Jagiellonia Białystok vs Rangers preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa League, Europe
Stadion Miejski Thu, 6 Aug - 4:00 PM
Europa League
Jagiellonia BiałystokJAG
2 1
RangersRAN
Full Time Thu, 6 Aug 4:00 PM
3rd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Goal
|
Goal
Guilherme Montóia - 4' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Jagiellonia Białystok 2–1 Rangers. The result saw Jagiellonia Białystok take the points. Jagiellonia Białystok showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 52%–48%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Jagiellonia Białystok 2-1 Rangers. Jagiellonia Białystok showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was insufficient data for expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was diverging from the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Inconclusive for xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Dabanović
N. Dabanović
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
S. Jovanović
S. Jovanović
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
V. Todorović
V. Todorović
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Bošković
M. Bošković
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Jagiellonia Białystok A. Siemieniec
A. Siemieniec
VS
Rangers D. McInnes
D. McInnes
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0 i
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Jagiellonia Białystok
34%
Draw
28.79%
Away Rangers
37.21%

Movement

Changes since opening
Jagiellonia Białystok
-59.74%
Draw
+23.17%
Rangers
+36.58%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
71.63
78.57
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Jagiellonia Białystok
Rangers
Power Score
71.63
78.57
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
255
109

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Jagiellonia Białystok — Opponent-weighted form score
Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Jagiellonia Białystok Rangers

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Jagiellonia Białystok

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rangers

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency data not available for this match.

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Jagiellonia Białystok ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rangers
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Jagiellonia Białystok Rangers
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Jagiellonia Białystok Rangers
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Rangers
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
Rangers
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Jagiellonia Białystok Rangers
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Jagiellonia Białystok 0.00
Rangers 0.00
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Jagiellonia Białystok Rangers
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Jagiellonia Białystok 0.00
Rangers 0.00
Jagiellonia Białystok
Rangers
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • RAN had peak pressure around 88'.
  • JAG started the game with stronger pressure.
JAG Pressure RAN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: RAN reached the top pressure at 88' (70.86).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 06, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa League, Europe · 3rd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
22372
Attendance
19931
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nikola Dabanović
Srđan Jovanović
Vladan Todorović
Miloš Bošković

Statistics

Possession
JAG
40%
RAN
60%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
3 Shots 4
49 Dangerous attacks 102
52 Possession 48
1 Corners 5
15 Free kicks 12
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

4 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 24

Attacking

81 Attacks 142

Defensive

4 Saves 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
9 Fouls 15

Lineup

Referee : Nikola Dabanović

Starting XI ▼

50
Sławomir Abramowicz
Sławomir Abramowicz Goalkeeper
4
Yuki Kobayashi
Yuki Kobayashi Defender
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
Norbert Wojtuszek Defender
23
Guilherme Montóia
Guilherme Montóia Defender
27
Rodrigo Conceição
Rodrigo Conceição Defender
10
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo
Midfielder65'
44
Apostolos Konstantopoulos
Apostolos Konstantopoulos Defender
6
Taras Romanczuk
Taras Romanczuk (C) Midfielder
7
Kajetan Szmyt
Kajetan Szmyt Midfielder
11
Jesús Imaz
Jesús Imaz Midfielder
8
Dawid Drachal
Dawid Drachal
Midfielder80'
21
Sergio Lozano
Sergio Lozano Midfielder
19
A. Klynge
A. Klynge
Midfielder65'
99
Nik Prelec
Nik Prelec Attacker
17
Youssuf Sylla
Youssuf Sylla
Attacker80'
Referee : Nikola Dabanović

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
21
Dujon Sterling
Dujon Sterling Defender
25
Tuur Rommens
Tuur Rommens Defender
37
Emmanuel Fernandez
Emmanuel Fernandez Defender
2
Ross McCrorie
Ross McCrorie Midfielder
7
Lawrence Shankland
Lawrence Shankland
Attacker85'
6
Dan Neil
Dan Neil (C) Midfielder
43
Nicolas Raskin
Nicolas Raskin
Midfielder46'
10
Mohamed Diomandé
Mohamed Diomandé Midfielder
11
Thelo Aasgaard
Thelo Aasgaard Midfielder
22
Vanja Dragojevic
Vanja Dragojevic
Midfielder76'
42
Tochi Chukwuani
Tochi Chukwuani Midfielder
14
Cammy Devlin
Cammy Devlin
Midfielder46'
9
Youssef Chermiti
Youssef Chermiti Attacker
17
Daisuke Yokota
Daisuke Yokota Attacker
52
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis
Midfielder46'

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Nicolas Raskin
Tripping / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Yuki Kobayashi
Holding / 3rd Yellowcard
88'
85'
Event
Lawrence Shankland → Ross McCrorie
9th Substitution
Event
Dawid Drachal → Jesús Imaz
7th Substitution
80'
Event
Youssuf Sylla → Nik Prelec
8th Substitution
80'
76'
Event
Vanja Dragojevic → Thelo Aasgaard
6th Substitution
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo → Rodrigo Conceição
4th Substitution
65'
Event
A. Klynge → Sergio Lozano
5th Substitution
65'
46'
Event
Findlay Curtis → Daisuke Yokota
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Cammy Devlin → Tochi Chukwuani
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Nicolas Raskin → Dan Neil
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
34'
Event
Tochi Chukwuani
Tripping / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Kajetan Szmyt
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
21'
Event
Emmanuel Fernandez
Own Goal / 1st Goal
13'
5'
Event
Tuur Rommens
Tripping / 1st Yellowcard
4'
Event
Guilherme Montóia
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Nicolas Raskin receives a yellow card.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yuki Kobayashi receives a yellow card.
86
Update Update
Lawrence Shankland comes on for Ross McCrorie.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Update Update
Youssuf Sylla comes on for Nik Prelec.
80
Update Update
Dawid Drachal comes on for Jesus Imaz Balleste.
79
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
76
Update Update
Vanja Dragojevic is on, and Thelo Aasgaard is off.
65
Update Update
Jeremy Agbonifo comes on for Rodrigo Conceicao.
65
Update Update
Anders Klynge comes on for Sergio Lozano.
64
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Update Update
Findlay Curtis comes on for Daisuke Yokota.
46
Update Update
Nicolas Raskin comes on for Daniel Neill.
46
Update Update
Cameron Devlin is on, and Tochi Phil Chukwuani is off.
34
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Tochi Phil Chukwuani.
21
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kajetan Szmyt scores, making it 2-1.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Emmanuel Fernandez levels the score at 1-1.
13
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Kajetan Szmyt scores, bringing the score to 1-1.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Tuur Rommens.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal makes it 0-1.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Nikola Dabanovic.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Jagiellonia Białystok 2-1 Rangers. Structural assessment: Jagiellonia Białystok exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was contrary to the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was outside the projected probability range.