Independiente vs Newell's Old Boys preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Libertadores de América Today - 12:15 AM
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Independiente IND
Newell's Old Boys NOB
KICKOFF : Today - 12:15 AM
Round 2 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Independiente welcome Newell's Old Boys to Estadio Libertadores de América for a Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2nd Phase clash in the 2026 campaign. Domestic standings place the hosts fifth while visitors sit fourteenth. Power ratings favor the home side at 68.99 against an away mark of 58.87, creating a 10.1 point edge. Form readings show 14.94 for Independiente and 19.44 for Newell's Old Boys. Limited prior outing details leave recent momentum open to interpretation. Venue familiarity rests with the hosts in this league fixture. Both squads operate without knockout tie complications given the competition format. Overall preparation centers on positional gaps and rating differentials ahead of kickoff.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Independiente occupy fifth domestically while Newell's Old Boys sit fourteenth.
  • Form: Independiente post a form score of 14.94 against Newell's Old Boys' 19.44.
  • Squad: Independiente register as the stronger unit via a 68.99 power score to 58.87.
  • Efficiency: Detailed efficiency statistics remain unavailable for both sides.
  • Transition: Transition metrics show no specific data in pre-match records.
  • Set pieces: Set piece analysis carries low confidence with proxy data applied.
  • xVariable: Independiente hold a 10.1 point power advantage over the visitors.
  • Market: Baseline split: Independiente 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Newell's Old Boys 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Independiente G. Quinteros Desábato
G. Quinteros Desábato
VS
Newell's Old Boys F. Kudelka
F. Kudelka
1.56
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.13
1.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Estudiantes Rank: 70 W
Rosario Central Rank: 69 L
San Lorenzo Rank: 64 W
Deportivo Riestra Rank: 61 L
Defensa y Justicia Rank: 59 W
Boca Juniors Rank: 71 D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Talleres Córdoba Rank: 62 W
Vélez Sarsfield Rank: 67 D
Instituto Rank: 62 D
Unión Santa Fe Rank: 62 W
San Lorenzo Rank: 64 D
Central Cordoba SdE Rank: 60 W
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 1
1
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Independiente
0%
Draw
0%
Away Newell's Old Boys
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.99
58.87
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Independiente
Newell's Old Boys
Power Score
68.99
58.87
League Position
5
14
Global Rank
292
592

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Independiente Opponent-weighted form score
Newell's Old Boys Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Independiente Newell's Old Boys

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Independiente IND Home
2 matches
Newell's Old Boys NOB Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
1
Draws
1
1
Losses
0
Goals
2
Goals Scored
3
3
Goals Conceded
2
-1
Goal Difference
+1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-30T00:11:48+00:00

STARTING XI - EXPECTED

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Pitch
R. Rey
33 R. Rey
L. Godoy
29 L. Godoy
J. Fedorco
13 J. Fedorco
S. Valdez
36 S. Valdez
F. Zavala
22 F. Zavala
M. Curci
16 M. Curci
I. Marcone
23 I. Marcone
M. Gutiérrez
28 M. Gutiérrez
S. Montiel
7 S. Montiel
M. Abaldo Menyou
19 M. Abaldo Menyou
G. Ávalos Stumpfs
9 G. Ávalos Stumpfs
J. Reinatti Balansino
30 J. Reinatti Balansino
J. Russo
28 J. Russo
N. Goitea
23 N. Goitea
B. Cabrera
25 B. Cabrera
F. Escobar
24 F. Escobar
L. Regiardo
5 L. Regiardo
D. Sotelo
8 D. Sotelo
W. Núñez
33 W. Núñez
F. Guch
20 F. Guch
W. Mazzantti
7 W. Mazzantti
M. Cóccaro Ferreira
9 M. Cóccaro Ferreira

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 31, 2026, 12:15 AM
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 2 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Libertadores de América
Capacity
42000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Pablo Echavarría
Adrián Del Barba
Martín Horticolou
César Ceballo

Expected Lineup

Referee : Pablo Echavarría

Starting XI

33
Rodrigo Rey
Rodrigo Rey Goalkeeper
6.8
9
Gabriel Ávalos
Gabriel Ávalos Centre Forward
7.44
7
Santiago Montiel
Santiago Montiel Attacking Midfield
6.8
13
Juan Fedorco
Juan Fedorco Right Back
6.82
16
Mateo Pérez Curci
Mateo Pérez Curci Defensive Midfield
6.45
19
Matías Abaldo
Matías Abaldo Left Wing
6.76
22
Facundo Zabala
Facundo Zabala Left Back
6.81
23
Iván Marcone
Iván Marcone Defensive Midfield
6.85
28
Maximiliano Gutiérrez
Maximiliano Gutiérrez Right Wing
6.8
29
Leonardo Godoy
Leonardo Godoy Right Back
6.6
36
Sebastián Valdez
Sebastián Valdez Left Back
6.79
Referee : Pablo Echavarría

Starting XI

30
Josué Reinatti
Josué Reinatti Goalkeeper
7.38
9
Matías Cóccaro
Matías Cóccaro Centre Forward
6.72
20
Facundo Guch
Facundo Guch Attacking Midfield
6.8
5
Luca Regiardo
Luca Regiardo Defensive Midfield
6.72
7
Walter Mazzantti
Walter Mazzantti Right Wing
6.5
28
Jeronimo Russo
Jeronimo Russo Left Back
6.95
33
Walter Núñez
Walter Núñez Left Wing
6.67
23
Nicolás Goitea
Nicolás Goitea Left Back
6.69
25
Bruno Cabrera
Bruno Cabrera Right Back
6.54
8
David Sotelo
David Sotelo Defensive Midfield
6.66
24
Franco Escobar
Franco Escobar Right Back
6.49

CONCLUSION

Independiente enter this home fixture holding clear advantages in league position and overall power metrics. Newell's Old Boys counter with a higher form reading yet trail significantly in the standings. Venue comfort at Estadio Libertadores de América supports the hosts' setup. Limited efficiency and transition figures leave room for on-field adjustments during play. Set piece insights remain tentative given data constraints. The encounter highlights a domestic league battle where positional differences may shape early patterns. Both sides must navigate available resources to influence outcomes in the 2nd Phase.