Jagiellonia Białystok vs Korona Kielce preview

Poland flag 2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland
Stadion Miejski Sat, 25 Jul - 12:45 PM
Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia BiałystokJAG
1 0
Korona KielceKorona Kielce
Full Time Sat, 25 Jul 12:45 PM
Round 1 Regular Season
Nik Prelec - 89'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Jagiellonia Białystok defeated Korona Kielce 1-0 in a match that stayed level at 0-0 after the first half. Jagiellonia controlled 62 percent of possession while Korona held 38 percent yet neither side created many clear chances before the interval. The sole goal arrived after halftime allowing the home side to claim the points. No red cards were issued to either team so both played with full squads for the entire contest. As the stronger side Jagiellonia delivered the expected result through a disciplined defensive display and one moment of quality in attack. The significant performance deviation from the visitors expectations enabled the hosts to grind out a narrow win despite limited goal threat. This outcome leaves Jagiellonia with a positive result in their campaign.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Jagiellonia Białystok 1-0 Korona Kielce. Jagiellonia Białystok showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match expectations.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals values were recorded during the match.
  • Event impact: The single second half goal proved decisive in securing the win.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so the match proceeded without disciplinary distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Arys
K. Arys
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Arys
M. Arys
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Janawa
M. Janawa
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Wiśniewski
D. Wiśniewski
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Jagiellonia Białystok A. Siemieniec
A. Siemieniec
VS
Korona Kielce J. Zielinski
J. Zielinski
1.59
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.19
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Zagłębie Lubin Rank: 64 W
Katowice Rank: 68 D
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 72 W
Pogoń Szczecin Rank: 65 W
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 70 L
Arka Gdynia Rank: 57 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Cracovia Kraków Rank: 63 D
Widzew Lodz Rank: 63 W
Raków Częstochowa Rank: 72 L
Piast Gliwice Rank: 63 D
Katowice Rank: 68 D
Górnik Zabrze Rank: 70 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
69.92
62.89
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Jagiellonia Białystok
Korona Kielce
Power Score
69.92
62.89
League Position
4
17
Global Rank
267
473

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Jagiellonia Białystok — Opponent-weighted form score
Korona Kielce — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Jagiellonia Białystok Korona Kielce

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Jagiellonia Białystok

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Korona Kielce

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Jagiellonia Białystok ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Korona Kielce
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.42
51.18
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
51.18
22.42
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Jagiellonia Białystok -2.96 Efficiency Index
vs
Korona Kielce +2.96 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Korona Kielce
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Jagiellonia Białystok ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Korona Kielce
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Jagiellonia Białystok Korona Kielce
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Jagiellonia Białystok Korona Kielce
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Korona Kielce
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Jagiellonia Białystok
vs
Korona Kielce
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Jagiellonia Białystok Korona Kielce
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Jagiellonia Białystok 0.19
Korona Kielce 0.23
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Jagiellonia Białystok Korona Kielce
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Jagiellonia Białystok 0.00
Korona Kielce 0.02
Jagiellonia Białystok
Korona Kielce
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • JAG had peak pressure around 90'.
  • Korona Kielce started the game with stronger pressure.
JAG Pressure Korona Kielce Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: JAG reached the top pressure at 90' (96.61).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Jagiellonia Białystok JAG Home
4 matches
Korona Kielce Korona Kielce Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
Goals
8
Goals Scored
6
6
Goals Conceded
8
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-26T00:01:05+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 25, 2026, 12:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Ekstraklasa, Poland · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadion Miejski
Capacity
22372
Attendance
18832
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Karol Arys
Marek Arys
Marcin Janawa
Dawid Wiśniewski

Statistics

Possession
JAG
58%
Korona Kielce
42%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
3 Shots 8
58 Dangerous attacks 69
62 Possession 38
3 Corners 6
19 Free kicks 11
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

82 Ball Safe 71
10 Goal Kicks 7
7 Goal Attempts 10
5 Substitutions 5
14 Throwins 25
1 Assists 0
0 Injuries 1
19 Dribble Attempts 11
11 Successful Dribbles 4
58 Successful Dribbles Percentage 36

Attacking

96 Attacks 94

Possession

54 Long Passes 48
466 Passes 278
396 Successful Passes 215
85 Successful Passes Percentage 77
7 Key Passes 8
30 Successful Long Passes 20
56 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

1 Saves 4
16 Tackles 16
4 Interceptions 6
64 Duels Won 45

Build-up

19 Total Crosses 18
9 Accurate Crosses 5

Discipline

11 Fouls 19

Lineup

Referee : Karol Arys

Starting XI ▼

50
Sławomir Abramowicz
Sławomir Abramowicz Goalkeeper
7.22
4
Yuki Kobayashi
Yuki Kobayashi Defender
6.86
5
Bernardo Vital
Bernardo Vital Defender
7.59
15
Norbert Wojtuszek
Norbert Wojtuszek Defender
6.77
23
Guilherme Montóia
Guilherme Montóia Defender
7.61
6
Taras Romanczuk
Taras Romanczuk (C) Midfielder
7.28
7
Kajetan Szmyt
Kajetan Szmyt Midfielder
6.73
10
Jeremy Agbonifo
Jeremy Agbonifo
Attacker87'
8
Dawid Drachal
Dawid Drachal Midfielder
6.82
21
Sergio Lozano
Sergio Lozano
Midfielder74'
7.33
11
Jesús Imaz
Jesús Imaz Midfielder
6.64
9
Dimitris Rallis
Dimitris Rallis
Attacker86'
6.81
72
Kamil Jóźwiak
Kamil Jóźwiak Midfielder
7.13
99
Nik Prelec
Nik Prelec
Attacker61'
7.28
17
Youssuf Sylla
Youssuf Sylla Attacker
6.97
27
Rodrigo Conceição
Rodrigo Conceição
Defender61'
6.39
Referee : Karol Arys

Starting XI ▼

1
Xavier Dziekoński
Xavier Dziekoński Goalkeeper
7.09
2
Ariel Mosór
Ariel Mosór Defender
7.28
6
Marcel Pięczek
Marcel Pięczek Defender
6.71
37
Hubert Zwoźny
Hubert Zwoźny Defender
6.64
44
Konstantinos Sotiriou
Konstantinos Sotiriou Defender
6.9
7
Dawid Błanik
Dawid Błanik Midfielder
6.6
21
Konrad Ciszek
Konrad Ciszek
Defender84'
6.18
18
Patrik Hellebrand
Patrik Hellebrand Midfielder
7.11
22
Morgan Faßbender
Morgan Faßbender
Attacker90'
71
Wiktor Długosz
Wiktor Długosz Midfielder
6.85
86
Simon Gustafson
Simon Gustafson Midfielder
6.95
8
Martin Remacle
Martin Remacle
Midfielder67'
6.27
88
Tamar Svetlin
Tamar Svetlin Midfielder
6.52
35
Kamil Jakubczyk
Kamil Jakubczyk
Midfielder84'
6.45
14
Mariusz Stępiński
Mariusz Stępiński (C) Attacker
6.47
99
Daniel Bąk
Daniel Bąk
Attacker67'
6.36

Events

2ND-HALF
90'
Event
Morgan Faßbender → Patrik Hellebrand
10th Substitution
Event
Nik Prelec
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
89'
Event
Jeremy Agbonifo → Kajetan Szmyt
9th Substitution
87'
Event
Dimitris Rallis → Jesús Imaz
8th Substitution
86'
84'
Event
Konrad Ciszek → Dawid Błanik
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Kamil Jakubczyk → Tamar Svetlin
7th Substitution
Event
Sergio Lozano → Dawid Drachal
5th Substitution
74'
67'
Event
Daniel Bąk → Mariusz Stępiński
3rd Substitution
67'
Event
Martin Remacle → Simon Gustafson
4th Substitution
64'
Event
Patrik Hellebrand
Handball / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Rodrigo Conceição → Youssuf Sylla
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Nik Prelec → Kamil Jóźwiak
2nd Substitution
61'

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
On Morgan Fabender，Off Patrik Hellebrand
89
Update Update
On Morgan Fabender，Off Patrik Hellebrand
89
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Nik Prelec Right Footed Shot Goal
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal - Nik Prelec 1-0，Assist：Sergio Lozano
88
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sergio Lozano Left Footed Shot Missed
87
Update Update
On Jeremy Agbonifo，Off Kajetan Szmyt
87
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Sergio Lozano Right Footed Shot Blocked
86
Update Update
On Dimitris Rallis，Off Jesus Imaz Balleste
84
Update Update
On Konrad Ciszek，Off Dawid Blanik
84
Update Update
On Kamil Jakubczyk，Off Tamar Svetlin
78
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Norbert Wojtuszek Right Footed Shot Saved
78
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Norbert Wojtuszek Right Footed Shot Saved
74
Corner Corner
Corner
74
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Wiktor Dlugosz Right Footed Shot Missed
74
Update Update
On Sergio Lozano，Off Dawid Drachal
70
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ariel Mosor Right Footed Shot Saved
70
Corner Corner
Corner
67
Update Update
On Martin Remacle，Off Simon Gustafson
67
Update Update
On Daniel Bak，Off Mariusz Stepinski
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow Card - Patrik Hellebrand
61
Update Update
On Nik Prelec，Off Kamil Jozwiak
61
Update Update
On Rodrigo Conceicao，Off Youssuf Sylla
60
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Youssuf Sylla Head Shot Missed
57
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dawid Blanik Right Footed Shot Blocked
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Mariusz Stepinski Right Footed Shot Missed
55
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dawid Blanik Right Footed Shot Missed
51
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tamar Svetlin Right Footed Shot Missed
51
Corner Corner
Corner
46
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dawid Blanik Right Footed Shot Blocked
44
Corner Corner
Corner
43
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Dawid Blanik Right Footed Shot Blocked
41
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Wiktor Dlugosz Right Footed Shot Missed
40
Corner Corner
Corner
38
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Norbert Wojtuszek Right Footed Shot Missed
36
Corner Corner
Corner
35
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Youssuf Sylla Head Shot Blocked
31
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Gustafson Left Footed Shot Missed
27
Corner Corner
Corner
27
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ariel Mosor Head Shot Missed
23
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Tamar Svetlin Right Footed Shot Blocked
22
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Marcel Pieczek Right Footed Shot Missed
19
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patrik Hellebrand Right Footed Shot Missed
16
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jesus Imaz Balleste Right Footed Shot Blocked
15
Corner Corner
Corner
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Youssuf Sylla Right Footed Shot Missed
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Wiktor Dlugosz Right Footed Shot Saved
10
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Ariel Mosor Head Shot Blocked
10
Corner Corner
Corner
9
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Patrik Hellebrand Right Footed Shot Blocked
5
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Kajetan Szmyt Head Shot Saved
3
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Simon Gustafson Right Footed Shot Blocked
1
Update Update
Kick-off! Referee：Karol Arys

CONCLUSION

The narrow 1-0 victory highlighted Jagiellonia Białystok's capacity to manage games through control and organization rather than open attacking play. Korona Kielce defended stoutly for long periods but lacked the penetration needed to trouble the hosts. Possession dominance by the winners did not translate into high volume scoring yet proved sufficient on the day. Absence of red cards ensured a standard contest without numerical imbalances altering tactics. This result reinforces Jagiellonia's standing as the stronger side while Korona must address their limited threat in forward areas. The match stayed competitive throughout and ended with the expected winner prevailing after a cautious opening period.