Hertha BSC vs Heidenheim preview
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Hertha BSC hosted Heidenheim and emerged victorious with a 4-1 scoreline. They established a strong position early on, leading 3-0 at the halftime break. The game featured a red card for the home side, which occurred before the second half adjustments took effect. Possession stats indicated a balanced contest, with Hertha holding 51 percent and Heidenheim 49 percent. Expected goals stood at 1.49 for Hertha and 0.73 for Heidenheim, reflecting a moderate advantage. The outcome proved consistent with these metrics as Hertha claimed the win. Significant deviation was noted in the home team's approach, yet they overcame the numerical disadvantage to secure the result. This match underscored the impact of key events on the final tally.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Final score: Hertha BSC 4-1 Heidenheim. Hertha BSC showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
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Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with the overall performance metrics.
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xG alignment: The outcome was consistent with the xG alignment showing true consistency.
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Market alignment: The result demonstrated market alignment as true.
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xG expectations: xG expectations were met with home at 1.49 and away at 0.73.
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Event impact: The event impact included a red card affecting the second half.
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Red card distortion: Red card distortion was present due to the home team's sending off.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
75.87
44.02
Hertha BSC
Heidenheim
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Hertha BSC
Heidenheim
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Hertha BSC
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
Heidenheim
Hertha BSC
Heidenheim
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Hertha BSC
Hertha BSC
Heidenheim
Hertha BSC
Heidenheim
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HDH had peak pressure around 55'.
- BCS started the game with stronger pressure.
STARTING XI
General Information
Next Match
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Kickoff: Fri, 28 Aug - 4:30 PM
Venue: Eintracht-Stadion
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vs
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League: Club Friendlies 1
Kickoff: Tue, 18 Aug - 4:00 PM
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Match Commentary