Hartberg vs Austria Wien preview
2026/2027 Admiral Bundesliga, Austria
STANDINGS
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
CONTEXT
Hartberg hosted Austria Wien in a competitive league match that ended in a 0-2 victory for the away side. The first half concluded with Austria Wien leading 0-1 after scoring once before the break. Throughout the game, Hartberg maintained a slight edge in possession with 55 percent compared to their opponents' 45 percent. However, the expected goals metrics were remarkably close, registering 0.89 for Hartberg and 0.85 for Austria Wien, indicating a minimal differential of 0.04. The stronger team, Austria Wien, managed to secure the win despite the balanced underlying numbers. No red cards were issued during the match, keeping both sides at full strength. This result highlighted a notable deviation in performance outcomes relative to the pre-match indicators.
TL;DR
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Structural deviation: Austria Wien exhibited a significant structural deviation of 100 percent from pre-match expectations.
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Efficiency shift: Efficiency remained in line with projections for both Hartberg and Austria Wien.
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xG alignment: Expected goals aligned closely at 0.89 for Hartberg and 0.85 for Austria Wien.
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Market alignment: The final result proved aligned with market expectations.
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xG expectations: The xG differential of 0.04 did not match the actual 0-2 outcome.
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Event impact: Key events enabled Austria Wien to secure the win over Hartberg.
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Red card distortion: No red cards occurred, producing zero distortion to team dynamics.
Quality vs Volume
Open Play vs Set Play
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
Team Power Ranking
i
60.79
66.37
Hartberg
Austria Wien
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
Hartberg
Austria Wien
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Hartberg
⚠ Proxy
Attacking Efficiency
Defensive Efficiency
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Hartberg
Hartberg
Austria Wien
Hartberg
Austria Wien
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
Hartberg
Hartberg
Austria Wien
Hartberg
Austria Wien
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HTB had peak pressure around 60'.
- HTB started the game with stronger pressure.
Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons
Summary of 6 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.
Match Record
Goals
Expected Goals
Data last updated: 2026-08-17T00:08:09+00:00
STARTING XI
General Information
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Match Commentary