Kalmar vs Malmö FF preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Guldfågeln Arena Mon, 20 Jul - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
KalmarKAL
2 – 2
Malmö FFMAL
Full Time Mon, 20 Jul 5:00 PM
Round 13 Regular Season
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

The encounter between Kalmar and Malmö FF finished 2-2 after ninety minutes of intense action. Kalmar established a 2-1 halftime lead through efficient finishing before Malmö FF mounted a determined response. Malmö FF controlled 69 percent of possession yet created almost identical expected goal output to their hosts. Kalmar registered 1.17 xG while Malmö FF posted 1.14 xG for a minimal differential of 0.03. The stronger side Malmö FF could not convert territorial dominance into a winning margin. No dismissals occurred on either team. The draw proved consistent with the underlying numbers and reflected balanced attacking threat despite contrasting styles of play throughout both halves.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Malmö FF recorded a significant structural deviation from their typical performance pattern.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift stayed in line with the match dynamics throughout.
  • xG alignment: The 2-2 result aligned with the close expected goals values.
  • Market alignment: The draw outcome remained aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: Both sides produced nearly identical xG totals near 1.15 each.
  • Event impact: The halftime score change shaped second half attacking patterns.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown so match flow faced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
A. Aganovic
A. Aganovic
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Robertsson
S. Robertsson
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Gergess
A. Gergess
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Johnson
O. Johnson
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
VS
Malmö FF G. Helstrup
G. Helstrup
1.08
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.58
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hammarby Rank: 68 L
Örgryte Rank: 40 W
GAIS Rank: 61 L
Degerfors Rank: 47 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 52 L
Halmstad Rank: 45 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: 56 W
Degerfors Rank: 47 W
Halmstad Rank: 45 W
Västerås SK Rank: 52 L
Hammarby Rank: 69 L
Häcken Rank: 61 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
41.75
63.98
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kalmar
Malmö FF
Power Score
41.75
63.98
League Position
12
6
Global Rank
757
400

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kalmar — Opponent-weighted form score
Malmö FF — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kalmar Malmö FF

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kalmar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Malmö FF

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kalmar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Malmö FF
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
42.26
28.04
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.04
42.26
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kalmar +1.46 Efficiency Index
vs
Malmö FF -1.46 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kalmar
Malmö FF
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kalmar
vs
Malmö FF
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kalmar Malmö FF
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
2%
11%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.03 vs -0.13
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kalmar Malmö FF
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
11%
2%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.13 vs -0.03
Kalmar
Malmö FF
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kalmar
vs
Malmö FF
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kalmar Malmö FF
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kalmar 0.26
Malmö FF 0.36
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kalmar Malmö FF
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kalmar 0.04
Malmö FF 0.05
Kalmar
Malmö FF
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MAL had peak pressure around 90'.
  • KAL started the game with stronger pressure.
KAL Pressure MAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MAL reached the top pressure at 90' (91.84).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kalmar KAL Home
2 matches
Malmö FF MAL Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
2
-5
Goal Difference
+5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-21T00:00:31+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 20, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Guldfågeln Arena
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Adi Aganovic
Sebastian Robertsson
Abdelmasih Gergess
Oscar Johnson

Statistics

Possession
KAL
36%
MAL
64%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 2
1 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 7
42 Dangerous attacks 47
31 Possession 69
2 Corners 5
15 Free kicks 8
0 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

56 Ball Safe 67
10 Goal Kicks 8
8 Goal Attempts 9
4 Substitutions 4
13 Throwins 28
2 Assists 2
10 Dribble Attempts 15
4 Successful Dribbles 7
40 Successful Dribbles Percentage 47

Attacking

63 Attacks 141

Possession

40 Long Passes 36
321 Passes 732
255 Successful Passes 646
79 Successful Passes Percentage 88
9 Key Passes 14
17 Successful Long Passes 16
43 Successful Long Passes Percentage 44

Defensive

1 Saves 2
16 Tackles 14
15 Interceptions 5
41 Duels Won 38

Build-up

12 Total Crosses 17
3 Accurate Crosses 3

Discipline

4 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Adi Aganovic

Starting XI ▼

30
J. Kindberg
J. Kindberg Goalkeeper
6.3
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Defender
6.5
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Defender
6.44
39
L. Sætra
L. Sætra Defender
6.48
47
A. Keita
A. Keita Defender
7.03
10
Marius Söderbäck
Marius Söderbäck Midfielder
6.78
70
Emeka Nnamani
Emeka Nnamani
Attacker86'
17
C. Gustafsson
C. Gustafsson (C) Midfielder
7.97
21
A. Magashy
A. Magashy Midfielder
6.42
5
M. Hallberg
M. Hallberg
Midfielder65'
6.59
23
R. Gojani
R. Gojani Midfielder
7.37
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak
Midfielder65'
6.65
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Midfielder
6.88
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Attacker
7.29
11
A. Olusanya
A. Olusanya
Attacker80'
6.6
Referee : Adi Aganovic

Starting XI ▼

27
Johan Dahlin
Johan Dahlin (C) Goalkeeper
6.39
17
Jens Stryger Larsen
Jens Stryger Larsen Defender
7.17
19
Colin Rösler
Colin Rösler Defender
6.44
4
Bleon Kurtulus
Bleon Kurtulus
Defender46'
6.81
23
N. Åstrand John
N. Åstrand John Defender
7.75
44
Malte Frejd Pålsson
Malte Frejd Pålsson Defender
6.27
7
Otto Rosengren
Otto Rosengren Midfielder
7.08
37
Adrian Skogmar
Adrian Skogmar Midfielder
7.28
40
Kenan Busuladzic
Kenan Busuladzic Midfielder
6.67
47
Theodor Lundbergh
Theodor Lundbergh
Midfielder73'
6.79
20
Erik Botheim
Erik Botheim Attacker
6.79
9
Diego García
Diego García
Attacker73'
6.56
29
Sead Haksabanovic
Sead Haksabanovic Attacker
7.18
45
Anton Sebastian Höög
Anton Sebastian Höög Attacker
6.49
39
Isaac Assibu
Isaac Assibu
Attacker46'
6.85

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
N. Åstrand John
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Emeka Nnamani → Marius Söderbäck
8th Substitution
86'
Event
A. Olusanya → C. Rosenquist
7th Substitution
80'
73'
Event
Diego García → Erik Botheim
5th Substitution
73'
Event
Theodor Lundbergh → Kenan Busuladzic
6th Substitution
Event
N. Chourak → R. Gojani
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
M. Hallberg → A. Magashy
4th Substitution
65'
64'
Event
Adrian Skogmar
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
47'
Event
Otto Rosengren
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
46'
Event
Isaac Assibu → Anton Sebastian Höög
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Bleon Kurtulus → Colin Rösler
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
45+1'
Event
Kenan Busuladzic
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
C. Rosenquist
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
33'
29'
Event
N. Åstrand John
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
Event
C. Gustafsson
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
13'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Carl Gustafsson takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Carl Gustafsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
90
Attempt Attempt
Otto Rosengren takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Emeka Nnamani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
88
Attempt Attempt
A left-footed shot is blocked.
86
Update Update
Emeka Nnamani is on, and Marius Soderback is off.
85
Update Update
Emeka Nnamani comes on for Marius Soderback.
83
Attempt Attempt
Left-footed shot missed.
83
Attempt Attempt
Adrian Skogmar takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
80
Update Update
Anthony Olusanya replaces Charlie Rosenqvist.
80
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
72
Update Update
Theodor Lundbergh comes on for Kenan Busuladzic.
72
Update Update
Diego Garcia Campos replaces Erik Botheim.
71
Update Update
Theodor Lundbergh comes on for Kenan Busuladzic.
68
Attempt Attempt
Jens Stryger Larsen takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Attempt Attempt
Charlie Rosenqvist takes a right-footed shot but misses.
66
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Update Update
Melker Hallberg comes on for Abdussalam Magashy.
64
Update Update
Nassef Chourak is on, and Robert Gojani is off.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Adrian Skogmar takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
64
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Adrian Skogmar scores to make it 2-2, assisted by Sead Haksabanovic.
62
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
62
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Attempt Attempt
Marius Soderback takes a left-footed shot but misses.
52
Attempt Attempt
Bleon Kurtulus takes a shot with his head but misses.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Otto Rosengren.
46
Update Update
Bleon Kurtulus replaces Colin Rosler.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Isaac Assibu comes on for Anton Hoog.
45
Update Update
First half ends with a score of 2-1.
42
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
42
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Sead Haksabanovic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Charlie Rosenqvist scores with a left-footed shot.
33
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Charlie Rosenqvist scores, making it 2-1.
30
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Noah Astrand scores to make it 1-1, assisted by Erik Botheim.
29
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Noah Astrand scores, making it 1-1.
27
Attempt Attempt
Aboubacar Keita takes a right-footed shot but misses.
26
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Rony Jansson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
19
Attempt Attempt
Noah Astrand takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
16
Attempt Attempt
Otto Rosengren takes a right-footed shot but misses.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Carl Gustafsson with his right foot results in a goal.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Carl Gustafsson scores to make it 1-0.
8
Attempt Attempt
Carl Gustafsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
8
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Adi Aganovic.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Kalmar 2-2 Malmö FF. Structural assessment: Malmö FF exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.