Hannover 96 vs VfL Wolfsburg preview
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany
HDI Arena
Round 2 ·
Regular Season
STANDINGS
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| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
| Rank | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|
Promotion
Promotion Playoffs
Relegation
Data last checked: Aug 29
CONTEXT
The fixture between Hannover 96 and VfL Wolfsburg concluded with a 0-1 away victory for Wolfsburg. The halftime score stood at 0-0 with both sides level. Hannover controlled 52 percent of possession against Wolfsburg's 48 percent. Expected goals registered 0.85 for Hannover and 1.71 for Wolfsburg, producing a differential of minus 0.86. Hannover entered as the stronger team yet failed to claim the points. The final outcome proved consistent with the xG figures. No red cards occurred throughout the contest. The result reflected the underlying performance metrics without external distortions.
TL;DR
-
Structural deviation: Wolfsburg secured the win despite Hannover being the stronger team on paper.
-
Efficiency shift: Team efficiency remained in line with pre-match expectations for both sides.
-
xG alignment: The 0-1 result aligned directly with the recorded xG values of 0.85 to 1.71.
-
Market alignment: The outcome proved consistent with available market indicators.
-
xG expectations: Hannover posted 0.85 xG while Wolfsburg reached 1.71 xG.
-
Event impact: The match stayed level at 0-0 through halftime before the away goal decided it.
-
Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued so no distortion affected the final result.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)
Quality vs Volume
Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11
Open Play vs Set Play
Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%
Expected Points
| Team | xPts |
|---|---|
| Home | 1.8 |
| Away | 1.2 |
ℹ️
Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
Fouls / Match
Referee
30.4
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
4
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0.36
League Avg
0
M. Stegemann
1st Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
T. Severins
2nd Assistant
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
E. Weisbach
4th Official
•
0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Red Cards / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
Penalties / Match
Referee
0
League Avg
0
1.46
Avg Points / Game
(Last 100 Matches)
1
1.17 i
Last 6 Opponents
Energie Cottbus
Rank: 71
L
Nürnberg
Rank: 75
D
VfL Bochum 1848
Rank: 74
D
Preußen Münster
Rank: 67
D
Karlsruher SC
Rank: 71
W
Paderborn
Rank: 77
D
Avg Points / Game
(Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kaiserslautern
Rank: 74
D
0
Head to Head
(Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 0 - 0
0
Team Power Ranking
iWhat is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
75.61
44.21
0 (Weakest)
100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
Power Score
75.61
44.21
League Position
17
4
Global Rank
136
97
Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted
Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.
–
vs
Hannover 96
—
Opponent-weighted form score
VfL Wolfsburg
—
Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts)
Draw (1 pt)
Loss (0 pts)
Hannover 96 VfL Wolfsburg
Heatmaps Ball coordinates
Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.
–
vs
Loading…
Hannover 96
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
VfL Wolfsburg
Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —
Own half density —
vs season average —
Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted
How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage
Hannover 96
⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy
VfL Wolfsburg
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
31.92
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
41.98
Combined Efficiency Index
Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3
0
3
Hannover 96
-1.07
Efficiency Index
vs
VfL Wolfsburg
+1.07
Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)
Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence
Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.
Hannover 96
vs
VfL Wolfsburg
Created
Set-piece attacking threat
Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
Set-piece xG Share
Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
13%
Goals per Match
Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00
1.00
vs Expected (xG)
Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.11
vs
+0.21
Conceded
Set-piece defensive exposure
Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
Set-piece xGA Share
Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
46%
Conceded per Match
Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00
0.00
vs Expected (xGA)
Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
+0.21
vs
-0.11
Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG
Counter / Transition Attack & Defence
What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.
–
Hannover 96
vs
VfL Wolfsburg
Attack After Winning
Possession transition → offence
Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
Goals per Match
Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Shots per Match
Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match.
↑ better
—
Dangerous Attacks
Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match.
↑ better
—
Transition Efficiency Index
Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition.
Higher = stronger on the counter
Hannover 96
0.27
VfL Wolfsburg
0.42
Defence After Losing
Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
Goals Conceded
Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Shots Conceded
Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match.
↓ better
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded
Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match.
↓ better
—
Vulnerability Index
Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks.
Lower = better transition defence
Hannover 96
0.02
VfL Wolfsburg
0.00
Hannover 96
VfL Wolfsburg
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score
PRESSURE INDEX
Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.
- HAN had peak pressure around 77'.
- HAN started the game with stronger pressure.
HAN Pressure
WOB Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index:
HAN reached the top pressure at 77' (94.65).
STARTING XI
Match Formation
3-3-1-3
Match Formation
5-4-1
30 L. Weinkauf
17 B. Allgeier
4 (C) J. Hugonet
33 M. Neubauer
23 (C) S. Þórðarson
10 M. Hartel
8 W. Taibi
7 M. Bundu
25 L. Gindorf
29 K. Oudenne
30 J. Zieliński
37 E. Rexhbecaj
6 (C) H. Wahl
32 M. Svanberg
21 J. Mæhle
11 F. Reese
20 M. Damar
31 Y. Gerhardt
10 F. Hornby
General Information
Date & Time
Competition
2026/2027 2. Bundesliga, Germany · Round 2 · Regular Season
Stadium
HDI Arena
Capacity
49200
Pitch Surface
Grass
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Next Match
Hannover 96
vs
Darmstadt 98
League: 2. Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sun, 30 Aug - 11:30 AM
Venue: Merck-Stadion am Böllenfalltor
VfL Wolfsburg
vs
Karlsruher SC
League: 2. Bundesliga
Kickoff: Sat, 29 Aug - 11:00 AM
Venue: Wildparkstadion
Statistics
Possession
HAN
52%
WOB
48%
Top Statistics
0
Goals
1
3
Big Chances Created
1
9
Shots
5
52
Dangerous attacks
43
52
Possession
48
8
Corners
6
9
Free kicks
8
1
Yellow Cards
2
Match Overview
83
Ball Safe
82
0
Penalties
1
4
Goal Kicks
12
9
Goal Attempts
10
5
Substitutions
6
23
Throwins
22
1
Hit Woodwork
0
8
Successful Headers
5
1
Injuries
0
14
Dribble Attempts
16
7
Successful Dribbles
8
50
Successful Dribbles Percentage
50
Attacking
101
Attacks
85
3
Big Chances Missed
0
Possession
66
Long Passes
61
465
Passes
438
371
Successful Passes
343
80
Successful Passes Percentage
78
12
Key Passes
12
32
Successful Long Passes
23
48
Successful Long Passes Percentage
38
Defensive
6
Saves
2
17
Tackles
18
7
Interceptions
4
40
Duels Won
40
Build-up
17
Total Crosses
13
10
Accurate Crosses
2
Discipline
4
Offsides
1
9
Fouls
9
Lineup
Referee :
Timo Gansloweit
Manager ▼
C. Titz
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
1
Pascal Loretz
Goalkeeper
19
William Kokolo
Defender
13
Franz Roggow
Midfielder
14
Husseyn Chakroun
Attacker
Referee :
Timo Gansloweit
Manager ▼
T. Strobl
Coach
Starting XI ▼
Substitutes ▼
12
Pavao Pervan
Goalkeeper
22
Mathys Angély
Defender
8
Bence Dárdai
Midfielder
23
Alessio Besio
Attacker
Events
2ND-HALF
10th Substitution
90+1'
9th Substitution
89'
89'
8th Substitution
87'
Right foot shot / 1st Penalty
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
86'
81'
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
74'
6th Substitution
74'
7th Substitution
69'
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
66'
5th Substitution
2nd Substitution
62'
3rd Substitution
62'
4th Substitution
62'
46'
1st Substitution
CONCLUSION
Wolfsburg converted their superior xG into the sole goal of the match while Hannover could not overcome the deficit despite greater possession. The absence of red cards kept the contest balanced in terms of personnel. Halftime parity at 0-0 gave way to a second-half breakthrough that matched the expected goals trajectory. Hannover's status as the stronger side did not translate into a positive result on this occasion. The data shows a clear alignment between performance metrics and the 0-1 scoreline. Wolfsburg's efficiency proved decisive in securing the points away from home.
Match Commentary