İstanbul Başakşehir vs Inter Turku preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu Wed, 22 Jul - 5:45 PM
Europa Conference League
İstanbul BaşakşehirIBA
1 – 1
Inter TurkuINT
Full Time Wed, 22 Jul 5:45 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 1 of 2
Emin Bayram - 54'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

İstanbul Başakşehir faced Inter Turku in the first leg of their two-legged tie and played out a 1-1 draw. The visitors led 0-1 at halftime after capitalizing on an early opening. Home possession reached 68 percent while the away side held 32 percent. Expected goals favored the hosts at 2.29 against 1.56 for Inter Turku. No red cards were shown to players from either team. The designated stronger side Inter Turku secured the away point despite lower chance creation. The final scoreline proved inconsistent with the underlying expected goals data. İstanbul Başakşehir equalized during the second half after sustained pressure. This leaves the aggregate level for the return fixture.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: A moderate 9.8 percent deviation occurred with Inter Turku as the affected side.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match projections for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The 1-1 result did not align with the expected goals distribution.
  • Market alignment: Pre-match indicators aligned with the observed draw outcome.
  • xG expectations: İstanbul Başakşehir posted 2.29 expected goals to 1.56 for Inter Turku.
  • Event impact: The 0-1 halftime score shaped second-half adjustments by the hosts.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards produced no disciplinary distortion in the match.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Martínez Munuera
J. Martínez Munuera
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Barbero Sevilla
D. Barbero Sevilla
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Martínez Munuera
M. Martínez Munuera
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
F. Hernández Maeso
F. Hernández Maeso
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
İstanbul Başakşehir N. Şahin
N. Şahin
VS
Inter Turku V. Vasara
V. Vasara
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0 i
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarajevo Rank: 54 W
Sarajevo Rank: 54 D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home İstanbul Başakşehir
6.2%
Draw
90.23%
Away Inter Turku
3.57%

Movement

Changes since opening
İstanbul Başakşehir
-4%
Draw
+4.42%
Inter Turku
-0.42%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
30.74
36.67
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
İstanbul Başakşehir
Inter Turku
Power Score
30.74
36.67
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
İstanbul Başakşehir — Opponent-weighted form score
Inter Turku — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) İstanbul Başakşehir Inter Turku

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

İstanbul Başakşehir

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Inter Turku

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

İstanbul Başakşehir ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Inter Turku
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
40.59
41.41
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
41.41
40.59
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
İstanbul Başakşehir -0.08 Efficiency Index
vs
Inter Turku +0.08 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
İstanbul Başakşehir
Inter Turku
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
Inter Turku
Created Set-piece attacking threat
İstanbul Başakşehir Inter Turku
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
25%
52%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.57 vs -0.81
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
İstanbul Başakşehir Inter Turku
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
52%
25%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.81 vs -0.57
İstanbul Başakşehir
Inter Turku
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
İstanbul Başakşehir
vs
Inter Turku
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
İstanbul Başakşehir Inter Turku
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
İstanbul Başakşehir 0.33
Inter Turku 0.48
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
İstanbul Başakşehir Inter Turku
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
İstanbul Başakşehir 0.04
Inter Turku 0.01
İstanbul Başakşehir
Inter Turku
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • IBA had peak pressure around 68'.
  • INT started the game with stronger pressure.
IBA Pressure INT Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: IBA reached the top pressure at 68' (95.24).

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 22, 2026, 05:45 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 1 of 2
Stadium
Başakşehir Fatih Terim Stadyumu
Capacity
17156
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Juan Martínez Munuera
Diego Barbero Sevilla
Miguel Martínez Munuera
Francisco José Hernández Maeso

Statistics

Possession
IBA
64%
INT
36%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 3
9 Shots 4
72 Dangerous attacks 25
68 Possession 32
8 Corners 1
9 Free kicks 13
1 Yellow Cards 2

Match Overview

81 Ball Safe 70
4 Goal Kicks 13
14 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 4
14 Throwins 8
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 1
10 Dribble Attempts 18
3 Successful Dribbles 10
30 Successful Dribbles Percentage 56

Attacking

113 Attacks 39
3 Big Chances Missed 3

Possession

45 Long Passes 47
551 Passes 272
500 Successful Passes 211
91 Successful Passes Percentage 78
20 Key Passes 9
32 Successful Long Passes 13
71 Successful Long Passes Percentage 28

Defensive

3 Saves 8
16 Tackles 17
9 Interceptions 10

Build-up

36 Total Crosses 10
9 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

4 Offsides 5
13 Fouls 9

Lineup

Referee : Juan Martínez Munuera

Starting XI ▼

16
Muhammed Şengezer
Muhammed Şengezer Goalkeeper
6.92
23
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Defender
8.74
27
Ousseynou Ba
Ousseynou Ba Defender
6.79
3
Jerome Opoku
Jerome Opoku
Defender61'
6.9
33
Michal Karbownik
Michal Karbownik Defender
6.62
42
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Ömer Ali Şahiner (C) Defender
6.87
7
Yusuf Sarı
Yusuf Sarı Midfielder
8.16
8
Olivier Kemen
Olivier Kemen Midfielder
6.88
14
Eldor Shomurodov
Eldor Shomurodov Midfielder
7.28
10
Nuno Da Costa
Nuno Da Costa
Attacker69'
6.53
20
Umut Güneş
Umut Güneş Midfielder
7.32
5
Berat Özdemir
Berat Özdemir
Midfielder82'
6.52
77
Ivan Brnic
Ivan Brnic Midfielder
6.47
11
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
Midfielder61'
7.3
91
Bertuğ Yıldırım
Bertuğ Yıldırım Attacker
6.47
9
Davie Selke
Davie Selke
Attacker69'
6.57
Referee : Juan Martínez Munuera

Starting XI ▼

1
Eetu Huuhtanen
Eetu Huuhtanen Goalkeeper
8.11
2
Jussi Niska
Jussi Niska Defender
6.86
18
Seth Saarinen
Seth Saarinen Defender
6.58
21
Ilari Kangasniemi
Ilari Kangasniemi Defender
7.19
22
Luka Kuittinen
Luka Kuittinen (C) Defender
7.12
9
Jasse Tuominen
Jasse Tuominen Midfielder
6.59
24
Julius Tauriainen
Julius Tauriainen
Defender77'
6.37
14
Janne-Pekka Laine
Janne-Pekka Laine Midfielder
7
17
Bismark Ampofo
Bismark Ampofo Midfielder
6.59
19
Iiro Järvinen
Iiro Järvinen
Midfielder89'
10
Alie Conteh
Alie Conteh Attacker
6.44
11
Jean Botué
Jean Botué
Attacker77'
6.35
16
Clinton Jephta
Clinton Jephta Attacker
7.38
23
Loic Essomba
Loic Essomba Attacker
7.61
4
Prosper Ahiabu
Prosper Ahiabu
Midfielder64'
6.9

Events

2ND-HALF
90+2'
Event
Janne-Pekka Laine
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
89'
Event
Iiro Järvinen → Bismark Ampofo
9th Substitution
Event
Berat Özdemir → Umut Güneş
8th Substitution
82'
77'
Event
Jean Botué → Alie Conteh
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Julius Tauriainen → Jasse Tuominen
7th Substitution
75'
Event
Jasse Tuominen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Nuno Da Costa → Eldor Shomurodov
4th Substitution
69'
Event
Davie Selke → Bertuğ Yıldırım
5th Substitution
69'
64'
Event
Prosper Ahiabu → Loic Essomba
3rd Substitution
Event
Abbosbek Fayzullaev → Ivan Brnic
1st Substitution
61'
Event
Jerome Opoku → Ousseynou Ba
2nd Substitution
61'
Event
Emin Bayram
Header / 2nd Goal
54'
Event
Ousseynou Ba
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
46'
1ST-HALF
16'
Event
Clinton Jephta
Right foot shot / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown.
90
Attempt Attempt
Davie Selke takes a header but misses the shot.
89
Update Update
Iiro Jarvinen replaces Bismark Ampofo.
87
Attempt Attempt
Abbosbek Fayzullayev takes a shot with his head but misses.
83
Attempt Attempt
Davie Selke takes a left-footed shot but misses.
83
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Attempt Attempt
Prosper Ahiabu takes a right-footed shot but misses.
79
Attempt Attempt
Abbosbek Fayzullayev takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
77
Substitution Substitution
Jasse Tuominen is substituted off for Julius Tauriainen.
77
Update Update
On comes Jean Botue, off goes Alie Conteh.
75
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jasse Tuominen.
74
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Jasse Tuominen.
72
Attempt Attempt
Joia Nuno Da Costa takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
70
Attempt Attempt
Alie Conteh takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
69
Update Update
Nuno Da Costa is on for Eldor Shomurodov.
69
Update Update
Davie Selke comes on for Bertug Yildirim.
68
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jasse Tuominen Head Shot Missed
67
Attempt Attempt
Umut Gunes takes a left-footed shot but misses.
65
Attempt Attempt
Eldor Shomurodov takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
64
Update Update
Prosper Ahiabu is on, and Loic Essomba is off.
63
Attempt Attempt
Alie Conteh's right-footed shot is blocked.
61
Update Update
Jerome Opoku is on, and Ousseynou Ba is off.
61
Update Update
Abbosbek Fayzullayev comes on for Ivan Brnic.
61
Attempt Attempt
Shot from Ivan Brnic with his right foot, but it's saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Brnic attempts a header but misses the shot.
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot - Emin Bayram Head Shot Goal
54
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
47
Attempt Attempt
Ilari Kangasniemi attempts a header but misses the shot.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Omer Ali Sahiner takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Michal Karbownik with his right foot is saved.
34
Attempt Attempt
Eldor Shomurodov takes a right-footed shot that hits the post.
31
Attempt Attempt
Olivier Kemendi takes a shot with his head but misses.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Attempt Attempt
Eldor Shomurodov takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
26
Attempt Attempt
Umut Gunes takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Brnic takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
23
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Emin Bayram attempts a header but misses the shot.
21
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Bertug Yildirim Head Shot Missed
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
21
Attempt Attempt
Ivan Brnic's header is saved.
21
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Attempt Attempt
Alie Conteh takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
19
Attempt Attempt
Luka Kuittinen takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Clinton Jephta scores with a right-footed shot.
16
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
12
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Sari takes a left-footed shot but misses.
9
Attempt Attempt
Omer Ali Sahiner takes a right-footed shot but misses.
7
Attempt Attempt
Eldor Shomurodov takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Bismark Ampofo takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Attempt Attempt
Jasse Tuominen takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
Attempt Attempt
Alie Conteh attempts a header but misses the shot.
1
Attempt Attempt
Clinton Jephta takes a shot with his head, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Juan Martinez Munuera.

CONCLUSION

The 1-1 result leaves both sides with work to do ahead of the second leg. İstanbul Başakşehir controlled territory and generated the clearer openings yet required a second-half response to cancel the early deficit. Inter Turku defended compactly after their halftime advantage and limited further damage. With no dismissals the contest stayed at eleven versus eleven throughout. The expected goals edge for the home team did not translate into a victory on the night. Possession dominance failed to yield a decisive breakthrough before the final whistle. The tie remains finely balanced for the return fixture where the away side will seek to protect their position.