Inter vs Monza preview
2026/2027 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Round 1 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 29
CONTEXT
Inter secured a convincing 4-1 win against Monza following an even first half that ended 1-1. The home team, expected to be the stronger side, managed to turn the game around in the second period with clinical finishing. Possessing 71 percent of the ball allowed Inter to create more opportunities despite the xG being relatively close at 1.3 compared to 1.05. The absence of any red cards ensured that the match remained a fair contest throughout. Monza fought hard but could not match the intensity and quality shown by their opponents after the break. The final outcome was in line with the pre-match assessment of team strengths. Overall, Inter's performance demonstrated their capability to dominate games when they find their rhythm.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Inter exhibited a significant structural deviation of 100 percent in their performance against Monza.
-
Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the overall match dynamics.
-
xG alignment: The result showed true alignment with the xG figures of 1.3 for Inter and 1.05 for Monza.
-
Market alignment: The match outcome proved aligned with market projections.
-
xG expectations: xG expectations favored Inter by a narrow margin of 0.25.
-
Event impact: The 4-1 final score reflected the impact of key second-half events.
-
Red card distortion: Absence of red cards meant no distortion occurred in the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
L. Marinelli
Referee
•
25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.32
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
V. Di Gioia
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
D. Palermo
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
D. Di Marco
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
92.31
31.61
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Inter
Monza
Power Score
92.31
31.61
League Position
1
20
Global Rank
7
219
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Inter
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Monza
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Inter Monza
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Inter
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Monza
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Inter
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
Monza
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
20.99
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.62
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Inter
-0.94
Efficiency Index
vs
Monza
+0.94
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Inter
Monza
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Inter
vs
Monza
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Inter
Monza
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
32%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.41
vs
+0.00
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Inter
Monza
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
0%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.00
vs
-0.41
Inter
Monza
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Inter
vs
Monza
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Inter
Monza
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Inter
0.34
Monza
0.27
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Inter
Monza
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Inter
0.04
Monza
0.11
Inter
Monza
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- INT had peak pressure around 70'.
- INT started the game with stronger pressure.
INT Pressure
MON Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
INT reached the top pressure at 70' (81.29).
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 3 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Inter
INT
Home
3
matches
Monza
MON
Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
2
Draws
2
0
Losses
1
Goals
6
Goals Scored
5
5
Goals Conceded
6
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0
Data last updated: 2026-08-23T00:42:47+00:00
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-5-2
Match Formation
3-4-3
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 Serie A, Italy · Round 1 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Capacity
75817
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Livio Marinelli
Vittorio Di Gioia
Domenico Palermo
Davide Di Marco
Next Match
Inter
vs
Cagliari
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sun, 30 Aug - 6:45 PM
Venue: Sardegna Arena
Monza
vs
Udinese
League: Serie A
Kickoff: Sat, 29 Aug - 4:30 PM
Venue: U-Power Stadium
Statistics
Possession
INT
65%
MON
35%
Top Statistics
4
Goals
1
2
Big Chances Created
3
5
Shots
3
38
Dangerous attacks
26
71
Possession
29
3
Corners
3
14
Free kicks
5
2
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
82
Ball Safe
69
6
Goal Kicks
8
10
Goal Attempts
5
5
Substitutions
5
16
Throwins
18
1
Hit Woodwork
0
9
Successful Headers
5
3
Assists
1
7
Dribble Attempts
9
3
Successful Dribbles
3
43
Successful Dribbles Percentage
33
Attacking
97
Attacks
73
1
Big Chances Missed
3
Possession
41
Long Passes
47
709
Passes
291
628
Successful Passes
231
89
Successful Passes Percentage
79
11
Key Passes
5
28
Successful Long Passes
17
68
Successful Long Passes Percentage
36
Defensive
2
Saves
1
11
Tackles
10
9
Interceptions
23
35
Duels Won
23
Build-up
14
Total Crosses
8
3
Accurate Crosses
3
Discipline
0
Offsides
8
5
Fouls
14
Lineup
Referee :
Livio Marinelli
Manager ▼
C. Chivu
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
12
Raffaele Di Gennaro
Goalkeeper
49
Ivan Provedel
Goalkeeper
28
Benjamin Pavard
Defender
30
Carlos Augusto
Defender
46
Leonardo Bovio
Defender
9
Marcus Thuram
Attacker
52
Jamal Iddrissou
Attacker
Referee :
Livio Marinelli
Manager ▼
I. Juric
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
43
Aljaz Strajnar
Goalkeeper
50
Aleksandr Ballabio
Goalkeeper
6
Valentin Antov
Defender
22
Solomon Loubao
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
88'
10th Substitution
84'
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
9th Substitution
83'
83'
8th Substitution
6th Substitution
75'
7th Substitution
75'
70'
3rd Substitution
70'
4th Substitution
70'
5th Substitution
69'
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
Left foot shot / 5th Goal
63'
Right foot shot / 4th Goal
55'
1st Substitution
54'
2nd Substitution
54'
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
48'
1ST-HALF
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
45+1'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
34'
29'
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
6'
CONCLUSION
The match between Inter and Monza concluded with a 4-1 result that rewarded the home side's persistence. After sharing the lead at halftime, Inter pulled away thanks to better organization and attacking intent. Their possession advantage translated into more shots and ultimately more goals. The xG values supported the idea that Inter were slightly better positioned to win. Without any dismissals, the game stayed competitive until the end. This victory adds to Inter's positive record and shows they can overcome initial setbacks. Fans will be pleased with the way the team responded in the second half to secure the points. Such performances build confidence for upcoming fixtures in the season.
Match Commentary