Kairat vs Levski Sofia preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
Astana Arena Tue, 11 Aug - 3:00 PM
Champions League
KairatKAI
Levski SofiaLEV
KICKOFF : Tue, 11 Aug - 3:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2

CONTEXT

Kairat host Levski Sofia in Champions League (3rd Qualifying Round) at Astana Arena. Power ranking favours Levski Sofia by 0.4 points heading into this fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Levski Sofia hold a +0.4 pts power-ranking advantage heading into this fixture.
  • Form: Kairat are in line with baseline; recent form is evenly matched.
  • Squad: No major squad or availability edge; impact is neutral.
  • Efficiency: Kairat show stronger possession-adjusted chance creation in the data.
  • Transition: Levski Sofia have a moderate edge in transition threat.
  • Set pieces: Levski Sofia carry higher set-play value and dead-ball upside.
  • xVariable: Levski Sofia hold a marginal advantage on underlying metrics.
  • Market: Kairat 38.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 28.7% (Δ+0%) | Levski Sofia 33% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Kairat R. Urazbakhtin
R. Urazbakhtin
VS
Levski Sofia J. Velázquez Santiago
J. Velázquez Santiago
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.8
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Levski Sofia Rank: 69 D
Omonia Nicosia Rank: W
Omonia Nicosia Rank: L
Sutjeska Rank: W
Sutjeska Rank: W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.8 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kairat Rank: D
Universitatea Craiova Rank: 74 D
Universitatea Craiova Rank: 75 W
Borac Banja Luka Rank: 65 W
Borac Banja Luka Rank: 66 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Kairat
38.35%
Draw
28.68%
Away Levski Sofia
32.97%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
33.61
34
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Kairat
Levski Sofia
Power Score
33.61
34
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Kairat — Opponent-weighted form score
Levski Sofia — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Kairat Levski Sofia

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 11, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2
Stadium
Astana Arena
Capacity
14356
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad ▼

1
Temirlan Anarbekov
Temirlan Anarbekov Goalkeeper
82
Sherkhan Kalmurza
Sherkhan Kalmurza Goalkeeper
30
Danila Buch
Danila Buch Goalkeeper
14
Aleksandr Martynovich
Aleksandr Martynovich Defender
20
Erkin Tapalov
Erkin Tapalov Defender
3
Luís Carlos Machado Mata
Luís Carlos Machado Mata Defender
44
Lucas Henrique da Silva
Lucas Henrique da Silva Defender
25
Alexandr Shirobokov
Alexandr Shirobokov Defender
5
Lev Kurgin
Lev Kurgin Defender
24
Aleksandr Mrynskiy
Aleksandr Mrynskiy Defender
59
Daniyar Tashpulatov
Daniyar Tashpulatov Defender
13
Jaakko Oksanen
Jaakko Oksanen Midfielder
4
Damir Kassabulat
Damir Kassabulat Midfielder
22
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça
Gustavo Pinto Mendonça Midfielder
6
Adilet Sadybekov
Adilet Sadybekov Midfielder
8
Olzhas Baybek
Olzhas Baybek Midfielder
17
Azamat Tuyakbayev
Azamat Tuyakbayev Midfielder
27
Mukhamedali Abish
Mukhamedali Abish Midfielder
28
Marc Gual Huguet
Marc Gual Huguet Attacker
7
Jorge Gabriel Costa Monteiro
Jorge Gabriel Costa Monteiro Attacker
9
Edmilson de Paula Santos Filho
Edmilson de Paula Santos Filho Attacker
19
Oiva Jukkola
Oiva Jukkola Attacker
81
Ismail Bekbolat
Ismail Bekbolat Attacker
10
Dastan Satpaev
Dastan Satpaev Attacker

Squad ▼

78
Martin Lukov
Martin Lukov Goalkeeper
92
Svetoslav Velislavov Vutsov
Svetoslav Velislavov Vutsov Goalkeeper
1
Ognyan Dilyanov Vladimirov
Ognyan Dilyanov Vladimirov Goalkeeper
50
Kristian Traychev Dimitrov
Kristian Traychev Dimitrov Defender
4
Christian Frederick Bayoi Makoun Reyes
Christian Frederick Bayoi Makoun Reyes Defender
20
Alejandro Centelles Plaza
Alejandro Centelles Plaza Defender
31
Nikola Serafimov
Nikola Serafimov Defender
21
Aldair Neves Paulo Faustino
Aldair Neves Paulo Faustino Defender
6
Stipe Vulikić
Stipe Vulikić Defender
71
Wabo Oliver Kamdem
Wabo Oliver Kamdem Defender
3
Maicon Araújo dos Santos
Maicon Araújo dos Santos Defender
22
Mazire Soula
Mazire Soula Midfielder
18
Gašper Trdin
Gašper Trdin Midfielder
19
El Mehdi Moubarik
El Mehdi Moubarik Midfielder
35
Sérgio Miguel Lobo Araújo
Sérgio Miguel Lobo Araújo Midfielder
47
Akram Bouras
Akram Bouras Midfielder
10
Asen Mitkov
Asen Mitkov Midfielder
99
Radoslav Kirilov Kirilov
Radoslav Kirilov Kirilov Attacker
17
Francisco Everton Mota de Castro
Francisco Everton Mota de Castro Attacker
7
Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno
Reinaldo Nascimento Satorno Attacker
11
Armstrong Okoflex
Armstrong Okoflex Attacker
12
Mustapha Sangaré
Mustapha Sangaré Attacker
9
Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez
Juan Esteban Perea Sanchez Attacker
77
Adrian Raychev
Adrian Raychev Attacker
27
David João Kusso
David João Kusso Attacker
28
Stivan Yordanov Stoyanchov
Stivan Yordanov Stoyanchov Attacker

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward Levski Sofia holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give Levski Sofia a 0.4-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.