Kairat vs Omonia Nicosia preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Hisor Central Stadium Wed, 29 Jul - 3:00 PM
Champions League
KairatKAI
1 0
Omonia NicosiaOMO
Full Time: Finished on Penalties Wed, 29 Jul 3:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1
Edmilson - 1', 37'
Marc Gual - 9'
Goal
|
Goal
|
Red Card Andronikos Kakoullis 26'
Second yellow card Senou Coulibaly 111'

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Kairat 1–0 Omonia Nicosia. The result saw Kairat take the points. Kairat showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 70%–30%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Kairat held 70 percent possession against Omonia Nicosia's 30 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team profile.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable for performance alignment review.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with pre-match indicators.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals metrics were recorded during the match.
  • Event impact: Kairat recorded a 1-0 win to advance on aggregate.
  • Red card distortion: Two red cards to Omonia Nicosia distorted second half play.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Saggi
R. Saggi
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Olav Dale
A. Olav Dale
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
O. Skogsrud Haukåsen
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Grøtta
M. Grøtta
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Kairat R. Urazbakhtin
R. Urazbakhtin
VS
Omonia Nicosia H. Berg
H. Berg
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Omonia Nicosia Rank: L
Sutjeska Rank: W
Sutjeska Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kairat Rank: W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 2 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kairat
95.69%
Draw
3.68%
Away Omonia Nicosia
0.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.61
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kairat
Omonia Nicosia
Power Score
33.61
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kairat — Opponent-weighted form score
Omonia Nicosia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kairat Omonia Nicosia

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Kairat

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Omonia Nicosia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Kairat ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Omonia Nicosia
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.57
10.50
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
10.50
41.57
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Kairat +2.63 Efficiency Index
vs
Omonia Nicosia -2.63 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Kairat
Omonia Nicosia
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Kairat ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Omonia Nicosia
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Kairat Omonia Nicosia
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
7.00 7.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Kairat Omonia Nicosia
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
7.00 7.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Kairat
Omonia Nicosia
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Kairat
vs
Omonia Nicosia
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Kairat Omonia Nicosia
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Kairat 0.30
Omonia Nicosia 0.09
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Kairat Omonia Nicosia
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Kairat 0.22
Omonia Nicosia 0.09
Kairat
Omonia Nicosia
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • KAI had peak pressure around 4'.
  • KAI started the game with stronger pressure.
KAI Pressure OMO Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: KAI reached the top pressure at 4' (74.48).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Kairat KAI Home
3 matches
Omonia Nicosia OMO Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
2
Draws
2
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:00:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 29, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1
Stadium
Hisor Central Stadium
Capacity
20000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rohit Saggi
Anders Olav Dale
Ole Andreas Skogsrud Haukåsen
Marius Hansen Grøtta

Statistics

Possession
KAI
65%
OMO
35%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
13 Shots 2
82 Dangerous attacks 23
70 Possession 30
11 Corners 2
15 Free kicks 25
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 2

Match Overview

6 Substitutions 5
35 Throwins 27

Attacking

103 Attacks 78

Defensive

0 Saves 9

Discipline

3 Offsides 0
22 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

1
Temirlan Anarbekov
Temirlan Anarbekov Goalkeeper
6.5
3
Luís Mata
Luís Mata Defender
6.61
5
Lev Kurgin
Lev Kurgin Defender
6.5
81
Ismail Bekbolat
Ismail Bekbolat
Attacker36'
6.5
14
Aleksandr Martynovich
Aleksandr Martynovich (C) Defender
6.5
24
Aleksandr Mrynskiy
Aleksandr Mrynskiy Defender
6.49
44
Lucas Áfrico
Lucas Áfrico Defender
6.5
25
Aleksandr Shirobokov
Aleksandr Shirobokov
Defender102'
6.5
4
Damir Kasabulat
Damir Kasabulat Midfielder
6.5
9
Edmilson
Edmilson
Attacker36'
6.86
13
Jaakko Oksanen
Jaakko Oksanen Midfielder
6.5
19
Oiva Jukkola
Oiva Jukkola Midfielder
6.45
15
Mansur Birkurmanov
Mansur Birkurmanov
Attacker80'
6.5
22
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça Midfielder
6.45
8
Olzhas Baybek
Olzhas Baybek
Midfielder72'
6.5
28
Marc Gual
Marc Gual Attacker
6.5
Referee : Rohit Saggi

Starting XI ▼

40
Fabiano
Fabiano (C) Goalkeeper
6.12
5
Senou Coulibaly
Senou Coulibaly Defender
5.96
27
Stefan Simic
Stefan Simic Defender
6.26
82
Andreas Christou
Andreas Christou
Midfielder76'
6.5
29
Jure Balkovec
Jure Balkovec Defender
6.26
30
Nikolas Panagiotou
Nikolas Panagiotou Defender
6.26
11
Ewandro Costa
Ewandro Costa Midfielder
6.37
31
Ioannis Kousoulos
Ioannis Kousoulos
Midfielder76'
6.5
14
Mateo Maric
Mateo Maric Midfielder
6.33
21
Mihlali Mayambela
Mihlali Mayambela Midfielder
6.37
99
Loïs Diony
Loïs Diony
Attacker65'
6.5
22
Muamer Tankovic
Muamer Tankovic Midfielder
6.37
10
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Midfielder65'
6.5
74
Panagiotis Andreou
Panagiotis Andreou Midfielder
6.37
9
Andronikos Kakoullis
Andronikos Kakoullis Attacker
5.22

Events

2ND-HALF
114'
Event
Angelos Neofytou → Loïs Diony
11th Substitution
111'
Event
Senou Coulibaly
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
Event
Aleksandr Shirobokov → Lucas Áfrico
10th Substitution
102'
96'
Event
Mateo Maric
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
Event
Mansur Birkurmanov → Oiva Jukkola
9th Substitution
80'
76'
Event
Andreas Christou → Stefan Simic
7th Substitution
76'
Event
Ioannis Kousoulos  → Ewandro Costa
8th Substitution
Event
Olzhas Baybek → Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
5th Substitution
72'
Event
Azamat Tuyakbaev → Ismail Bekbolat
6th Substitution
72'
68'
Event
Senou Coulibaly
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
67'
65'
Event
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis → Muamer Tankovic
3rd Substitution
65'
Event
Loïs Diony → Mihlali Mayambela
4th Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Aleksandr Mrynskiy
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
41'
Event
Edmilson
Field Goal / 1st Goal
37'
Event
Ismail Bekbolat → Lev Kurgin
1st Substitution
36'
Event
Edmilson → Damir Kasabulat
2nd Substitution
36'
26'
Event
Andronikos Kakoullis
Violent conduct / 1st Redcard
Event
Oiva Jukkola
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
24'
14'
Event
Nikolas Panagiotou
Goalkeeper save
Event
Mansur Birkurmanov
Scored
13'
12'
Event
Andreas Christou
Scored
Event
Azamat Tuyakbaev
Scored
11'
10'
Event
Ioannis Kousoulos 
Scored
Event
Marc Gual
Scored
9'
8'
Event
Angelos Neofytou
Scored
Event
Olzhas Baybek
Goalkeeper save
7'
6'
Event
Panagiotis Andreou
Scored
Event
Aleksandr Martynovich
Scored
5'
4'
Event
Jure Balkovec
Goalkeeper save
Event
Jaakko Oksanen
Scored
3'
2'
Event
Anastasios Chatzigiovanis
Scored
Event
Edmilson
Scored
1'

Match Commentary

125
Update Update
Penalty miss for Nikolas Panagiotou. The score remains 6-5.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Mansur Birkurmanov scores, and the shootout score is now 6-5.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Andreas Christou scores, bringing the score to 5-5.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Azamat Tuyakbaev scores, making it 5-4.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal! Ioannis Kousoulos scores, making it 4-4.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Marc Gual scores, making it 4-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Angelos Neofytou scores, making it 3-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Angelos Neofytou scores, making it 3-3.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss for Olzhas Baibek. The score remains 3-2.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Panagiotis Andreou scores, making it 3-2.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Aleksandr Martynovich scores, making it 3-1.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss by Jure Balkovec. The score remains 2-1.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Jaakko Oksanen scores, making it 2-1.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal scored! The match is now 1-1.
114
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Edmilson de Paula Santos Filho scores, making it 1-0.
111
Update Update
Angelos Neofytou is on, and Lois Diony is off.
108
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card shown to Senou Coulibaly.
104
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
104
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
102
Update Update
On Aleksandr Shirobokov, off Lucas Africo.
97
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Mateo Maric.
91
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
88
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Substitution Substitution
Mansur Birkurmanov is substituted for Oiva Jukkola.
76
Substitution Substitution
Ioannis Kousoulos is substituted off for Ewandro Felipe de Lima Costa.
76
Update Update
Andreas Christou comes on for Stefan Simic.
72
Update Update
Azamat Tuyakbaev comes on for Ismail Bekbolat.
72
Update Update
Olzhas Baibek comes on for Gustavo Mendonca.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Senou Coulibaly.
67
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Gustavo Mendonca.
65
Substitution Substitution
Lois Diony is substituted for Mihlali Mayambela.
65
Update Update
Anastasios Chatzigiovannis is on, and Muamer Tankovic is off.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
41
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Aleksandr Mrynskiy.
37
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Edmilson de Paula Santos Filho scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Luis Mata.
36
Update Update
Edmilson de Paula Santos Filho comes on for Damir Kasabulat.
35
Substitution Substitution
Ismail Bekbolat is substituted for Lev Kurgin.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card shown to Stefan Simic.
24
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Oiva Jukkola.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Rohit Saggi.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Kairat 1-0 Omonia Nicosia. Structural assessment: Kairat exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.