Hearts vs Sturm Graz preview
2026/2027 Champions League, Europe
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Hearts welcome Sturm Graz to Tynecastle Park for the second leg of their Champions League second qualifying round tie. The home side trail 0-4 on aggregate after a heavy first-leg defeat and must produce a significant response to keep their European hopes alive. Power ratings give Hearts a narrow edge at 75.4 to 73.75, yet the visitors carry stronger recent form with a score of 50 against the hosts' unavailable data. Both clubs operate without domestic league positions or detailed records for this international cup fixture. Set-piece and efficiency information is limited, relying on proxy values that carry low confidence. The encounter therefore hinges on whether Hearts can exploit home conditions and any structural familiarity to overcome the deficit, while Sturm Graz look to manage the game and protect their advantage.
TL;DR
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Structural: Hearts hold a slight power advantage of 1.7 points over Sturm Graz.
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Form: Sturm Graz enter with a form score of 50 while Hearts have no recent form data available.
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Squad: Both teams have limited squad information disclosed for this encounter.
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Efficiency: Efficiency data remains unavailable for analysis in this match.
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Transition: Transition play details are not specified in the current dataset.
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Set pieces: Set piece metrics show low confidence with proxy data used for both sides.
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xVariable: The power scores indicate Hearts at 75.4 and Sturm Graz at 73.75.
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Market: Projection split: Hearts 51.6% (Δ+0%) | Draw 23% (Δ+0%) | Sturm Graz 25.4% (Δ+0%).
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Win Probabilities
Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Hearts
Sturm Graz
Team Power Ranking
i
75.4
73.75
Hearts
Sturm Graz
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-07-27T00:08:12+00:00
General Information
Next Match
Hearts
vs
Aberdeen
League: Premiership
Kickoff: Sat, 1 Aug - 4:30 PM
Venue: Pittodrie Stadium
Sturm Graz
vs
WSG Tirol
League: Admiral Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 1 Aug - 3:00 PM
Venue: Tivoli Stadion Tirol
Squad
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