Hibernian vs Motherwell preview

Scotland flag 2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland
Easter Road Stadium Sat, 16 May - 11:30 AM
Premiership
KICKOFF : Sat, 16 May - 11:30 AM
Round 38 2nd Phase

CONTEXT

Hibernian welcome Motherwell to Easter Road Stadium for this Premiership 2nd Phase clash in the 2025/2026 season. Hibernian, sitting 5th in the table, hold a marginal edge as the stronger side with a power score of 68.62 compared to Motherwell's 67.28, translating to a 1.3-point advantage. Motherwell, in 4th place, have shown resilience but face a tough away test. Both teams lack recent form data, with scores at zero and no last outings recorded, making this encounter unpredictable early in the phase. Home advantage at Easter Road could prove pivotal for Hibernian, who aim to climb above their rivals. Set piece metrics are unavailable due to missing xG data, leaving reliance on overall structure and efficiency unknowns. Expect a tight structural battle where small margins define the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Hibernian possesses a 1.3-point power advantage over Motherwell, marking them as the slightly stronger team.
  • Form: Both Hibernian and Motherwell have form scores of zero with no recent outings recorded.
  • Squad: League positions show Motherwell in 4th and Hibernian in 5th, reflecting closely matched squads.
  • Efficiency: Efficiency data is unavailable for both teams in this matchup.
  • Transition: No specific transition metrics are provided for Hibernian or Motherwell.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data lacks xG availability, with low confidence proxies used for both teams.
  • xVariable: xG-related variables are not available, limiting advanced performance insights.
  • Market: Projection split: Hibernian 0% (Δ+0%) | Draw 0% (Δ+0%) | Motherwell 0% (Δ+0%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hibernian D. Gray
D. Gray
VS
Motherwell J. Askou
J. Askou
1.48
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.69
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Rangers Rank: 76 D
Falkirk Rank: 66 W
Celtic Rank: 78 L
Hearts Rank: 73 L
Aberdeen Rank: 60 L
Kilmarnock Rank: 59 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.83 i
Last 6 Opponents
Celtic Rank: 79 D
Hearts Rank: 75 D
Falkirk Rank: 64 L
Rangers Rank: 77 W
Hearts Rank: 74 L
Falkirk Rank: 65 L
24
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
24 - 14 - 19
19
No sidelined player data available.

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.62
67.28
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hibernian
Motherwell
Power Score
68.62
67.28
League Position
5
4
Global Rank
246
273

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

vs
Hibernian Opponent-weighted form score
Motherwell Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hibernian Motherwell

General Information

Date & Time
May 16, 2026, 11:30 AM
Competition
2025/2026 Premiership, Scotland · Round 38 · 2nd Phase
Stadium
Easter Road Stadium
Capacity
20421
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair

Squad

Squad

13
Jordan Smith
Jordan Smith Goalkeeper
1
Raphael Sallinger
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper
4
Grant Hanley
Grant Hanley Defender
21
Jordan Obita
Jordan Obita Defender
25
Felix Passlack
Felix Passlack Defender
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora Defender
12
Christopher Cadden
33
Rocky Bushiri
Rocky Bushiri Defender
15
Jack Iredale
Jack Iredale Defender
42
Munashe Garananga
27
Kanayochukwu Megwa
11
Joe Newell
Joe Newell Midfielder
22
Daniel Barlaser
Daniel Barlaser Midfielder
17
Jamie McGrath
Jamie McGrath Midfielder
19
Nicky Cadden
Nicky Cadden Midfielder
8
Alasana Manneh
Alasana Manneh Midfielder
32
Josh Campbell
Josh Campbell Midfielder
20
Josh Mulligan
Josh Mulligan Midfielder
14
Miguel Changa Chaiwa
28
Kai Andrews
Kai Andrews Midfielder
35
Rudi Allan Molotnikov
10
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle Attacker
7
Elie Youan
Elie Youan Attacker
44
Dane Scarlett
Dane Scarlett Attacker
77
Ante Šuto
Ante Šuto Attacker
47
Owen Elding
Owen Elding Attacker

Squad

61
Callum Ward
Callum Ward Goalkeeper
31
Matty Connolly
Matty Connolly Goalkeeper
16
Paul McGinn
Paul McGinn Defender
2
Stephen O'Donnell
Stephen O'Donnell Defender
6
Jordan McGhee
Jordan McGhee Defender
4
Liam Gordon
Liam Gordon Defender
57
Stephen Welsh
Stephen Welsh Defender
22
John Koutroumbis
John Koutroumbis Defender
11
Andrew Halliday
Andrew Halliday Midfielder
19
Sam Nicholson
Sam Nicholson Midfielder
8
Callum Slattery
Callum Slattery Midfielder
20
Elliot Watt
Elliot Watt Midfielder
12
Lukas Fadinger
Lukas Fadinger Midfielder
7
Tom Sparrow
Tom Sparrow Midfielder
18
Oscar Priestman
Oscar Priestman Midfielder
77
Regan Charles-Cook
66
Callum Hendry
Callum Hendry Attacker
21
Elijah Henry Just
Elijah Henry Just Attacker
90
Ibrahim Sa’id
Ibrahim Sa’id Attacker
9
Zach Robinson
Zach Robinson Attacker
15
Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson
Eythor Martin Bjørgolfsson Attacker
28
Luca Ross
Luca Ross Attacker

CONCLUSION

In this evenly poised Premiership encounter, Hibernian's home power edge of 1.3 points at Easter Road positions them favorably against 4th-placed Motherwell. Without form or detailed efficiency data, the focus shifts to structural strengths and adaptability in the 2nd Phase. Hibernian's slight superiority suggests control in transitions, though set piece uncertainties add intrigue. Motherwell's higher league standing demands a disciplined away performance to exploit any lapses. A low-scoring affair seems likely given the tight power differential, with Hibernian poised to edge victory through venue familiarity and marginal advantages.