Inter Miami vs Chicago Fire preview

United States flag 2026 Major League Soccer, United States
Chase Stadium Wed, 22 Jul - 11:30 PM
Major League Soccer
Inter MiamiMIA
3 2
Chicago FireCHI
Full Time Wed, 22 Jul 11:30 PM
Regular Season
Luis Suárez - 27' (P), 51'
Goal
|
Goal
Rocco Ríos Novo - 18' (Own Goal)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Inter Miami 3–2 Chicago Fire. The result saw Inter Miami take the points. Inter Miami showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. xG finished Inter Miami 2.1 – 2.2 Chicago Fire. Possession was 53%–47%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Inter Miami 3-2 Chicago Fire. Inter Miami showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels.
  • xG alignment: The final outcome was contrary to expected goal differential.
  • Market alignment: End result was aligned with the pre-match projection.
  • xG expectations: Diverging from xG expectations (Classify).
  • Event impact: No major event distortion.
  • Red card distortion: None.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
R. Vazquez
R. Vazquez
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Inter Miami Á. Hoyos Marchisio
Á. Hoyos Marchisio
VS
Chicago Fire G. Berhalter
G. Berhalter
2.07
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.86
2.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Philadelphia Union Rank: 61 W
Portland Timbers Rank: 60 W
Cincinnati Rank: 67 W
Toronto Rank: 57 W
Orlando City Rank: 63 L
New England Rank: 60 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Toronto Rank: 57 W
CF Montréal Rank: 57 W
DC United Rank: 55 W
New York RB Rank: 61 L
Cincinnati Rank: 67 L
Sporting KC Rank: 51 W
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 1 - 1
1

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.78
65.49
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
Power Score
75.78
65.49
League Position
2
3
Global Rank
124
361

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Inter Miami — Opponent-weighted form score
Chicago Fire — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Inter Miami Chicago Fire

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Inter Miami

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Chicago Fire

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Inter Miami ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Chicago Fire
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
3.70
4.54
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
4.54
3.70
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Inter Miami -0.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Chicago Fire +0.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Inter Miami
vs
Chicago Fire
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Inter Miami Chicago Fire
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
44%
23%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.06 vs -0.50
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Inter Miami Chicago Fire
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
23%
44%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.50 vs +0.06
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Inter Miami
vs
Chicago Fire
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Inter Miami Chicago Fire
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Inter Miami 0.07
Chicago Fire 0.22
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Inter Miami Chicago Fire
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Inter Miami 0.11
Chicago Fire 0.00
Inter Miami
Chicago Fire
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • MIA had peak pressure around 38'.
  • MIA started the game with stronger pressure.
MIA Pressure CHI Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: MIA reached the top pressure at 38' (75.79).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 4 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Inter Miami MIA Home
4 matches
Chicago Fire CHI Away
Match Record
2
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
2
Goals
9
Goals Scored
7
7
Goals Conceded
9
+2
Goal Difference
-2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-23T00:03:01+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-4-2
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
R. Ríos Novo
Argentina
34 R. Ríos Novo
F. Mura
Argentina
4 F. Mura
I. Fray
Substitution
Jamaica
17 I. Fray
M. dos Santos Silva
Brazil
16 M. dos Santos Silva
S. Reguilón Rodríguez
Spain
3 S. Reguilón Rodríguez
D. Ruiz
Substitution
Honduras
41 D. Ruiz
Y. Bright
42 Y. Bright
T. Segovia Pérez
Venezuela
8 T. Segovia Pérez
M. Silvetti
Substitution
24 M. Silvetti
G. Berterame
Argentina
19 G. Berterame
L. Suárez Díaz
Uruguay
9 (C) L. Suárez Díaz

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 22, 2026, 11:30 PM
Competition
2026 Major League Soccer, United States · Regular Season
Stadium
Chase Stadium
Capacity
21550
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Rubiel Vazquez

Statistics

Possession
MIA
53%
CHI
47%

Top Statistics

3 Goals 2
3 Big Chances Created 2
5 Shots 9
63 Dangerous attacks 59
53 Possession 47
8 Corners 4
15 Free kicks 8
1 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

28 Ball Safe 27
1 Penalties 0
7 Goal Kicks 6
2 Goal Attempts 2
3 Substitutions 5
12 Throwins 15
1 Successful Headers 5
12 Dribble Attempts 9
8 Successful Dribbles 6
67 Successful Dribbles Percentage 67

Attacking

112 Attacks 89
0 Big Chances Missed 2

Possession

51 Long Passes 33
507 Passes 454
436 Successful Passes 382
86 Successful Passes Percentage 84
10 Key Passes 12
33 Successful Long Passes 12
65 Successful Long Passes Percentage 36

Defensive

3 Saves 4
13 Tackles 13
12 Interceptions 11
47 Duels Won 44

Build-up

18 Total Crosses 11
1 Accurate Crosses 4

Discipline

1 Offsides 3
8 Fouls 16

Lineup

Referee : Rubiel Vazquez

Starting XI ▼

34
Rocco Ríos Novo
Rocco Ríos Novo Goalkeeper
6.08
3
Sergio Reguilón
Sergio Reguilón Defender
6.09
4
Facundo Mura
Facundo Mura Defender
6.27
16
Micael
Micael Defender
6.3
17
Ian Fray
Ian Fray Defender
6.37
32
Noah Allen
Noah Allen
Defender85'
8
Telasco Segovia
Telasco Segovia Midfielder
6.35
24
Mateo Silvetti
Mateo Silvetti Midfielder
6.38
56
Dániel Pintér
Dániel Pintér
Attacker74'
41
David Ruíz
David Ruíz Midfielder
6.43
59
Preston Plambeck
Preston Plambeck
Midfielder69'
42
Yannick Bright
Yannick Bright Midfielder
6.68
9
Luis Suárez
Luis Suárez (C) Attacker
2
6.44
19
Germán Berterame
Germán Berterame Attacker
6.52
Referee : Rubiel Vazquez

Starting XI ▼

1
Chris Brady
Chris Brady Goalkeeper
6.56
3
Jack Elliott
Jack Elliott (C) Defender
6.54
15
Andrew Gutman
Andrew Gutman Defender
6.71
14
Viktor Radojević
Viktor Radojević
Defender88'
16
Joel Waterman
Joel Waterman Defender
6.47
24
Jonathan Dean
Jonathan Dean Defender
6.54
6
Anton Salétros
Anton Salétros Midfielder
6.45
11
Philip Zinckernagel
Philip Zinckernagel Midfielder
6.69
12
Puso Dithejane
Puso Dithejane
Attacker63'
19
Jonathan Bamba
Jonathan Bamba Midfielder
6.41
42
Djé D'Avilla
Djé D'Avilla Midfielder
6.88
22
Mauricio Pineda
Mauricio Pineda
Defender63'
7
Maren Haile-Selassie
Maren Haile-Selassie Attacker
6.54
20
Jason Shokalook
Jason Shokalook
Attacker88'
9
Robert Lewandowski
Robert Lewandowski Attacker
6.61
17
Robin Lod
Robin Lod
Midfielder62'

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Sergio Reguilón
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
90+7'
88'
Event
Viktor Radojević → Andrew Gutman
7th Substitution
88'
Event
Jason Shokalook → Maren Haile-Selassie
8th Substitution
Event
Preston Plambeck
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
87'
Event
Noah Allen → Ian Fray
6th Substitution
85'
Event
Dániel Pintér → Mateo Silvetti
5th Substitution
74'
Event
Preston Plambeck → David Ruíz
4th Substitution
69'
67'
Event
Puso Dithejane
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
64'
Event
Jack Elliott 
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
63'
Event
Puso Dithejane → Philip Zinckernagel
2nd Substitution
63'
Event
Mauricio Pineda → Djé D'Avilla
3rd Substitution
62'
Event
Robin Lod → Robert Lewandowski
1st Substitution
Event
Luis Suárez
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
51'
1ST-HALF
Event
Luis Suárez
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
27'
18'
Event
Rocco Ríos Novo
Left foot shot / 1st Own Goal

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jason Shokalook takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Puso Dithejane takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Robin Lod takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
88
Update Update
Viktor Radojevic replaces Andrew Gutman.
88
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Jason Shokalook comes on for Maren Haile-Selassie.
88
Update Update
Offside.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot on goal by Preston Plambeck with a right-footed shot.
87
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Preston Plambeck scores, making it 3-2.
86
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 3-2.
85
Update Update
Noah Allen replaces Ian Fray.
85
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
82
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Reguilón takes a left-footed shot but misses.
82
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
79
Update Update
Offside.
74
Substitution Substitution
Daniel Pinter is substituted off for Mateo Silvetti.
73
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
70
Attempt Attempt
Mauricio Pineda takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Update Update
Preston Plambeck is on, and David Ruiz is off.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot! Puso Dithejane scores with a right-footed shot.
67
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Puso Dithejane scores, bringing the match to 2-2.
64
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Jack Elliott receives a yellow card.
62
Update Update
Puso Dithejane comes on for Philip Zinckernagel.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Reguilón takes a left-footed shot but misses.
60
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Luis Suarez scores with a right-footed shot.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
50
Attempt Attempt
Telasco Jose Segovia Perez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
49
Attempt Attempt
Maren Haile-Selassie takes a left-footed shot but misses.
45
Attempt Attempt
Facundo Mura takes a right-footed shot, but it misses the target.
45
Update Update
Offside.
45
Attempt Attempt
Andrew Gutman takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
43
Attempt Attempt
Anton Saletros takes a shot with his head, but it's saved.
42
Attempt Attempt
Shot - Jack Elliott Head Shot Missed
42
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Reguilón takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
39
Attempt Attempt
Philip Zinckernagel takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
37
Attempt Attempt
German Berterame's header is saved.
37
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
29
Attempt Attempt
Jonathan Bamba takes a right-footed shot but misses.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Luis Suarez! He scores with a right-footed shot.
27
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Luis Suarez scores, making it 1-1.
23
Attempt Attempt
Luis Suarez takes a right-footed shot but misses.
22
Attempt Attempt
Sergio Reguilón takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
22
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Rocco Rios Novo results in an own goal.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Own goal by Rocco Rios Novo puts the score at 0-1.
18
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 0-1.
15
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
14
Attempt Attempt
Robert Lewandowski takes a right-footed shot, but it's blocked.
13
Update Update
Offside.
11
Attempt Attempt
Luis Suarez takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
8
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Rubiel Vazquez.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Inter Miami 3-2 Chicago Fire. Structural assessment: Inter Miami exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.