wed, 29 Jul 4:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 0
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kauno Žalgiris 1–0 KÍ. The result saw Kauno Žalgiris take the points. Kauno Žalgiris showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 51%–49%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 KÍ. Kauno Žalgiris showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Smajc
D. Smajc
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Gabrovec
D. Gabrovec
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Černe
T. Černe
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Jazbec
Jazbec
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Kauno Žalgiris Ž. Sopić
Ž. Sopić
VS
KÍ M. Powell
M. Powell
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.33
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
KÍ Rank: D
Drita Rank: 58 W
Drita Rank: 57 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kauno Žalgiris Rank: D
Atert Bissen Rank: W
Atert Bissen Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kauno Žalgiris
95.69%
Draw
3.68%
Away KÍ
0.63%

Movement

Changes since opening
Kauno Žalgiris
+0.51%
Draw
-0.5%
KÍ
-0.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.22
41.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kauno Žalgiris
KÍ
Power Score
32.22
41.11
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kauno Žalgiris — Opponent-weighted form score
KÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kauno Žalgiris KÍ

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kauno Žalgiris

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

KÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kauno Žalgiris ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KÍ
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
13.53
9.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
9.59
13.53
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kauno Žalgiris +0.33 Efficiency Index
vs
KÍ -0.33 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kauno Žalgiris
KÍ
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kauno Žalgiris ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy KÍ
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kauno Žalgiris KÍ
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kauno Žalgiris KÍ
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kauno Žalgiris
KÍ
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kauno Žalgiris
vs
KÍ
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kauno Žalgiris KÍ
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kauno Žalgiris 0.04
KÍ 0.04
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kauno Žalgiris KÍ
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kauno Žalgiris 0.00
KÍ 0.01
Kauno Žalgiris
KÍ
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KAU had peak pressure around 84'.
  • KAU started the game with stronger pressure.
KAU Pressure KÍ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KAU reached the top pressure at 84' (47.76).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kauno Žalgiris KAU Home
1 matches
KÍ KÍ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:00:53+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 29, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 0
Stadium
Jonavos centrinis stadionas
Capacity
1008
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
David Smajc
David Gabrovec
Tomaž Černe
Zan Jazbec

Statistics

Possession
KAU
56%
KÍ
44%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
2 Shots 5
78 Dangerous attacks 54
51 Possession 49
0 Corners 1
16 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 4
31 Throwins 20

Attacking

162 Attacks 125

Defensive

1 Saves 1

Discipline

1 Offsides 1
17 Fouls 13

Lineup

Referee : David Smajc

Starting XI ▼

55
Tomas Švedkauskas
Tomas Švedkauskas (C) Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Anton Tolordava
Anton Tolordava Defender
6.49
37
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor
Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor Defender
6.5
33
Marko Konatar
Marko Konatar
Defender46'
6.5
45
Joris Moutachy
Joris Moutachy Defender
6.5
77
Rokas Lekiatas
Rokas Lekiatas Defender
6.5
14
Vykintas Slivka
Vykintas Slivka Midfielder
6.45
32
Franco Baldassarra
Franco Baldassarra Midfielder
6.5
70
Fabien Ourega
Fabien Ourega Midfielder
6.5
9
Leon Krekovic
Leon Krekovic
Midfielder46'
6.69
7
Amine Benchaib
Amine Benchaib Attacker
6.59
19
Renan Oliveira
Renan Oliveira Attacker
6.5
99
Haris Kadric
Haris Kadric
Attacker62'
6.5
24
Motiejus Burba
Motiejus Burba Attacker
6.5
15
Léo Ribeiro
Léo Ribeiro
Midfielder61'
6.5
Referee : David Smajc

Starting XI ▼

96
Mark Jensen
Mark Jensen Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Gastón Tellechea
Gastón Tellechea Defender
6.25
23
Jóannes Danielsen
Jóannes Danielsen Defender
6.26
—
Jóannes Danielsen
88'
26
Gilli Sörensen
Gilli Sörensen Defender
6.26
36
Jean Carlos
Jean Carlos Defender
6.49
6
Daniel Johansen
Daniel Johansen
Defender46'
6.26
4
Mansour Sinyan
Mansour Sinyan Midfielder
6.45
11
Jonn Johannesen
Jonn Johannesen
Midfielder79'
6.37
5
Deni Pavlovic
Deni Pavlovic Midfielder
6.37
10
Hallur Hansson
Hallur Hansson Midfielder
6.33
17
Filip Brattbakk
Filip Brattbakk Midfielder
6.37
20
Erlend Hustad
Erlend Hustad
Attacker88'
28
Oussama Ali
Oussama Ali Midfielder
6.37
9
Páll Klettskard
Páll Klettskard (C) Attacker
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Vykintas Slivka
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
90+3'
90+1'
Event
Hallur Hansson
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Luka Racic → Léo Ribeiro
9th Substitution
88'
88'
Event
Andras Frederiksberg → Jóannes Danielsen
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Erlend Hustad → Filip Brattbakk
8th Substitution
Event
Leon Krekovic
Field Goal / 1st Goal
85'
79'
Event
Jonn Johannesen → Mansour Sinyan
6th Substitution
76'
Event
Mansour Sinyan
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Haris Kadric → Renan Oliveira
5th Substitution
62'
Event
Léo Ribeiro → Motiejus Burba
4th Substitution
61'
Event
Marko Konatar → Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Leon Krekovic → Fabien Ourega
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Daniel Johansen → Jean Carlos
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Anton Tolordava
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
37'
37'
Event
Jean Carlos
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
32'
Event
Gastón Tellechea
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Vykintas Slivka.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Hallur Hansson.
88
Update Update
Erlend Hustad comes on for Filip Brattbakk.
88
Update Update
Arni Frederiksberg is on, and Joannes Danielsen is off.
88
Update Update
Luka Racic comes on for Leo Ribeiro.
85
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Leon Krekovic scores to make it 1-0.
79
Update Update
On Jonn Johannesen, off Mansour Sinyan.
76
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Mansour Sinyan.
62
Update Update
Haris Kadric comes on for Renan Abner do Carmo de Oliveira.
61
Substitution Substitution
Leo Ribeiro is substituted off for Motiejus Burba.
46
Substitution Substitution
Daniel Johansen is substituted off for Jean Carlos Chera.
46
Update Update
On comes Leon Krekovic, off goes Fabien Ourega.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Marko Konatar comes on for Nosa Iyobosa Edokpolor.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jean Carlos Chera.
37
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Anton Tolordava.
32
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Gaston Tellechea.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is David Smajc.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Kauno Žalgiris 1-0 KÍ. Structural assessment: Kauno Žalgiris exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.