Karlsruher SC vs DSC Arminia Bielefeld preview

Germany flag 2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
Wildparkstadion Sat, 8 Aug - 11:00 AM
2. Bundesliga
Karlsruher SCKSC
2 1
DSC Arminia BielefeldBIE
Full Time Sat, 8 Aug 11:00 AM
Round 1 Regular Season
Moritz Broschinski - 35', 78'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Karlsruher SC hosted DSC Arminia Bielefeld and secured a 2-1 victory with the halftime score at 1-0. Although DSC Arminia Bielefeld entered as the stronger team the home side prevailed through effective chance conversion. Expected goals showed 1.83 for Karlsruher SC against 1.53 for the visitors creating a narrow 0.3 differential. Possession favored the hosts at 56 percent to 44 percent. No red cards occurred for either side allowing uninterrupted lineups across both halves. The result remained consistent with underlying metrics and reflected a significant deviation attributed to Karlsruher SC. The contest featured balanced second half adjustments without major disruptions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Karlsruher SC recorded a significant deviation as the deviation team in the 2-1 result.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with performance metrics for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The outcome stayed consistent with the expected goals values of 1.83 to 1.53.
  • Market alignment: The result proved aligned with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Home expected goals reached 1.83 while away expected goals totaled 1.53.
  • Event impact: The 2-1 scoreline reflected home second half adjustments without major events.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred resulting in zero distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Bacher
M. Bacher
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Fuchs
N. Fuchs
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Unger
M. Unger
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Besong
J. Besong
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Karlsruher SC M. Senft
M. Senft
VS
DSC Arminia Bielefeld O. Kirch
O. Kirch
1.29
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.29
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 74 L
Paderborn Rank: 78 D
Darmstadt 98 Rank: 74 W
Hannover 96 Rank: 78 L
Elversberg Rank: 78 L
DSC Arminia Bielefeld Rank: 73 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hertha BSC Rank: 75 W
Kaiserslautern Rank: 74 L
VfL Bochum 1848 Rank: 74 D
Preußen Münster Rank: 67 W
Nürnberg Rank: 74 D
Karlsruher SC Rank: 72 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.13
72.79
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Karlsruher SC
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Power Score
72.13
72.79
League Position
3
16
Global Rank
218
207

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Karlsruher SC — Opponent-weighted form score
DSC Arminia Bielefeld — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Karlsruher SC DSC Arminia Bielefeld

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Karlsruher SC

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

DSC Arminia Bielefeld

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Karlsruher SC ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
47.86
29.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
29.09
47.86
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Karlsruher SC +1.72 Efficiency Index
vs
DSC Arminia Bielefeld -1.72 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Karlsruher SC
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Karlsruher SC
vs
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Karlsruher SC DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
22%
5%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.40 vs -0.08
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Karlsruher SC DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
5%
22%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.08 vs -0.40
Karlsruher SC
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Karlsruher SC
vs
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Karlsruher SC DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Karlsruher SC 0.43
DSC Arminia Bielefeld 0.31
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Karlsruher SC DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Karlsruher SC 0.03
DSC Arminia Bielefeld 0.04
Karlsruher SC
DSC Arminia Bielefeld
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KSC had peak pressure around 84'.
  • KSC started the game with stronger pressure.
KSC Pressure BIE Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KSC reached the top pressure at 84' (92.98).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Karlsruher SC KSC Home
2 matches
DSC Arminia Bielefeld BIE Away
Match Record
1
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
1
Goals
4
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
4
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:00:39+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-3-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 08, 2026, 11:00 AM
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Wildparkstadion
Capacity
35000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Michael Bacher
Nico Fuchs
Marcel Unger
Jonah Samuel Njie Besong

Statistics

Possession
KSC
56%
BIE
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Big Chances Created 3
13 Shots 5
56 Dangerous attacks 36
56 Possession 44
6 Corners 6
12 Free kicks 15
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

74 Ball Safe 77
7 Goal Kicks 8
17 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 5
16 Throwins 22
1 Hit Woodwork 2
6 Successful Headers 7
2 Assists 0
1 Injuries 0
16 Dribble Attempts 14
8 Successful Dribbles 4
50 Successful Dribbles Percentage 29

Attacking

89 Attacks 79
1 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

56 Long Passes 61
463 Passes 346
378 Successful Passes 257
82 Successful Passes Percentage 74
17 Key Passes 8
22 Successful Long Passes 26
39 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

4 Saves 5
18 Tackles 10
6 Interceptions 8
50 Duels Won 40

Build-up

14 Total Crosses 19
7 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

1 Offsides 2
15 Fouls 12

Lineup

Referee : Michael Bacher

Starting XI ▼

1
Hans Christian Bernat
Hans Christian Bernat Goalkeeper
7.12
2
Sebastian Jung
Sebastian Jung Defender
6.54
3
Deniz Ofli
Deniz Ofli Defender
6.9
33
Viktor Bergh
Viktor Bergh
Defender65'
6.4
22
Christoph Kobald
Christoph Kobald Defender
6.85
28
Marcel Franke
Marcel Franke Defender
7.03
15
Paul Scholl
Paul Scholl
Defender46'
6.7
10
Marvin Wanitzek
Marvin Wanitzek (C) Midfielder
9.31
25
Lilian Egloff
Lilian Egloff Midfielder
6.66
7
Kevin Wiethaup
Kevin Wiethaup
Midfielder46'
6.88
26
Danyal Zor
Danyal Zor Midfielder
6.87
6
Santeri Väänänen
Santeri Väänänen
Midfielder65'
6.41
36
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
Rafael Pinto Pedrosa Midfielder
6.87
23
Tim Civeja
Tim Civeja
Midfielder78'
6.2
9
Moritz Broschinski
Moritz Broschinski Attacker
2
9.25
11
Noel Eichinger
Noel Eichinger Attacker
7.21
Referee : Michael Bacher

Starting XI ▼

1
Jonas Kersken
Jonas Kersken Goalkeeper
7.63
5
Maximilian Bauer
Maximilian Bauer (C) Defender
6.63
7
Henri Koudossou
Henri Koudossou Defender
6.65
19
Maximilian Großer
Maximilian Großer Defender
6.76
29
Tim Handwerker
Tim Handwerker Defender
6.36
17
Arne Sicker
Arne Sicker
Defender64'
6.51
8
Sam Schreck
Sam Schreck Midfielder
6.3
27
Benjamin Boakye
Benjamin Boakye
Attacker46'
6.37
10
Jannik Rochelt
Jannik Rochelt Midfielder
7.22
14
Monju Momuluh
Monju Momuluh Midfielder
6.26
30
Isaiah Young
Isaiah Young
Attacker79'
6.89
21
Stefano Russo
Stefano Russo Midfielder
6.69
28
Roberts Uldrikis
Roberts Uldrikis
Attacker75'
6.39
11
Joel Grodowski
Joel Grodowski Attacker
6.9
38
Marius Wörl
Marius Wörl Attacker
6.33
6
Marvin Mehlem
Marvin Mehlem
Midfielder64'
7.17

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Maximilian Senft
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Tim Civeja
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
89'
80'
Event
Marvin Mehlem
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
79'
Event
Isaiah Young → Monju Momuluh
10th Substitution
Event
Moritz Broschinski
Header / 2nd Goal
78'
Event
Tim Civeja → Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
9th Substitution
78'
75'
Event
Roberts Uldrikis → Stefano Russo
8th Substitution
Event
Viktor Bergh → Deniz Ofli
6th Substitution
65'
Event
Santeri Väänänen → Danyal Zor
7th Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Marvin Mehlem → Marius Wörl
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Arne Sicker → Tim Handwerker
5th Substitution
Event
Paul Scholl → Marcel Franke
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Kevin Wiethaup → Lilian Egloff
3rd Substitution
46'
46'
Event
Benjamin Boakye → Sam Schreck
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Deniz Ofli
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45'
Event
Moritz Broschinski
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
35'
19'
Event
Sam Schreck
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 2-1.
90
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 2-1.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Wanitzek takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Wanitzek takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Tim Civeja receives a yellow card.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Attempt Attempt
Maximilian Grosser takes a shot with his head, but it misses the target.
84
Attempt Attempt
Benjamin Boakye takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Marvin Mehlem takes a right-footed shot and scores.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
79
Substitution Substitution
Isaiah Young is substituted off for Monju Momuluh.
79
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
78
Update Update
Tim Civeja is on, and Rafael Pedrosa is off.
78
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Moritz Broschinski scores, making it 2-0.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
77
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Wanitzek takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
75
Update Update
Roberts Uldrikis is on, and Stefano Russo is off.
74
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Moritz Broschinski scores, making it 2-0.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Attempt Attempt
Stefano Russo attempts a header but misses the shot.
68
Attempt Attempt
Santeri Vaananen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
68
Attempt Attempt
Santeri Vaananen takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
65
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Viktor Bergh comes on for Deniz Ofli.
65
Update Update
Santeri Vaananen comes on for Danyal Zor.
64
Substitution Substitution
Marvin Mehlem is substituted off for Marius Worl.
64
Update Update
Arne Sicker comes on for Tim Handwerker.
64
Attempt Attempt
Noel Eichinger takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Attempt Attempt
Joel Grodowski takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
55
Attempt Attempt
Paul Scholl takes a header shot but misses.
55
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Wanitzek takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Joel Grodowski's right-footed shot is saved.
52
Attempt Attempt
Rafael Pedrosa attempts a right-footed shot but misses.
48
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Benjamin Boakye comes on for Sam Schreck.
46
Update Update
Kevin Wiethaup is on, and Lilian Egloff is off.
45
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Deniz Ofli receives a yellow card.
42
Attempt Attempt
Monju Momuluh takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Lilian Egloff takes a right-footed shot but misses.
40
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Jung takes a right-footed shot but misses.
38
Attempt Attempt
Marius Worl takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
37
Attempt Attempt
Jannik Rochelt takes a shot with another body part, but it hits the post.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Moritz Broschinski takes a shot with his left foot and scores.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Moritz Broschinski scores, making it 1-0.
32
Attempt Attempt
Monju Momuluh takes a shot with his head but misses.
32
Attempt Attempt
Marcel Franke's header is saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Lilian Egloff takes a right-footed shot but misses.
25
Attempt Attempt
Marvin Wanitzek takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Sam Schreck.
15
Attempt Attempt
Christoph Kobald takes a left-footed shot but misses.
15
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Jung takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
7
Attempt Attempt
Jannik Rochelt takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
4
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Michael Bacher.

CONCLUSION

Karlsruher SC claimed a 2-1 win over DSC Arminia Bielefeld despite the visitors entering as the stronger side. The home team led 1-0 at halftime and maintained control through a slight expected goals edge. Possession at 56 to 44 percent supported the narrow victory margin. Absence of red cards preserved full team structures for the full duration. Alignment between the scoreline and underlying data confirmed a representative outcome. This result underscores how efficiency can override pre-match team strength assessments in league play. Future fixtures may see adjusted evaluations for both clubs based on this performance.