Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Rozwoj
Europa Conference League
KatowiceKAT
2 1
Hapoel Tel AvivHTA
Full Time
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 3
Ilya Shkurin - 83'
Goal
|
Goal
Stav Turiel - 23'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Katowice 2–1 Hapoel Tel Aviv. The result saw Katowice take the points. Katowice showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 67%–33%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Deviation registered at 5.7 percent and was classified as minimal for Katowice.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with expected patterns throughout the match.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be confirmed.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true based on the final outcome.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were recorded for either team.
  • Event impact: The second-half turnaround produced the decisive 2-1 result.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the contest.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Tsakalidis
A. Tsakalidis
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
P. Kostaras
P. Kostaras
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Dimitriadis
L. Dimitriadis
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Matsoukas
M. Matsoukas
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Katowice R. Górak
R. Górak
VS
Hapoel Tel Aviv E. Barda
E. Barda
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2.33
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hapoel Tel Aviv Rank: L
Žilina Rank: 73 W
Žilina Rank: 72 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Katowice Rank: 70 W
Ludogorets Rank: 68 D
Ludogorets Rank: 68 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Katowice
94.3%
Draw
5.06%
Away Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.64%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.94
41.11
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Power Score
23.94
41.11
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Katowice — Opponent-weighted form score
Hapoel Tel Aviv — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Katowice Hapoel Tel Aviv

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Katowice

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Katowice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
3.36
4.24
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
4.24
3.36
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Katowice -0.07 Efficiency Index
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv +0.07 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Katowice ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Hapoel Tel Aviv
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Katowice Hapoel Tel Aviv
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Katowice Hapoel Tel Aviv
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Katowice
vs
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Katowice Hapoel Tel Aviv
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Katowice 0.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Katowice Hapoel Tel Aviv
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Katowice 0.04
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0.04
Katowice
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KAT had peak pressure around 78'.
  • KAT started the game with stronger pressure.
KAT Pressure HTA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KAT reached the top pressure at 78' (56.32).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Katowice KAT Home
1 matches
Hapoel Tel Aviv HTA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-13T00:00:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 3
Stadium
Stadion Rozwoj
Capacity
3000
Attendance
12420
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Alexandros Tsakalidis
Polychronis Kostaras
Lazaros Dimitriadis
Michalis Matsoukas

Statistics

Possession
KAT
57%
HTA
43%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Shots 6
45 Dangerous attacks 28
67 Possession 33
7 Corners 3
18 Free kicks 23
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

69 Ball Safe 65
1 Penalties 0
1 Goal Kicks 0
9 Goal Attempts 8
5 Substitutions 5
25 Throwins 11
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

76 Attacks 54

Defensive

2 Saves 4

Discipline

3 Offsides 2
18 Fouls 18

Lineup

Referee : Alexandros Tsakalidis

Starting XI ▼

87
Gabriel Kobylak
Gabriel Kobylak Goalkeeper
6.12
4
Arkadiusz Jędrych
Arkadiusz Jędrych (C) Defender
6.26
6
Lukas Klemenz
Lukas Klemenz Defender
6.26
30
Alan Czerwinski
Alan Czerwinski Defender
6.25
8
Borja Galán
Borja Galán Midfielder
6.37
7
Mateusz Wdowiak
Mateusz Wdowiak
Midfielder82'
6.61
10
Marcel Wedrychowski
Marcel Wedrychowski Midfielder
6.37
31
Szymon Bartlewicz
Szymon Bartlewicz
Midfielder71'
6.5
23
Marcin Wasielewski
Marcin Wasielewski Midfielder
6.37
97
Erik Jirka
Erik Jirka
Midfielder71'
6.5
68
Bartosz Wolski
Bartosz Wolski Midfielder
6.37
77
Mateusz Kowalczyk
Mateusz Kowalczyk Midfielder
6.37
19
Kacper Lukasiak
Kacper Lukasiak
Midfielder63'
6.5
17
Ilya Shkurin
Ilya Shkurin Attacker
6.82
27
Bartosz Nowak
Bartosz Nowak Attacker
6.46
15
Eman Markovic
Eman Markovic
Attacker82'
6.5
Referee : Alexandros Tsakalidis

Starting XI ▼

22
Assaf Tzur
Assaf Tzur Goalkeeper
5.88
4
Chico
Chico Defender
6.05
5
Fernand Mayembo
Fernand Mayembo (C) Defender
6.05
16
Doron Leidner
Doron Leidner Defender
6.05
97
Marcus Coco
Marcus Coco Defender
6.49
21
Shahar Piven
Shahar Piven
Defender79'
6.05
6
Andrian Kraev
Andrian Kraev Midfielder
6.27
11
Stav Turiel
Stav Turiel Midfielder
6.52
27
Mor Buskila
Mor Buskila
Attacker88'
15
Roei Alkukin
Roei Alkukin Midfielder
6.61
23
Amit Lemkin
Amit Lemkin
Midfielder73'
6.27
98
Falcão
Falcão Midfielder
6.27
9
Emmanuel Boateng
Emmanuel Boateng Attacker
6.46
8
Yonatan Farber
Yonatan Farber
Midfielder88'
51
Omri Altman
Omri Altman Attacker
6.5
10
Xande Silva
Xande Silva
Attacker79'
6.43

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Arkadiusz Jędrych 
Penalty / 1st Penalty
90'
88'
Event
Mor Buskila → Stav Turiel
9th Substitution
88'
Event
Yonatan Farber → Emmanuel Boateng
10th Substitution
Event
Ilya Shkurin
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
83'
Event
Eman Markovic → Bartosz Nowak
7th Substitution
82'
Event
Mateusz Wdowiak → Borja Galán
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Alan Czerwinski
3rd Yellowcard
81'
79'
Event
Shahar Piven → Marcus Coco
5th Substitution
79'
Event
Xande Silva → Omri Altman
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Amit Lemkin → Roei Alkukin
4th Substitution
Event
Szymon Bartlewicz → Marcel Wedrychowski
2nd Substitution
71'
Event
Erik Jirka → Marcin Wasielewski
3rd Substitution
71'
70'
Event
Stav Turiel
2nd Yellowcard
Event
Kacper Lukasiak → Mateusz Kowalczyk
1st Substitution
63'
50'
Event
Marcus Coco
1st Yellowcard
1ST-HALF
23'
Event
Stav Turiel
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Penalty - Arkadiusz Jedrych 2-1
88
Update Update
On Yonatan Ferber，Off Emmanuel Boateng
88
Update Update
On Mor Buskila，Off Stav Turiel
87
Corner Corner
Corner
87
Corner Corner
Corner
85
Corner Corner
Corner
83
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Ilia Shkurin 1-1，Assist：Mateusz Wdowiak
82
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal 1-1
82
Update Update
On Mateusz Wdowiak，Off Borja Galan gonzalez
81
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Alan Czerwinski
79
Update Update
On Xande Silva，Off Omri Altman
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
73
Update Update
On Amit Lemkin，Off Roee Alkokin
71
Update Update
On Erik Jirka，Off Marcin Wasielewski
71
Update Update
On Szymon Bartlewicz，Off Marcel Wedrychowski
70
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card
63
Update Update
On Kacper Lukasiak，Off Mateusz Kowalczyk
56
Corner Corner
Corner
52
Corner Corner
Corner
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Marcus Regis Coco
49
Corner Corner
Corner
32
Corner Corner
Corner
23
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Stav Turiel 0-1
22
Corner Corner
Corner
11
Corner Corner
Corner
9
Corner Corner
Corner
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Alexandros Tsakalidis

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Katowice 2-1 Hapoel Tel Aviv. Structural assessment: Katowice exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.