Kalmar vs Elfsborg preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Guldfågeln Arena Mon, 27 Apr - 5:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Kalmar KAL
2 1
Elfsborg ELF
Full Time Mon, 27 Apr 5:00 PM
Round 5 Regular Season
C. Rosenquist - 13'
A. Olusanya - 57'
Goal
|
Goal
F. Ihler - 5'

CONTEXT

Kalmar clinched a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Elfsborg at home in the Allsvenskan, defying pre-match perceptions of Elfsborg as the stronger side. The first half ended level at 1-1, with Kalmar managing 46% possession against Elfsborg's 54%, setting up a tense second-half battle. Kalmar's resilience shone through as they found the decisive goal without the game being disrupted by red cards or major tactical shifts. This result highlighted Kalmar's ability to outperform expectations in key moments, maintaining structural balance throughout. Possession favored the visitors, yet Kalmar's efficiency in front of goal proved decisive, turning the tide in their favor. The match exemplified competitive parity, with no significant events altering the flow, underscoring Kalmar's home advantage and tactical poise.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kalmar's win featured minimal structural deviation of 3.9%.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with assessments for both teams.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment unavailable due to missing data.
  • Market alignment: Outcome fully aligned with pre-match market views.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations unavailable from data.
  • Event impact: No second-half adjustments or events influenced the result.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion to the scoreline.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
D. Gustavsson
D. Gustavsson
1st Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
A. Sjöberg
A. Sjöberg
2nd Assistant • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
R. Hasani
R. Hasani
4th Official • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
E. Mattsson
E. Mattsson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0.52
League Avg 20.52
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0.12
League Avg 3.25
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.04
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0.19
Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
VS
Elfsborg B. Hamberg
B. Hamberg
0.25
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.67
0.25 i
Last 6 Opponents
IFK Göteborg Rank: D
AIK Rank: L
Djurgården Rank: L
Västerås SK Rank: L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Djurgården Rank: W
Degerfors Rank: W
Västerås SK Rank: D
IFK Göteborg Rank: W
Hammarby Rank: L
AIK Rank: L
11
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
11 - 12 - 17
17

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kalmar
96.07%
Draw
3.73%
Away Elfsborg
0.19%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
7.44
29.78
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kalmar
Elfsborg
Power Score
7.44
29.78
League Position
16
2
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kalmar — Opponent-weighted form score
Elfsborg — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kalmar Elfsborg

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kalmar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Elfsborg

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kalmar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Elfsborg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
21.30
16.67
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
16.67
21.30
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kalmar +0.46 Efficiency Index
vs
Elfsborg -0.46 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kalmar
Elfsborg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kalmar ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Elfsborg
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kalmar Elfsborg
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kalmar Elfsborg
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kalmar
Elfsborg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kalmar
vs
Elfsborg
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kalmar Elfsborg
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kalmar 0.22
Elfsborg 0.10
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kalmar Elfsborg
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kalmar 0.02
Elfsborg 0.06
Kalmar
Elfsborg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • ELF had peak pressure around 79'.
  • KAL started the game with stronger pressure.
KAL Pressure ELF Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: ELF reached the top pressure at 79' (73.72).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 40 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kalmar KAL Home
40 matches
Elfsborg ELF Away
Match Record
11
Wins
17
12
Draws
12
17
Losses
11
Goals
44
Goals Scored
63
63
Goals Conceded
44
-19
Goal Difference
+19
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-04-28T00:02:41+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 3-4-3
Pitch
J. Kindberg
Sweden
30 J. Kindberg
R. Jansson
Finland
4 R. Jansson
L. Sætra
Norway
39 L. Sætra
A. Dari
Morocco
20 A. Dari
V. Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
2 V. Larsson
M. Hallberg
Substitution
Sweden
5 M. Hallberg
R. Gojani
Sweden
23 R. Gojani
N. Chourak
Netherlands
7 N. Chourak
A. Olusanya
Substitution
Finland
11 A. Olusanya
C. Rosenquist
Substitution
13 C. Rosenquist
C. Sagoe Junior
Substitution
England
24 C. Sagoe Junior
I. Pettersson
Sweden
31 I. Pettersson
T. Poppler-Isherwood
Substitution
Sweden
4 T. Poppler-Isherwood
R. Wikström
Sweden
6 R. Wikström
S. Holmén
Substitution
Sweden
8 S. Holmén
N. Hult
Sweden
23 N. Hult
S. Olsson
Sweden
10 S. Olsson
J. Magnússon
Iceland
18 J. Magnússon
S. Hedlund
Substitution
Sweden
15 S. Hedlund
A. Hellemaa
Substitution
Finland
16 A. Hellemaa
T. Silverholt
Sweden
11 T. Silverholt
F. Ihler
Substitution
Denmark
24 F. Ihler

General Information

Date & Time
Apr 27, 2026, 05:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 5 · Regular Season
Stadium
Guldfågeln Arena
Capacity
12500
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Daniel Gustavsson
Anton Sjöberg
Rinon Hasani
Erik Mattsson

Statistics

Possession
KAL
46%
ELF
54%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
2 Big Chances Created 0
5 Shots 3
36 Dangerous attacks 60
46 Possession 54
1 Corners 3
11 Free kicks 15
3 Yellow Cards 4

Match Overview

5 Substitutions 5
85 Ball Safe 86
8 Goal Attempts 4
22 Successful Dribbles Percentage 50
1 Injuries 0
9 Dribble Attempts 10
15 Throwins 25
2 Successful Dribbles 5
2 Assists 1
9 Goal Kicks 6

Attacking

1 Big Chances Missed 0
82 Attacks 87

Possession

451 Passes 516
37 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42
83 Successful Passes Percentage 83
51 Long Passes 64
373 Successful Passes 427
19 Successful Long Passes 27
6 Key Passes 5

Defensive

50 Duels Won 54
17 Tackles 22
1 Saves 2
11 Interceptions 5

Build-up

4 Total Crosses 25
1 Accurate Crosses 2

Discipline

3 Offsides 1
15 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

30
J. Kindberg
J. Kindberg Goalkeeper
6.98
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Defender
6.43
3
S. Øverby
S. Øverby
Defender79'
6.44
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Defender
6.83
20
Achraf Dari
Achraf Dari Defender
6.94
39
L. Sætra
L. Sætra Defender
6.59
5
M. Hallberg
M. Hallberg Midfielder
6.77
10
Marius Söderbäck
Marius Söderbäck
Midfielder72'
6.59
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak Midfielder
6.94
11
A. Olusanya
A. Olusanya Midfielder
6.53
21
A. Magashy
A. Magashy
Midfielder90+1'
23
R. Gojani
R. Gojani Midfielder
7.16
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Attacker
6.75
12
Z. Råvik
Z. Råvik
Defender90+1'
6.35
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Attacker
6.83
6
V. Tyren
V. Tyren
Attacker79'
6.81
Referee : Erik Mattsson

Starting XI ▼

31
Isak Pettersson
Isak Pettersson Goalkeeper
6.74
4
Thomas Isherwood
Thomas Isherwood Defender
6.9
22
Dion Krasniqi
Dion Krasniqi
Attacker82'
6
R. Wikström
R. Wikström Defender
6.93
8
Sebastian Holmén
Sebastian Holmén Defender
6.97
2
Rufai Mohammed
Rufai Mohammed
Defender72'
6.68
10
S. Olsson
S. Olsson Midfielder
7.06
15
Simon Hedlund
Simon Hedlund Midfielder
6.68
21
Leo Östman
Leo Östman
Attacker82'
6.55
18
J. Magnússon
J. Magnússon Midfielder
7.18
23
Niklas Hult
Niklas Hult Midfielder
7.01
11
T. Silverholt
T. Silverholt Attacker
6.76
16
A. Hellemaa
A. Hellemaa Attacker
6.49
25
A. Sigurpálsson
A. Sigurpálsson
Attacker58'
6.69
24
F. Ihler
F. Ihler Attacker
7.18
29
M. Kamara
M. Kamara
Midfielder58'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+6'
Event
Leo Östman
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
Event
A. Magashy → A. Olusanya
9th Substitution
90+1'
Event
Z. Råvik → C. Rosenquist
10th Substitution
90+1'
90'
Event
Niklas Hult
Foul / 6th Yellowcard
Event
C. Rosenquist
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
89'
82'
Event
Leo Östman → Simon Hedlund
8th Substitution
82'
Event
Dion Krasniqi → Thomas Isherwood
7th Substitution
Event
S. Øverby → Victor Larsson
5th Substitution
79'
Event
V. Tyren → Charles Sagoe Jr
6th Substitution
79'
Event
Marius Söderbäck → M. Hallberg
4th Substitution
72'
72'
Event
Rufai Mohammed → Sebastian Holmén
3rd Substitution
71'
Event
8th Yellowcard
71'
Event
M. Kamara
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
58'
Event
M. Kamara → F. Ihler
1st Substitution
58'
Event
A. Sigurpálsson → A. Hellemaa
2nd Substitution
Event
A. Olusanya
Left foot shot / 3rd Goal
57'
48'
Event
A. Hellemaa
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
R. Gojani
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
47'
1ST-HALF
Event
N. Chourak
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
27'
Event
C. Rosenquist
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
13'
5'
Event
F. Ihler
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

CONCLUSION

Kalmar's 2-1 triumph over Elfsborg stands as a testament to their grit, overcoming the visitors' possession edge and stronger billing. Tied 1-1 at halftime, the hosts seized control post-interval through sharp finishing and solid defense, with no red cards marring proceedings. This minimal-deviation result reinforces Kalmar's home prowess, aligning efficiency and structure seamlessly. Elfsborg's dominance in possession failed to convert, exposing vulnerabilities. For Kalmar, the win boosts momentum; for Elfsborg, it prompts reflection on finishing. Overall, the match delivered edge-of-seat action, rewarding tactical discipline.