Hellas Verona vs Roma preview

Italy flag 2025/2026 Serie A, Italy
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi Sun, 24 May - 6:45 PM
Serie A
Hellas Verona VER
Roma ROM
KICKOFF : Sun, 24 May - 6:45 PM
Round 38 Regular Season

CONTEXT

In the 2025/2026 Serie A season, Hellas Verona welcome Roma to the Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi for what promises to be an intriguing regular season clash. Roma, positioned fourth in the league table, bring a formidable presence to the match, backed by a power score of 86.22 compared to Verona's 64.96. This gives the away side a notable advantage of 21.3 points. Verona, currently sitting in nineteenth place, face a tough task against a team known for its consistency and quality. The home side will need to rely on their defensive organization and quick counter-attacks to trouble the visitors. Roma's superior form score further underscores their edge in this encounter. Fans can expect a game where tactical discipline will play a key role in determining the outcome.

TL;DR

  • Structural: Roma holds a substantial power advantage of 21.3 points over Hellas Verona in this fixture.
  • Form: Roma's form score stands at 34.06, significantly higher than Hellas Verona's 9.44.
  • Squad: The squad depth and quality favor Roma given their higher league standing and overall metrics.
  • Efficiency: Both teams show limited efficiency data, but Roma's positioning suggests better conversion rates.
  • Transition: Hellas Verona may rely on transition play to exploit spaces against Roma's structured defense.
  • Set pieces: Set piece data remains limited with low confidence for both sides in this matchup.
  • xVariable: An xVariable factor could influence the game through unexpected individual performances or tactical shifts.
  • Market: Hellas Verona 10% (Δ+0.3%) | Draw 17.8% (Δ+0.2%) | Roma 72.2% (Δ-0.5%).
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Jan 25 vs Team A
Feb 1 vs Team B
Feb 8 vs Team C
Hellas Verona P. Sammarco
P. Sammarco
VS
Roma G. Gasperini
G. Gasperini
0.6
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.72
0.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Inter Rank: 92 D
Como Rank: 84 L
Juventus Rank: 86 D
Lecce Rank: 70 D
AC Milan Rank: 84 L
Torino Rank: 74 L
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
2.67 i
Last 6 Opponents
Lazio Rank: 80 W
Parma Rank: 73 W
Fiorentina Rank: 78 W
Bologna Rank: 80 W
Atalanta Rank: 84 D
Pisa Rank: 62 W
3
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
3 - 5 - 13
13
No sidelined player data available.

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hellas Verona
10%
Draw
17.8%
Away Roma
72.2%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hellas Verona
+0.29%
Draw
+0.2%
Roma
-0.49%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
64.96
86.22
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hellas Verona
Roma
Power Score
64.96
86.22
League Position
19
4
Global Rank
332
27

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hellas Verona — Opponent-weighted form score
Roma — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hellas Verona Roma

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 21 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hellas Verona VER Home
21 matches
Roma ROM Away
Match Record
3
Wins
13
5
Draws
5
13
Losses
3
Goals
19
Goals Scored
39
39
Goals Conceded
19
-20
Goal Difference
+20
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-05-22T00:11:27+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 3-5-1-1
Match Formation 3-4-2-1
Pitch
L. Montipò
Italy
1 L. Montipò
A. Edmundsson
Faroe Islands
5 A. Edmundsson
V. Nelsson
Denmark
15 V. Nelsson
N. Valentini
Argentina
6 N. Valentini
R. Belghali
Algeria
7 R. Belghali
S. Lovric
Slovenia
4 S. Lovric
A. Harroui
Morocco
21 A. Harroui
A. Bernede
France
24 A. Bernede
M. Frese
Denmark
3 M. Frese
T. Suslov
Slovakia
10 T. Suslov
K. Bowie
Scotland
18 K. Bowie
M. Svilar
Serbia
99 M. Svilar
M. Hermoso Canseco
Spain
22 M. Hermoso Canseco
J. Ziółkowski
Poland
24 J. Ziółkowski
G. Mancini
Italy
23 G. Mancini
J. Esmoris Tasende
Spain
3 J. Esmoris Tasende
N. El Aynaoui
France
8 N. El Aynaoui
B. Cristante
Italy
4 B. Cristante
M. Çelik
Türkiye
19 M. Çelik
N. Pisilli
Italy
61 N. Pisilli
P. Exequiel Dybala
Argentina
21 P. Exequiel Dybala
D. Malen
Netherlands
14 D. Malen

General Information

Date & Time
May 24, 2026, 06:45 PM
Competition
2025/2026 Serie A, Italy · Round 38 · Regular Season
Stadium
Stadio Marc'Antonio Bentegodi
Capacity
39045
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Simone Sozza
Paolo Laudato
Marcello Rossi
Ermanno Feliciani

Lineup

Referee : Simone Sozza

Starting XI ▼

1
Lorenzo Montipò
Lorenzo Montipò Goalkeeper
6.66
3
Martin Frese
Martin Frese Defender
6.88
5
Andrias Edmundsson
Andrias Edmundsson Defender
6.92
6
Nicolás Valentini
Nicolás Valentini Defender
6.78
15
Victor Nelsson
Victor Nelsson Defender
6.82
4
Sandi Lovrić
Sandi Lovrić Midfielder
6.68
7
Rafik Belghali
Rafik Belghali Midfielder
6.68
21
Abdou Harroui
Abdou Harroui Midfielder
6.55
24
Antoine Bernede
Antoine Bernede Midfielder
6.68
10
Tomas Suslov
Tomas Suslov Attacker
6.43
18
Kieron Bowie
Kieron Bowie Attacker
6.91
Referee : Simone Sozza

Starting XI ▼

99
Mile Svilar
Mile Svilar Goalkeeper
7
19
Zeki Çelik
Zeki Çelik Defender
6.82
22
Mario Hermoso
Mario Hermoso Defender
6.92
23
Gianluca Mancini
Gianluca Mancini Defender
7.03
24
Jan Ziolkowski
Jan Ziolkowski Defender
6.68
3
Angeliño
Angeliño Midfielder
6.76
4
Bryan Cristante
Bryan Cristante Midfielder
6.96
8
Neil El Aynaoui
Neil El Aynaoui Midfielder
6.75
61
Niccolò Pisilli
Niccolò Pisilli Midfielder
6.73
14
Donyell Malen
Donyell Malen Attacker
7.19
21
Paulo Dybala
Paulo Dybala Attacker
7.15

CONCLUSION

Roma are expected to control proceedings given their superior power rating and league position. Hellas Verona must maximize their home advantage at the Bentegodi to secure a positive result. The visitors' strong form provides them with the momentum needed to push for victory. Tactical battles in midfield will likely decide key moments in the game. Verona's lower efficiency metrics indicate challenges in breaking down organized defenses. Overall, this encounter offers Roma an opportunity to solidify their top-four aspirations while Verona fight for crucial points to improve their standing. The match should showcase high-quality Serie A action with emphasis on strategy and execution.