Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes de Río Cuarto preview

Argentina flag 2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Independiente RivadaviaINR
2 1
Estudiantes de Río CuartoERC
Full Time
Round 4 2nd Phase
Álex Arce - 71' (P), 80'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Independiente Rivadavia hosted Estudiantes de Río Cuarto in a match that ended 2-1 after a goalless first half. The home side controlled possession at 65 percent compared to the visitors 35 percent. Independiente Rivadavia generated an expected goals total of 2.05 while Estudiantes de Río Cuarto managed just 0.09. The stronger team according to pre-match assessment secured the victory in line with the underlying metrics. No red cards were shown to either side. The outcome aligned with the expected goals projection and showed a significant deviation level for the home team. The game featured no major second half adjustments or additional disruptions.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Independiente Rivadavia 2-1 Estudiantes de Río Cuarto. Independiente Rivadavia showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The final result proved consistent with the expected goals totals.
  • Market alignment: The outcome aligned with the pre-match market projection.
  • xG expectations: Independiente Rivadavia posted 2.05 expected goals against 0.09 for Estudiantes de Río Cuarto.
  • Event impact: No second half adjustments or disruptive events altered the match flow.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred so no distortion affected the result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
G. Pereira
G. Pereira
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
E. Grünmann
E. Grünmann
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
R. Ortíz
R. Ortíz
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Independiente Rivadavia A. Berti
A. Berti
VS
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto R. Forestello
R. Forestello
1.71
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.5
1.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Sarmiento Rank: 59 L
Huracán Rank: 65 W
Atlético Tucumán Rank: 61 D
Unión Santa Fe Rank: 62 L
Aldosivi Rank: 55 D
Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Rank: 63 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Banfield Rank: 62 D
Argentinos Juniors Rank: 71 L
Tigre Rank: 65 W
Instituto Rank: 64 L
Rosario Central Rank: 69 L
Gimnasia La Plata Rank: 66 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 0 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
70.74
40.46
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Power Score
70.74
40.46
League Position
4
15
Global Rank
247
693

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Independiente Rivadavia — Opponent-weighted form score
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Independiente Rivadavia Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Independiente Rivadavia

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Independiente Rivadavia ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
33.23
20.00
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
20.00
33.23
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Independiente Rivadavia +1.14 Efficiency Index
vs
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto -1.14 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Independiente Rivadavia
vs
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Independiente Rivadavia Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
40%
54%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
+0.17 vs -0.05
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Independiente Rivadavia Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
54%
40%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.05 vs +0.17
Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Independiente Rivadavia
vs
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Independiente Rivadavia Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Independiente Rivadavia 0.37
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.30
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Independiente Rivadavia Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Independiente Rivadavia 0.05
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 0.04
Independiente Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • INR had peak pressure around 38'.
  • INR started the game with stronger pressure.
INR Pressure ERC Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: INR reached the top pressure at 38' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Independiente Rivadavia INR Home
1 matches
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto ERC Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
1
Goals
1
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
1
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-08-09T00:01:32+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-1-2-1-2
Match Formation 3-1-4-2
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Competition
2026 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina · Round 4 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Estadio Juan Bautista Gargantini
Capacity
24000
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Gonzalo Pereira
Erik Grünmann
Ramón Ortíz

Statistics

Possession
INR
63%
ERC
37%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 1
4 Big Chances Created 2
10 Shots 2
52 Dangerous attacks 20
65 Possession 35
4 Corners 3
10 Free kicks 10
1 Yellow Cards 3

Match Overview

82 Ball Safe 79
1 Penalties 0
12 Goal Attempts 4
5 Substitutions 5
21 Throwins 14
1 Hit Woodwork 0
1 Assists 0
7 Dribble Attempts 7
7 Successful Dribbles 7
54 Successful Dribbles Percentage 37

Attacking

146 Attacks 78

Possession

26 Long Passes 23
561 Passes 312
461 Successful Passes 213
82 Successful Passes Percentage 68
16 Key Passes 5

Defensive

2 Saves 1
17 Tackles 6
4 Interceptions 11
56 Duels Won 50

Build-up

22 Total Crosses 5

Discipline

1 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Gonzalo Pereira

Starting XI ▼

30
Nicolás Bolcato
Nicolás Bolcato Goalkeeper
6.82
2
Leonard Costa
Leonard Costa Defender
6.93
3
Juan Elordi
Juan Elordi Defender
6.84
13
Alejo Osella
Alejo Osella Defender
6.78
36
Ezequiel Bonifacio
Ezequiel Bonifacio
Defender67'
6.36
42
Sheyko Studer
Sheyko Studer Defender
7.09
5
Tomás Bottari
Tomás Bottari Midfielder
7.38
8
Leonel Bucca
Leonel Bucca
Midfielder81'
7.01
10
Matías Fernández
Matías Fernández Midfielder
7.52
32
Kevin Vázquez
Kevin Vázquez
Midfielder81'
6.24
11
Gonzalo Ríos
Gonzalo Ríos Midfielder
6.37
19
Rodrigo Atencio
Rodrigo Atencio
Attacker26'
6.83
25
José Florentín
José Florentín Midfielder
7.16
9
Álex Arce
Álex Arce (C) Attacker
2
8.77
43
Fabrizio Sartori
Fabrizio Sartori Attacker
6.59
17
Maximiliano Salas
Maximiliano Salas
Attacker46'
6.62
Referee : Gonzalo Pereira

Starting XI ▼

1
Lucas Bruera
Lucas Bruera Goalkeeper
6.27
2
Gonzalo Maffini
Gonzalo Maffini (C) Defender
6.52
29
Agustín Quiroga
Agustín Quiroga Defender
6.81
30
Sergio Ojeda
Sergio Ojeda Defender
6.2
10
Tomás González
Tomás González Midfielder
6.59
13
Francisco Romero
Francisco Romero Midfielder
6.46
45
Raúl Lozano
Raúl Lozano
Defender84'
6.44
14
Gonzalo González
Gonzalo González Midfielder
6.5
8
Siro Rosané
Siro Rosané
Midfielder84'
6.59
17
Gabriel Alanís
Gabriel Alanís Midfielder
7.45
19
Nicolás Talpone
Nicolás Talpone Midfielder
6.26
18
Joaquín Rivero
Joaquín Rivero
Attacker84'
6.49
16
Yeison Moreno
Yeison Moreno Attacker
6.38
77
Ibrahim Hesar
Ibrahim Hesar
Midfielder68'
6.59
27
Juan Garro
Juan Garro Attacker
6.45
32
Mateo Bajamich
Mateo Bajamich
Attacker58'
6.3

Events

2ND-HALF
88'
Event
Gabriel Alanís
Right foot shot / 2nd Goal
84'
Event
Raúl Lozano → Francisco Romero
8th Substitution
84'
Event
Joaquín Rivero → Nicolás Talpone
9th Substitution
84'
Event
Siro Rosané → Gonzalo González
10th Substitution
Event
Leonel Bucca → Tomás Bottari
6th Substitution
81'
Event
Kevin Vázquez → Matías Fernández
7th Substitution
81'
Event
Álex Arce
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
80'
Event
Álex Arce
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
71'
68'
Event
Ibrahim Hesar → Yeison Moreno
5th Substitution
Event
Ezequiel Bonifacio → Alejo Osella
4th Substitution
67'
59'
Event
Gonzalo González
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
58'
Event
Mateo Bajamich → Juan Garro
3rd Substitution
Event
Sheyko Studer
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
56'
Event
Maximiliano Salas → Fabrizio Sartori
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
40'
Event
Tomás González
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Rodrigo Atencio → Gonzalo Ríos
1st Substitution
26'
11'
Event
Yeison Moreno
Unsportsmanlike conduct / 1st Yellowcard

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Jose Ignacio Florentin Bobadilla takes a left-footed shot but misses.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
90
Attempt Attempt
Leonel Bucca takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
90
Attempt Attempt
Maximiliano Salas takes a left-footed shot but misses.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Gabriel Alanis takes a shot with his right foot and scores.
88
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-1.
87
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Quiroga takes a left-footed shot but misses.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
86
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
85
Attempt Attempt
Alex Adrian Arce Barrios takes a right-footed shot but misses.
84
Update Update
Joaquín Rivero is on, and Nicolas Talpone is off.
84
Update Update
Raul Lozano is on, and Francisco Romero is off.
84
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Gonzalo Gonzalez is replaced by Siro Rosane.
81
Substitution Substitution
Leonel Bucca is substituted off for Tomas Bottari.
81
Update Update
On Kevin Alejandro Vazquez, off Matias Carlos Alberto Fernandez.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot from Alex Adrian Arce Barrios with his right foot results in a goal.
80
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alex Adrian Arce Barrios scores, making it 2-0.
76
Attempt Attempt
Maximiliano Salas takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
72
Update Update
Offside.
72
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 1-0.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Alex Adrian Arce Barrios with his right foot results in a goal.
71
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Alex Adrian Arce Barrios scores from the penalty spot to make it 1-0.
69
Attempt Attempt
Jose Ignacio Florentin Bobadilla takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
68
Update Update
Ibrahim Hesar comes on for Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo.
67
Update Update
Ezequiel Bonifacio is on, and Alejo Osella is off.
61
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
59
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
58
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card for Gonzalo Gonzalez.
56
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Sheyko Studer.
55
Attempt Attempt
Alex Adrian Arce Barrios attempts a header but misses the shot.
49
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Atencio takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
46
Update Update
Maximiliano Salas comes on for Fabrizio Sartori.
45
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
45
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Osella attempts a header but misses the shot.
44
Attempt Attempt
Rodrigo Atencio takes a left-footed shot but misses.
42
Attempt Attempt
Alejo Osella takes a right-footed shot but misses.
40
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Tomas Gonzalez.
37
Attempt Attempt
Jose Ignacio Florentin Bobadilla attempts a header but misses the shot.
35
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Alex Adrian Arce Barrios with his left foot misses the target.
35
Attempt Attempt
Alex Adrian Arce Barrios takes a left-footed shot but misses.
31
Attempt Attempt
Tomas Gonzalez takes a left-footed shot but misses.
30
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
26
Update Update
Rodrigo Atencio comes on for Gonzalo Rios.
22
Update Update
Offside.
18
Attempt Attempt
Juan Manuel Elordi takes a left-footed shot, but it's blocked.
18
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
11
Attempt Attempt
Agustin Quiroga takes a left-footed shot, but it's saved.
11
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card shown to Yeison Daniel Moreno Murillo.
11
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Attempt Attempt
Jose Ignacio Florentin Bobadilla takes a left-footed shot but misses.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Gonzalo Pereira.

CONCLUSION

Independiente Rivadavia claimed a 2-1 victory over Estudiantes de Río Cuarto through sustained second half pressure after a scoreless opening period. The home side dominated possession and created the clear majority of scoring opportunities as reflected in the expected goals figures. Estudiantes de Río Cuarto struggled to generate meaningful attacks throughout the contest. The absence of any red cards allowed both teams to maintain their intended formations until the final whistle. This result reinforced the pre-match assessment of team strength and delivered an outcome that matched the underlying performance data. The match highlighted the importance of converting territorial advantage into goals during the second half.