İstanbul Başakşehir vs Kocaelispor preview

Türkiye flag 2026/2027 Super Lig, Türkiye
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu Sun, 16 Aug - 4:00 PM
Super Lig
KICKOFF : Sun, 16 Aug - 4:00 PM
Round 1 Regular Season

CONTEXT

İstanbul Başakşehir prepares to welcome Kocaelispor to the Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu for a Super Lig regular season encounter in the 2026/2027 season. Domestic league positions place the hosts in 13th spot and the visitors in 17th. Calculated power ratings give the home side 77.11 and the away side 66.68, creating a 10.4 point edge that marks İstanbul Başakşehir as the stronger outfit. Both clubs register zero form scores ahead of the fixture. Set piece evaluations carry low confidence because proxy data supports the figures. The match offers an opportunity for each team to climb the table through effective play across all phases of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural: İstanbul Başakşehir sits 13th while Kocaelispor occupies 17th in domestic league standings.
  • Form: Both sides register a form score of zero entering the fixture.
  • Squad: Power ratings favor the home team at 77.11 over the visitors at 66.68.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics remain unavailable for this encounter.
  • Transition: Transition details lack specific data in the current records.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis shows low confidence with proxy data applied to both teams.
  • xVariable: Power advantage stands at 10.4 points for the stronger side İstanbul Başakşehir.
  • Market: İstanbul Başakşehir 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Kocaelispor 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
İstanbul Başakşehir N. Şahin
N. Şahin
VS
Kocaelispor S. İnan
S. İnan
2
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.58
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Gaziantep F.K. Rank: 68 W
Samsunspor Rank: 76 W
Fenerbahçe Rank: 87 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 69 W
Trabzonspor Rank: 79 D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 71 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Antalyaspor Rank: 55 L
Fatih Karagümrük Rank: 56 L
Kasımpaşa Rank: 69 D
Gençlerbirliği Rank: 71 L
Göztepe Rank: 76 D
Galatasaray Rank: 84 D
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
77.11
66.68
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
İstanbul Başakşehir
Kocaelispor
Power Score
77.11
66.68
League Position
13
17
Global Rank
129
382

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
İstanbul Başakşehir Opponent-weighted form score
Kocaelispor Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) İstanbul Başakşehir Kocaelispor

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

İstanbul Başakşehir IBA Home
2 matches
Kocaelispor KOC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-12T00:32:42+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Pitch
S. Öztaşdelen
83 S. Öztaşdelen
M. Haïdara
21 M. Haïdara
M. Cinan
3 M. Cinan
A. Dijksteel
2 A. Dijksteel
D. Ceylan
16 D. Ceylan
M. Susoho
20 M. Susoho
M. Da Silva Cafumana
14 M. Da Silva Cafumana
H. Keita
8 H. Keita
B. Petković
9 B. Petković
D. Agyei
7 D. Agyei
R. Rivas Vindel
99 R. Rivas Vindel

General Information

Date & Time
Aug 16, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Super Lig, Türkiye · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Capacity
17156
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Expected Lineup

Starting XI

16
Muhammed Şengezer
Muhammed Şengezer Goalkeeper
7.06
9
Davie Selke
Davie Selke Centre Forward
6.9
14
Eldor Shomurodov
Eldor Shomurodov Attacking Midfield
7.28
19
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan Defensive Midfield
6.69
6
Onur Bulut
Onur Bulut Right Back
6.66
7
Yusuf Sarı
Yusuf Sarı Right Wing
7.21
23
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Right Back
7.04
27
Ousseynou Ba
Ousseynou Ba Left Back
6.71
20
Umut Güneş
Umut Güneş Defensive Midfield
6.72
21
Christopher Operi
Christopher Operi Left Back
6.97
77
Ivan Brnic
Ivan Brnic Left Wing
6.86

Starting XI

83
Serhat Öztaşdelen
Serhat Öztaşdelen Goalkeeper
6.82
7
Dan Agyei
Dan Agyei Centre Forward
6.58
9
Bruno Petkovic
Bruno Petkovic Attacker
6.88
99
Rigoberto Rivas
Rigoberto Rivas Attacker
6.55
14
Show
Show Central Midfield
6.8
16
Deniz Ceylan
Deniz Ceylan Right Back
20
Mahamadou Susoho
Mahamadou Susoho Central Midfield
6.64
21
Massadio Haïdara
Massadio Haïdara Left Back
6.79
2
Anfernee Dijksteel
Anfernee Dijksteel Right Back
6.68
3
Muharrem Cinan
Muharrem Cinan Left Back
6.6
8
Habib Keïta
Habib Keïta Central Midfield
6.76

CONCLUSION

Overall, the structural indicators point toward İstanbul Başakşehir holding the stronger pre-match profile. Power rankings give İstanbul Başakşehir a 10.4-point edge. Projection probabilities are unavailable or insufficient in the available data for this fixture. The balance of play should hinge on execution in transitions and set-piece phases.