Hibernian vs Malisheva preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
Easter Road Stadium Thu, 30 Jul - 7:00 PM
Europa Conference League
HibernianHIB
4 1
MalishevaMalisheva
Full Time Thu, 30 Jul 7:00 PM
2nd Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 4 - 3
Nathan Lowe - 35'
Martin Boyle - 57'
Goal
|
Goal

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Hibernian 4–1 Malisheva. The result saw Hibernian take the points. Hibernian showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result aligned with the pre-match projection. Possession was 64%–36%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hibernian recorded a significant 27.1 percent deviation from expected performance levels.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with projections for the stronger side.
  • xG alignment: Expected goals data was unavailable to assess alignment with the match outcome.
  • Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: No expected goals figures were recorded for either Hibernian or Malisheva.
  • Event impact: The 4-1 second-leg win secured Hibernian progression in the knockout tie.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards were shown so the match dynamics experienced no distortion.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Mihály
K. Mihály
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
I. Albert
I. Albert
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
D. Rózsa
D. Rózsa
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
M. Derdák
M. Derdák
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Hibernian D. Gray
D. Gray
VS
Malisheva T. Brdarić
T. Brdarić
0
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
2
0 i
Last 6 Opponents
Malisheva Rank: 54 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hibernian Rank: 70 W
Vllaznia Shkodër Rank: 46 W
Vllaznia Shkodër Rank: 45 L
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 1
1

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hibernian
72.9%
Draw
16.73%
Away Malisheva
10.37%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hibernian
-23.76%
Draw
+14.83%
Malisheva
+8.93%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
72.03
58.5
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hibernian
Malisheva
Power Score
72.03
58.5
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
258
688

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hibernian — Opponent-weighted form score
Malisheva — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hibernian Malisheva

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hibernian

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Malisheva

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hibernian ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Malisheva
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
38.83
15.28
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
15.28
38.83
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hibernian +2.21 Efficiency Index
vs
Malisheva -2.21 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hibernian
Malisheva
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hibernian ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Malisheva
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hibernian Malisheva
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hibernian Malisheva
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hibernian
Malisheva
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hibernian
vs
Malisheva
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hibernian Malisheva
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hibernian 0.39
Malisheva 0.13
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hibernian Malisheva
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hibernian 0.03
Malisheva 0.07
Hibernian
Malisheva
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HIB had peak pressure around 6'.
  • HIB started the game with stronger pressure.
HIB Pressure Malisheva Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HIB reached the top pressure at 6' (58.78).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hibernian HIB Home
1 matches
Malisheva Malisheva Away
Match Record
0
Wins
1
0
Draws
0
1
Losses
0
Goals
0
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
0
-2
Goal Difference
+2
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-31T00:07:51+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-4-1-2
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 30, 2026, 07:00 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 2nd Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 4 - 3
Stadium
Easter Road Stadium
Capacity
20421
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Káprály Mihály
Istvan Albert
Dávid Rózsa
Marcell Derdák

Statistics

Possession
HIB
59%
Malisheva
41%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 1
11 Shots 3
57 Dangerous attacks 30
64 Possession 36
7 Corners 0
16 Free kicks 21
3 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

72 Ball Safe 84
18 Goal Attempts 4
4 Substitutions 4
23 Throwins 21
0 Injuries 2

Attacking

96 Attacks 80

Discipline

3 Offsides 4
18 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Káprály Mihály

Starting XI ▼

1
Raphael Sallinger
Raphael Sallinger Goalkeeper
6.12
5
Warren O'Hora
Warren O'Hora Defender
6.26
6
Jason Kerr
Jason Kerr Defender
6.26
21
Jordan Obita
Jordan Obita Defender
6.26
3
Adam Mayor
Adam Mayor Midfielder
6.5
12
Chris Cadden
Chris Cadden
Midfielder63'
6.37
8
Josh Mulligan
Josh Mulligan Midfielder
6.45
11
Joe Newell
Joe Newell
Midfielder63'
6.37
14
Miguel Chaiwa
Miguel Chaiwa Midfielder
6.37
25
Felix Passlack
Felix Passlack Midfielder
6.57
7
Owen Elding
Owen Elding Attacker
7.19
9
Nathan Lowe
Nathan Lowe Attacker
6.86
18
Thibault Klidjé
Thibault Klidjé
Attacker78'
6.42
10
Martin Boyle
Martin Boyle (C) Attacker
7.2
47
Azeem Abdullah
Azeem Abdullah
Midfielder63'
6.37
Referee : Káprály Mihály

Starting XI ▼

1
Ilir Avdyli
Ilir Avdyli Goalkeeper
5.38
2
Arlind Veliu
Arlind Veliu Defender
5.7
5
Dreni Kryeziu
Dreni Kryeziu (C) Defender
5.7
27
Andreas Skovgaard
Andreas Skovgaard Defender
5.7
55
Kesli Shani Defender
6
Besnik Ferati
Besnik Ferati Midfielder
6.09
7
Kreshnik Uka
Kreshnik Uka Midfielder
6.09
10
Laurent Xhylani
Laurent Xhylani Midfielder
6.09
9
Krenar Dulaj
Krenar Dulaj
Attacker66'
6.59
17
Vüsal Isgandarli
Vüsal Isgandarli Midfielder
6.27
—
Vüsal Isgandarli
34'
30
Donart Vitija
Donart Vitija Midfielder
6.04
99
Dzemal Ibishi
Dzemal Ibishi Attacker
6.35
3
Omer Bajraktari
Omer Bajraktari
Defender66'
6.69

Events

2ND-HALF
90+3'
Event
Donart Vitija
Argument / 4th Yellowcard
Event
Thibault Klidjé
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
85'
84'
Event
Omer Bajraktari
Field Goal / 5th Goal
Event
Thibault Klidjé → Nathan Lowe
8th Substitution
78'
66'
Event
Omer Bajraktari → Dzemal Ibishi
6th Substitution
66'
Event
Krenar Dulaj → Laurent Xhylani
7th Substitution
Event
Azeem Abdullah → Martin Boyle
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Chris Cadden → Adam Mayor
4th Substitution
63'
Event
Joe Newell → Josh Mulligan
5th Substitution
63'
Event
Martin Boyle
Field Goal / 4th Goal
57'
46'
Event
Arbër Pira → Keslin Shani
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Nathan Lowe
Field Goal / 3rd Goal
35'
34'
Event
Valjmir Nafiu → Vüsal Isgandarli
1st Substitution
Event
Josh Mulligan
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
31'
Event
Martin Boyle
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
22'
Event
Felix Passlack
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
15'
Event
Owen Elding
Field Goal / 1st Goal
9'

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
84
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-1.
78
Update Update
Thibault Klidje comes on for Nathan Lowe.
78
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
66
Update Update
Omer Bajraktari comes on for Dzemal Ibishi.
66
Update Update
Krenar Dulaj replaces Laurent Xhylani.
63
Substitution Substitution
Christopher Cadden is substituted on for Adam Mayor.
63
Substitution Substitution
Joseph Peter Newell is substituted for Josh Mulligan.
63
Substitution Substitution
Christopher Cadden is substituted for Adam Mayor.
61
Substitution Substitution
Joseph Peter Newell is substituted for Josh Mulligan.
57
Update Update
Azeem Abdulai comes on for Martin Boyle.
57
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Martin Boyle scores, making it 4-0.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Arber Pira comes on for Keslin Shani.
38
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Nathan Lowe scores to make it 3-0, assisted by Owen Elding.
34
Update Update
Valmir Nafiu comes on for Vusal Isgandarli.
30
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Josh Mulligan receives a yellow card.
22
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Martin Boyle.
15
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 2-0.
9
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Owen Elding scores to make it 1-0, assisted by Martin Boyle.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
5
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
3
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Kapraly Mihaly.

CONCLUSION

Hibernian completed a strong turnaround with their 4-1 success that erased the earlier aggregate position and confirmed their place in the next round. The three-goal halftime cushion allowed them to manage the game comfortably while maintaining high possession and creating clear chances. Malisheva offered little resistance after the break and their lone goal arrived too late to alter the outcome. Overall the performance underlined Hibernian superiority in both phases of play and their ability to deliver when required in knockout football. This result sets a positive platform for upcoming fixtures as they look to build momentum through consistent results and disciplined execution across the squad.