Inter Turku vs İstanbul Başakşehir preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Veritas Stadion Thu, 30 Jul - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Inter TurkuINT
2 0
İstanbul BaşakşehirIBA
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 4:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 3 - 1
Goal
|
Janne-Pekka Laine 88' Second yellow card
|

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Inter Turku 2–0 İstanbul Başakşehir. The result saw Inter Turku take the points. Inter Turku showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Inter Turku 1.7 – 0.9 İstanbul Başakşehir. Possession was 42%–58%. The match featured at least one red card, which may have affected the flow of the game.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Inter Turku 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir. Inter Turku showed a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with expected performance levels across both sides.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome proved consistent with the 0.76 expected goals differential.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with projections favoring the stronger team.
  • xG expectations: Inter Turku posted 1.68 expected goals while Istanbul Basaksehir recorded 0.92.
  • Event impact: Second-half adjustments centered on red card distortion after the home team received one dismissal.
  • Red card distortion: The home side's red card shaped the flow of play following the interval.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
N. Verboomen
N. Verboomen
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
M. Hillaert
M. Hillaert
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Toeback
M. Toeback
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
J. Vergoote
J. Vergoote
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Inter Turku V. Vasara
V. Vasara
VS
İstanbul Başakşehir N. Şahin
N. Şahin
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
İstanbul Başakşehir Rank: 78 D
Sarajevo Rank: 54 W
Sarajevo Rank: 54 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Turku Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Inter Turku
97.44%
Draw
1.91%
Away İstanbul Başakşehir
0.65%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
32.22
29.31
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Inter Turku
İstanbul Başakşehir
Power Score
32.22
29.31
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Inter Turku — Opponent-weighted form score
İstanbul Başakşehir — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Inter Turku İstanbul Başakşehir

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Inter Turku

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

İstanbul Başakşehir

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Inter Turku ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy İstanbul Başakşehir
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
27.98
27.59
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
27.59
27.98
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Inter Turku +0.04 Efficiency Index
vs
İstanbul Başakşehir -0.04 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Inter Turku
İstanbul Başakşehir
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Inter Turku
vs
İstanbul Başakşehir
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Inter Turku İstanbul Başakşehir
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
0%
6%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.00 vs -0.06
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Inter Turku İstanbul Başakşehir
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
6%
0%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.06 vs +0.00
Inter Turku
İstanbul Başakşehir
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Inter Turku
vs
İstanbul Başakşehir
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Inter Turku İstanbul Başakşehir
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Inter Turku 0.29
İstanbul Başakşehir 0.15
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Inter Turku İstanbul Başakşehir
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Inter Turku 0.00
İstanbul Başakşehir 0.06
Inter Turku
İstanbul Başakşehir
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • IBA had peak pressure around 92'.
  • IBA started the game with stronger pressure.
INT Pressure IBA Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: IBA reached the top pressure at 92' (81.58).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Inter Turku INT Home
1 matches
İstanbul Başakşehir IBA Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
1.56
xG
2.29
2.29
xGA
1.56

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:01:21+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 3 - 1
Stadium
Veritas Stadion
Capacity
9300
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Nathan Verboomen
Mathias Hillaert
Maarten Toeback
Jasper Vergoote

Statistics

Possession
INT
42%
IBA
58%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
2 Shots 9
35 Dangerous attacks 80
42 Possession 58
1 Corners 8
11 Free kicks 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
1 Red Cards 0

Match Overview

13 Goal Kicks 6
5 Substitutions 5
17 Throwins 10
2 Assists 0
12 Dribble Attempts 10
4 Successful Dribbles 4
33 Successful Dribbles Percentage 40

Attacking

52 Attacks 136
2 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

62 Long Passes 46
419 Passes 561
348 Successful Passes 497
83 Successful Passes Percentage 89
9 Key Passes 7
25 Successful Long Passes 26
40 Successful Long Passes Percentage 57

Defensive

1 Saves 5
13 Tackles 13
9 Interceptions 6

Build-up

9 Total Crosses 38
1 Accurate Crosses 6

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
8 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

1
Eetu Huuhtanen
Eetu Huuhtanen Goalkeeper
6.87
2
Jussi Niska
Jussi Niska Defender
6.73
18
Seth Saarinen
Seth Saarinen Defender
6.33
21
Ilari Kangasniemi
Ilari Kangasniemi Defender
7.14
30
Yeboah Amankwah
Yeboah Amankwah
Defender81'
6.43
22
Luka Kuittinen
Luka Kuittinen (C) Defender
7.32
9
Jasse Tuominen
Jasse Tuominen Midfielder
6.94
4
Prosper Ahiabu
Prosper Ahiabu
Midfielder66'
6.73
14
Janne-Pekka Laine
Janne-Pekka Laine Midfielder
6.87
16
Clinton Jephta
Clinton Jephta Midfielder
7.96
17
Bismark Ampofo
Bismark Ampofo Midfielder
7.24
19
Iiro Järvinen
Iiro Järvinen
Midfielder81'
6.42
23
Loic Essomba
Loic Essomba Midfielder
7.24
24
Julius Tauriainen
Julius Tauriainen
Defender66'
6.33
10
Alie Conteh
Alie Conteh Attacker
7.13
11
Jean Botué
Jean Botué
Attacker73'
6.68
Referee : Nathan Verboomen

Starting XI ▼

16
Muhammed Şengezer
Muhammed Şengezer (C) Goalkeeper
7.27
6
Onur Bulut
Onur Bulut Defender
6.39
21
Christopher Operi
Christopher Operi Defender
6.32
23
Emin Bayram
Emin Bayram Defender
6.57
27
Ousseynou Ba
Ousseynou Ba Defender
6.94
5
Berat Özdemir
Berat Özdemir Midfielder
7.17
7
Yusuf Sarı
Yusuf Sarı Midfielder
6.62
42
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Ömer Ali Şahiner
Midfielder77'
6.49
14
Eldor Shomurodov
Eldor Shomurodov Midfielder
5.99
10
Nuno Da Costa
Nuno Da Costa
Attacker77'
6.66
20
Umut Güneş
Umut Güneş Midfielder
6.5
19
Berkay Özcan
Berkay Özcan
Midfielder57'
6.81
77
Ivan Brnic
Ivan Brnic Midfielder
6.76
11
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
Abbosbek Fayzullaev
Midfielder46'
7.13
9
Davie Selke
Davie Selke Attacker
6.47
91
Bertuğ Yıldırım
Bertuğ Yıldırım
Attacker46'
6.45

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Janne-Pekka Laine
Foul / 1st Yellow/red Card
88'
Event
Yeboah Amankwah → Ilari Kangasniemi
9th Substitution
81'
Event
Iiro Järvinen → Bismark Ampofo
10th Substitution
81'
80'
Event
Onur Bulut
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
77'
Event
Nuno Da Costa → Eldor Shomurodov
7th Substitution
77'
Event
Ömer Ali Şahiner → Yusuf Sarı
8th Substitution
Event
Jean Botué → Alie Conteh
6th Substitution
73'
Event
Prosper Ahiabu → Jasse Tuominen
4th Substitution
66'
Event
Julius Tauriainen → Loic Essomba
5th Substitution
66'
57'
Event
Berkay Özcan → Umut Güneş
3rd Substitution
Event
Jasse Tuominen
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
55'
Event
Janne-Pekka Laine
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
50'
Event
Clinton Jephta
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
47'
46'
Event
Abbosbek Fayzullaev → Ivan Brnic
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Bertuğ Yıldırım → Davie Selke
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Jasse Tuominen
Field Goal / 1st Goal
18'
10'
Event
Ousseynou Ba
Foul / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Joia Nuno Da Costa attempted a header but missed the shot.
90
Attempt Attempt
Berkay Ozcan takes a right-footed shot but misses.
88
Attempt Attempt
Jean Botue takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Second yellow card issued to Janne Pekka Laine.
81
Update Update
Iiro Jarvinen comes on for Bismark Ampofo.
81
Update Update
Yeboah Amankwah is on, and Ilari Kangasniemi is off.
80
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Onur Bulut.
77
Update Update
Nuno Da Costa comes on for Eldor Shomurodov.
77
Substitution Substitution
Omer Ali Sahiner is substituted off for Yusuf Sari.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
74
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Update Update
On comes Jean Botue, while Alie Conteh makes way.
72
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Sari takes a left-footed shot but misses.
71
Attempt Attempt
Alie Conteh has a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
71
Attempt Attempt
Alie Conteh's header is saved.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Attempt Attempt
Christopher Operi takes a left-footed shot but misses.
67
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Substitution Substitution
Prosper Ahiabu is substituted for Jasse Tuominen.
66
Update Update
Julius Tauriainen comes on for Loic Essomba.
63
Attempt Attempt
Abbosbek Fayzullayev takes a right-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Sari takes a left-footed shot but misses.
61
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Sari takes a left-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Loic Essomba takes a right-footed shot but misses.
59
Attempt Attempt
Alie Conteh takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
57
Update Update
Berkay Ozcan comes on for Umut Gunes.
56
Attempt Attempt
Umut Gunes takes a left-footed shot but misses.
55
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Jasse Tuominen.
52
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
50
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Janne Pekka Laine.
49
Attempt Attempt
Jasse Tuominen takes a left-footed shot but misses.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Clinton Jephta takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
47
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Clinton Jephta scores to make it 2-0, assisted by Loic Essomba.
46
Update Update
Abbosbek Fayzullayev comes on for Ivan Brnic.
46
Update Update
Bertug Yildirim comes on for Davie Selke.
43
Attempt Attempt
Eldor Shomurodov takes a left-footed shot but misses.
39
Attempt Attempt
Janne Pekka Laine takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
36
Attempt Attempt
Alie Conteh takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
33
Attempt Attempt
Davie Selke takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
25
Attempt Attempt
Yusuf Sari takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Jasse Tuominen with another body part results in a goal.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
13
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Ivan Brnic with his left foot is saved.
13
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Ousseynou Ba.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Nathan Verboomen.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Inter Turku 2-0 İstanbul Başakşehir. Structural assessment: Inter Turku exhibited a minimal deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Structural distortion: The match was materially influenced by red card(s), altering baseline dynamics. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.