Inter Turku vs Sarajevo preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Veritas Stadion Thu, 16 Jul - 3:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Inter TurkuINT
2 1
SarajevoSAR
Full Time Thu, 16 Jul 3:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 2
A. Conteh - 58'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Inter Turku 2–1 Sarajevo. The result saw Inter Turku take the points. Inter Turku showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 59%–41%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Structural deviation measured minimal at 4.4 percent favoring Inter Turku.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency shift remained in line with established performance patterns.
  • xG alignment: xG alignment could not be assessed because home and away xG values were unavailable.
  • Market alignment: Market alignment held true according to the recorded pre-match figures.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations stayed undetermined due to the absence of expected goal metrics.
  • Event impact: Event impact centered on Inter Turku erasing a halftime deficit to win 2-1.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion did not occur as both teams finished with zero dismissals.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Roucek
K. Roucek
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
L. Machač
L. Machač
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Kříž
J. Kříž
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Orel
P. Orel
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Inter Turku V. Vasara
V. Vasara
VS
Sarajevo Z. Zekić
Z. Zekić
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarajevo Rank: 54 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Turku Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Inter Turku
95.64%
Draw
3.72%
Away Sarajevo
0.64%

Movement

Changes since opening
Inter Turku
+1.9%
Draw
-1.9%
Sarajevo
+0.01%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Inter Turku
Sarajevo
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Inter Turku — Opponent-weighted form score
Sarajevo — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Inter Turku Sarajevo

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Inter Turku

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Sarajevo

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Inter Turku ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sarajevo
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
22.29
32.32
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
32.32
22.29
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Inter Turku -0.96 Efficiency Index
vs
Sarajevo +0.96 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Inter Turku
Sarajevo
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Inter Turku ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Sarajevo
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Inter Turku Sarajevo
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Inter Turku Sarajevo
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Inter Turku
Sarajevo
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Inter Turku
vs
Sarajevo
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Inter Turku Sarajevo
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Inter Turku 0.26
Sarajevo 0.48
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Inter Turku Sarajevo
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Inter Turku 0.04
Sarajevo 0.05
Inter Turku
Sarajevo
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • INT had peak pressure around 90'.
  • SAR started the game with stronger pressure.
INT Pressure SAR Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: INT reached the top pressure at 90' (63.53).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Inter Turku INT Home
1 matches
Sarajevo SAR Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:00:19+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 4-1-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 03:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 2
Stadium
Veritas Stadion
Capacity
9300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Karel Roucek
Lukáš Machač
Jiří Kříž
Pavel Orel

Statistics

Possession
INT
53%
SAR
47%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Shots 4
43 Dangerous attacks 25
59 Possession 41
4 Corners 3
14 Free kicks 15
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

52 Ball Safe 56
7 Goal Attempts 7
3 Substitutions 5
23 Throwins 22

Attacking

81 Attacks 76

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
15 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Karel Roucek

Starting XI ▼

1
Eetu Huuhtanen
Eetu Huuhtanen Goalkeeper
6.12
2
Jussi Niska
Jussi Niska Defender
6.26
18
S. Saarinen
S. Saarinen Defender
6.26
21
Ilari Kangasniemi
Ilari Kangasniemi Defender
6.26
22
Luka Kuittinen
Luka Kuittinen (C) Defender
6.26
14
Janne-Pekka Laine
Janne-Pekka Laine Midfielder
6.37
17
Bismark Ampofo
Bismark Ampofo Midfielder
6.37
4
Prosper Ahiabu
Prosper Ahiabu
Midfielder62'
6.61
9
Jasse Tuominen
Jasse Tuominen Attacker
6.46
19
Iiro Järvinen
Iiro Järvinen
Midfielder84'
6.5
10
A. Conteh
A. Conteh Attacker
6.82
11
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué
Attacker84'
6.5
16
Clinton Jephta
Clinton Jephta Attacker
6.79
23
Antoin Loic Essomba
Antoin Loic Essomba Attacker
6.46
24
Julius Tauriainen
Julius Tauriainen
Defender90'
Referee : Karel Roucek

Starting XI ▼

31
Ivan Banic
Ivan Banic Goalkeeper
5.88
2
Shane Maroodza
Shane Maroodza Defender
6.05
22
Amar Beganovic
Amar Beganovic Defender
6.05
30
Luka Dajcer
Luka Dajcer Defender
6.05
33
Stefan Ristovski
Stefan Ristovski Defender
6.05
38
Souleymane Méité
Souleymane Méité Defender
6.05
27
Luka Hujber
Luka Hujber
Defender90'
9
Leo Mikic
Leo Mikic Midfielder
6.48
99
Bartol Barisic
Bartol Barisic
Attacker62'
6.46
10
Adem Ljajic
Adem Ljajic (C) Midfielder
6.37
8
Antonio Galesic
Antonio Galesic
Midfielder62'
6.37
11
Francis Kyeremeh
Francis Kyeremeh Midfielder
6.47
20
Agon Elezi
Agon Elezi Midfielder
6.37
59
Gojko Cimirot
Gojko Cimirot
Midfielder75'
6.37
77
Mihael Kupresak
Mihael Kupresak Midfielder
6.37
23
Jonathan Agyekum
Jonathan Agyekum
Attacker75'
6.46

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Julius Tauriainen → Antoin Loic Essomba
9th Substitution
90'
90'
Event
Luka Hujber → Souleymane Méité
8th Substitution
Event
Clinton Jephta
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
87'
Event
Clinton Jephta
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
87'
87'
Event
Luka Dajcer
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
85'
Event
Zoran Zekić
Argument / 3rd Yellowcard
Event
Jean Fiacre Kouamé Botué → A. Conteh
6th Substitution
84'
Event
Iiro Järvinen → Jasse Tuominen
7th Substitution
84'
75'
Event
Jonathan Agyekum → Mihael Kupresak
4th Substitution
75'
Event
Gojko Cimirot → Agon Elezi
5th Substitution
Event
Prosper Ahiabu → Bismark Ampofo
1st Substitution
62'
62'
Event
Bartol Barisic → Leo Mikic
2nd Substitution
62'
Event
Antonio Galesic → Adem Ljajic 
3rd Substitution
Event
A. Conteh
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
58'
1ST-HALF
22'
Event
Francis Kyeremeh
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Update Update
Julius Tauriainen comes on for Loic Essomba.
90
Update Update
Julius Tauriainen comes on for Loic Essomba.
89
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 2-1.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
87
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
84
Update Update
On comes Jean Botue, and off goes Alie Conteh.
76
Update Update
Gojko Cimirot is on, and Agon Elezi is off.
75
Update Update
On Gojko Cimirot, off Agon Elezi.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
62
Update Update
Bartol Barisic replaces Leo Mikic.
62
Update Update
On Prosper Ahiabu, off Bismark Ampofo.
62
Update Update
Bartol Barisic replaces Leo Mikic.
62
Update Update
Antonio Galesic comes on for Adem Ljajic.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-1.
53
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
22
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Karel Roucek.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Inter Turku 2-1 Sarajevo. Structural assessment: Inter Turku exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.