Jablonec vs Rangers preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Stadion Střelnice
Europa Conference League
JablonecJAB
1 0
RangersRAN
Full Time: Finished on Penalties
Play-offs Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 1 - 1
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Jablonec 1–0 Rangers. The result saw Jablonec take the points. Jablonec showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Jablonec 4.9 – 4.7 Rangers. Possession was 54%–46%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Jablonec recorded a minimal 4.3 percent deviation as the match winner.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with pre-match patterns for both sides.
  • xG alignment: Outcome stayed consistent with the overall expected goals distribution.
  • Market alignment: Final result aligned with market projections for the fixture.
  • xG expectations: Jablonec posted 4.91 xG against Rangers total of 4.66 xG.
  • Event impact: The sole goal after halftime decided the 1-0 scoreline.
  • Red card distortion: Absence of red cards produced no distortion to match dynamics.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Minaković
N. Minaković
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.32
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
N. Borović
N. Borović
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
B. Božović
B. Božović
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Nikolić
D. Nikolić
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Jablonec L. Kozel
L. Kozel
VS
Rangers D. McInnes
D. McInnes
1.8
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
3
1.8 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rangers Rank: 75 L
Rīgas FS Rank: W
Rīgas FS Rank: W
Varaždin Rank: 70 W
Varaždin Rank: 70 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
3 i
Last 6 Opponents
Jablonec Rank: 68 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Jablonec
95.69%
Draw
3.68%
Away Rangers
0.63%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
67.43
75.36
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Jablonec
Rangers
Power Score
67.43
75.36
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
322
132

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Jablonec — Opponent-weighted form score
Rangers — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Jablonec Rangers

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Jablonec

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Rangers

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Jablonec ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Rangers
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.76
26.09
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.09
36.76
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Jablonec +0.83 Efficiency Index
vs
Rangers -0.83 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Jablonec
Rangers
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Jablonec
vs
Rangers
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Jablonec Rangers
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
82%
89%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
5.00 5.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.96 vs +0.85
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Jablonec Rangers
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
89%
82%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
5.00 5.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.85 vs +0.96
Jablonec
Rangers
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Jablonec
vs
Rangers
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Jablonec Rangers
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Jablonec 0.21
Rangers 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Jablonec Rangers
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Jablonec 0.05
Rangers 0.06
Jablonec
Rangers
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • JAB had peak pressure around 29'.
  • RAN started the game with stronger pressure.
JAB Pressure RAN Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: JAB reached the top pressure at 29' (69.42).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Jablonec JAB Home
1 matches
Rangers RAN Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
0
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0.24
xG
2.03
2.03
xGA
0.24

Data last updated: 2026-08-28T00:00:38+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · Play-offs · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 1 - 1
Stadium
Stadion Střelnice
Capacity
6280
Attendance
5553
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nenad Minaković
Nikola Borović
Boško Božović
Danilo Nikolić

Statistics

Possession
JAB
53%
RAN
47%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 0
1 Big Chances Created 0
9 Shots 4
77 Dangerous attacks 60
54 Possession 46
5 Corners 4
17 Free kicks 16
2 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

5 Goal Kicks 15
6 Substitutions 7
35 Throwins 26
12 Dribble Attempts 17
5 Successful Dribbles 9
42 Successful Dribbles Percentage 53

Attacking

116 Attacks 120
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

84 Long Passes 65
652 Passes 558
554 Successful Passes 464
85 Successful Passes Percentage 83
14 Key Passes 7
40 Successful Long Passes 28
48 Successful Long Passes Percentage 43

Defensive

1 Saves 4
16 Tackles 17
5 Interceptions 5

Build-up

33 Total Crosses 30
7 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

4 Offsides 1
16 Fouls 17

Lineup

Referee : Nenad Minaković

Starting XI ▼

1
Jan Hanus
Jan Hanus Goalkeeper
6.86
4
Nemanja Tekijaski
Nemanja Tekijaski (C) Defender
6.93
6
Nelson Okeke
Nelson Okeke
Midfielder86'
7.24
15
Dusan Pavlovic
Dusan Pavlovic Defender
7.23
18
Martin Cedidla
Martin Cedidla Defender
7.36
20
Jiri Slama
Jiri Slama Defender
6.79
23
Eduard Sobol
Eduard Sobol
Defender79'
6.53
7
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
Vakhtang Chanturishvili Midfielder
8
10
Jan Suchan
Jan Suchan Midfielder
7.39
8
Filip Zorvan
Filip Zorvan
Midfielder79'
6.76
13
Richard Sedlacek
Richard Sedlacek Midfielder
7.1
21
Matej Polidar
Matej Polidar Midfielder
6.65
19
Jan Chramosta
Jan Chramosta
Attacker64'
6.41
25
Sebastian Nebyla
Sebastian Nebyla Midfielder
7.03
57
Filip Novak
Filip Novak
Defender110'
6.61
44
Lamin Jawo
Lamin Jawo Attacker
6.65
9
Antonin Rusek
Antonin Rusek
Attacker64'
6.74
Referee : Nenad Minaković

Starting XI ▼

1
Ivor Pandur
Ivor Pandur Goalkeeper
7.67
21
Dujon Sterling
Dujon Sterling Defender
6.6
28
Bojan Miovski
Bojan Miovski
Attacker106'
6.5
24
Olwethu Makhanya
Olwethu Makhanya Defender
7.17
29
James Penrice
James Penrice Defender
6.77
37
Emmanuel Fernandez
Emmanuel Fernandez Defender
6.7
6
Dan Neil
Dan Neil (C) Midfielder
6.62
8
Connor Barron
Connor Barron
Midfielder46'
6.62
17
Daisuke Yokota
Daisuke Yokota Midfielder
6.77
52
Findlay Curtis
Findlay Curtis
Attacker46'
7.22
22
Vanja Dragojevic
Vanja Dragojevic Midfielder
6.56
11
Thelo Aasgaard
Thelo Aasgaard
Midfielder60'
6.74
23
Djeidi Gassama
Djeidi Gassama Midfielder
6.53
7
Lawrence Shankland
Lawrence Shankland
Attacker46'
6.46
42
Tochi Chukwuani
Tochi Chukwuani Midfielder
6.64
20
Ryan Naderi
Ryan Naderi Attacker
6.78
18
Kosta Nedeljkovic
Kosta Nedeljkovic
Defender79'
6.74

Events

2ND-HALF
112'
Event
Lawrence Shankland
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Filip Novak → Sebastian Nebyla
12th Substitution
110'
106'
Event
Bojan Miovski → Dujon Sterling
11th Substitution
Event
Antonin Rusek
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
101'
Event
Nelson Okeke → Nemanja Tekijaski
10th Substitution
86'
Event
Eduard Sobol → Jiri Slama
8th Substitution
79'
Event
Filip Zorvan → Jan Suchan
9th Substitution
79'
79'
Event
Kosta Nedeljkovic → Ryan Naderi
7th Substitution
Event
Vakhtang Chanturishvili
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
73'
Event
Jan Chramosta → Matej Polidar
5th Substitution
64'
Event
Antonin Rusek → Lamin Jawo
6th Substitution
64'
60'
Event
Thelo Aasgaard → Vanja Dragojevic
4th Substitution
46'
Event
Connor Barron → Dan Neil
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Findlay Curtis → Daisuke Yokota
2nd Substitution
46'
Event
Lawrence Shankland → Djeidi Gassama
3rd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Martin Cedidla
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
17'
Event
Jan Chramosta
Scored
10'
9'
Event
James Penrice
Goalkeeper save
Event
Nelson Okeke
Scored
8'
7'
Event
Findlay Curtis
Off target
Event
Filip Zorvan
Goalkeeper save
6'
5'
Event
Thelo Aasgaard
Scored
Event
Richard Sedlacek
Scored
4'
3'
Event
Bojan Miovski
Scored
Event
Antonin Rusek
Scored
2'
1'
Event
Lawrence Shankland
Scored

Match Commentary

125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Jan Chramosta scores, making it 4-3.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss! James Penrice fails to convert, and the score remains 3-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Nelson Okeke scores, making it 3-3.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss! Findlay Curtis fails to convert. The score remains 2-3.
125
Update Update
Penalty miss for Filip Zorvan. The score remains 2-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Thelo Aasgaard scores, making it 2-3.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Penalty goal! Richard Sedlacek scores, making it 2-2.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Bojan Miovski scores, making it 1-2.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Antonin Rusek scores, making it 1-1.
125
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Lawrence Shankland scores a penalty, making it 0-1.
120
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
119
Update Update
Lawrence Shankland's header is blocked.
117
Attempt Attempt
Filip Novak takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
115
Attempt Attempt
Nelson Okeke takes a right-footed shot but misses.
114
Attempt Attempt
Findlay Curtis takes a left-footed shot but misses.
113
Attempt Attempt
Vakhtang Chanturishvili takes a right-footed shot but misses.
112
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Lawrence Shankland receives a yellow card.
110
Update Update
Filip Novak comes on for Sebastian Nebyla.
107
Attempt Attempt
Jan Chramosta takes a right-footed shot but misses.
106
Update Update
Bojan Miovski is on, and Dujon Sterling is off.
101
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Antonin Rusek.
97
Attempt Attempt
Antonin Rusek takes a right-footed shot but misses.
92
Attempt Attempt
Findlay Curtis takes a shot, but it misses the target.
90
Attempt Attempt
Nelson Okeke takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Update Update
Nelson Okeke comes on for Nemanja Tekijaski.
85
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Nebyla takes a right-footed shot but misses.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
81
Attempt Attempt
Thelo Aasgaard takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
79
Substitution Substitution
Filip Zorvan is substituted for Jan Suchan.
79
Update Update
Kosta Nedeljkovic comes on for Ryan Don Naderi.
79
Update Update
Eduard Sobol replaces Jiri Slama.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Vakhtang Chanturishvili with his right foot results in a goal.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Vakhtang Chanturishvili scores to make it 1-0.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Substitution Substitution
Jan Chramosta is substituted off for Matej Polidar.
64
Update Update
Antonin Rusek comes on for Lamin Jawo.
63
Attempt Attempt
Sebastian Nebyla takes a shot with his head, but it's blocked.
63
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Update Update
On Thelo Aasgaard, off Vanja Dragojevic.
59
Attempt Attempt
Jan Suchan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Lamin Jawo takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
55
Attempt Attempt
Lawrence Shankland takes a header shot but misses.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
52
Update Update
Offside.
51
Attempt Attempt
Lawrence Shankland takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
49
Attempt Attempt
Jan Suchan takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
49
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Update Update
Offside.
46
Update Update
Findlay Curtis replaces Daisuke Yokota.
46
Update Update
Lawrence Shankland comes on, and Djeidi Gassama goes off.
46
Update Update
Connor Barron replaces Daniel Neill.
36
Attempt Attempt
Matej Polidar's left-footed shot is saved.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Lamin Jawo takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
25
Attempt Attempt
James Penrice takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
20
Attempt Attempt
Tochi Phil Chukwuani takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
17
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Martin Cedidla.
13
Attempt Attempt
Lamin Jawo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
11
Update Update
Offside.
8
Attempt Attempt
Lamin Jawo takes a right-footed shot but misses.
6
Update Update
Offside.
4
Update Update
Offside.
1
Attempt Attempt
Ryan Don Naderi attempted a header but missed the shot.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Nenad Minakovic.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Jablonec 1-0 Rangers. Structural assessment: Jablonec exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.