Ilves vs Differdange 03 preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Tammelan Stadion Today - 4:00 PM
Europa Conference League
Ilves Ilves
Differdange 03 Differdange 03
KICKOFF : Today - 4:00 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 0 - 0

CONTEXT

Ilves host Differdange 03 at Tammelan Stadion in what promises to be an intriguing Europa Conference League first qualifying round second leg. The two teams share identical power ratings of 23.33 points, highlighting the balanced nature of this matchup. Ilves are designated as the stronger side overall. Both clubs post matching form scores of 16.67, reflecting comparable levels of current form. This encounter occurs during the 2026/2027 campaign. Tactical discipline and individual brilliance may determine the outcome as the sides battle for progression. The home advantage at their familiar ground offers Ilves an opportunity to assert control from the outset.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Both teams share equal power scores of 23.33 points.
  • Form: Form scores stand level at 16.67 for Ilves and Differdange 03.
  • Squad: Squad details remain unavailable for detailed comparison in this fixture.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency metrics are not provided in the available data.
  • Transition: Transition play information shows no specific advantages noted.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data indicates low confidence with proxy usage for both sides.
  • xVariable: Power advantage stands at zero points between the sides.
  • Market: Ilves 61.4% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23.7% (Δ+0%) | Differdange 03 14.9% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Ilves Camilo Speranza Borde
Camilo Speranza Borde
VS
Differdange 03 P. Resende dos Morais
P. Resende dos Morais
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Differdange 03 Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Ilves Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Ilves
61.44%
Draw
23.71%
Away Differdange 03
14.86%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
23.33
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Ilves
Differdange 03
Power Score
23.33
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Ilves Opponent-weighted form score
Differdange 03 Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Ilves Differdange 03

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Ilves Ilves Home
1 matches
Differdange 03 Differdange 03 Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
0
0
Goals Conceded
0
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-15T00:03:05+00:00

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 04:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 0 - 0
Stadium
Tammelan Stadion
Capacity
8077
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jakob A. Sundberg
Victor Skytte
Jesper Dahl
Svend Funder

Squad

Referee : Jakob A. Sundberg

Squad

1
Otso Virtanen
Otso Virtanen Goalkeeper
31
Rasmus Leislahti
Rasmus Leislahti Goalkeeper
12
Faris Krkalic
Faris Krkalic Goalkeeper
5
Sauli Väisänen
Sauli Väisänen Defender
16
Tatu Miettunen
Tatu Miettunen Defender
3
Matias Rale
Matias Rale Defender
13
Kalle Wallius
Kalle Wallius Defender
4
Oliver Pettersson
Oliver Pettersson Defender
25
Sebastian Suvanne
Sebastian Suvanne Defender
24
Ville Kumpu
Ville Kumpu Defender
19
Bamba Abdoul Goudouss
Bamba Abdoul Goudouss Defender
7
Joona Veteli
Joona Veteli Midfielder
15
Lauri Ala-Myllymäki
Lauri Ala-Myllymäki Midfielder
14
Anton Popovits
Anton Popovits Midfielder
8
Maksim Stjopin
Maksim Stjopin Midfielder
30
Jardell Kanga
Jardell Kanga Midfielder
6
Yiandro Raap
Yiandro Raap Midfielder
22
Oskari Multala
Oskari Multala Midfielder
20
Otto Tiitinen
Otto Tiitinen Midfielder
10
Roope Riski
Roope Riski Attacker
28
Jesse Kilo
Jesse Kilo Attacker
9
Teemu Hytönen
Teemu Hytönen Attacker
33
Oskari Tapio Paavola
Oskari Tapio Paavola Attacker
17
Stanislav Baranov
Stanislav Baranov Attacker
Referee : Jakob A. Sundberg

Squad

84
Luiz Felipe Ventura dos Santos
Luiz Felipe Ventura dos Santos Goalkeeper
25
Geoffrey Franzoni
Geoffrey Franzoni Defender
4
Kevin D'Anzico
Kevin D'Anzico Defender
66
João Pedro Gomes Ricciulli
João Pedro Gomes Ricciulli Defender
24
Elison Rivas Mejía
Elison Rivas Mejía Defender
14
Juan Bedouret
Juan Bedouret Defender
26
Fonseca Mendes
Fonseca Mendes Defender
31
Sébastien Thill
Sébastien Thill Midfielder
55
Leandro Quintiliano Borges Da Silva
Leandro Quintiliano Borges Da Silva Midfielder
8
Bruno Reis
Bruno Reis Midfielder
21
Ludovic Rauch
Ludovic Rauch Midfielder
9
Andreas Buch
Andreas Buch Attacker

CONCLUSION

The contest between Ilves and Differdange 03 features balanced metrics across power and form evaluations. Home support at Tammelan Stadion could influence proceedings in favor of the Finnish side. With no clear power advantage, attention turns to squad depth and on-field execution. Data gaps in several categories including efficiency highlight the need for adaptability. Set piece situations carry uncertainty due to low confidence levels in projections. Teams must focus on fluid play and defensive organization to secure a positive result. This qualifying round match offers both sides a chance to advance further in the competition.