Hamrun Spartans vs NSÍ preview

Europe flag 2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe
MFA Centenary Stadium Thu, 16 Jul - 5:30 PM
Europa Conference League
Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans
1 2
NSÍNSÍ
Full Time Thu, 16 Jul 5:30 PM
1st Qualifying Round Leg 2 of 2 Aggregate : 2 - 3
Ante Coric - 53'
Goal
|
Goal
Petur Knudsen - 90+4' (P)

CONTEXT

Match is finished. Hamrun Spartans 1–2 NSÍ. The result saw NSÍ take the points. NSÍ showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Possession-adjusted chance creation was in line with projected levels. The end result diverged from the pre-match projection. Possession was 55%–45%.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Final score: Hamrun Spartans 1-2 NSÍ. NSÍ showed a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline.
  • Efficiency shift: Efficiency metrics remained in line with observed performance levels.
  • xG alignment: No xG values were recorded so alignment could not be assessed.
  • Market alignment: The final result was not aligned with pre-match market expectations.
  • xG expectations: Expected goals data remained unavailable throughout the match.
  • Event impact: NSÍ victory in leg two confirmed their progression in the tie.
  • Red card distortion: Zero red cards were issued leaving match dynamics undistorted.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
J. Muller
J. Muller
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
D. Dias Balsa
D. Dias Balsa
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
K. Stammet
K. Stammet
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
L. Thomas
L. Thomas
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Hamrun Spartans S. Sanderra
S. Sanderra
VS
NSÍ S. Eyjolfsson
S. Eyjolfsson
1
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
NSÍ Rank: D
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1 i
Last 6 Opponents
Hamrun Spartans Rank: D
0
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
0 - 1 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hamrun Spartans
60.34%
Draw
22.53%
Away NSÍ
17.13%

Movement

Changes since opening
Hamrun Spartans
+59.7%
Draw
+17.47%
NSÍ
-77.17%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power score: composite of opponent-weighted form (last 6 & 20 games) and league position over last 3 seasons.
21.11
23.33
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hamrun Spartans
NSÍ
Power Score
21.11
23.33
League Position
-
-
Global Rank
-
-

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hamrun Spartans — Opponent-weighted form score
NSÍ — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hamrun Spartans NSÍ

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hamrun Spartans

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

NSÍ

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hamrun Spartans ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NSÍ
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
41.91
28.11
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
28.11
41.91
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hamrun Spartans +1.32 Efficiency Index
vs
NSÍ -1.32 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hamrun Spartans
NSÍ
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hamrun Spartans ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy NSÍ
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hamrun Spartans NSÍ
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
—
—
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 1.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
— vs —
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hamrun Spartans NSÍ
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
—
—
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
1.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
— vs —
xG set-piece data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using proxy metrics (shots, dangerous attacks). Confidence: Medium.
Hamrun Spartans
NSÍ
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hamrun Spartans
vs
NSÍ
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hamrun Spartans NSÍ
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hamrun Spartans 0.33
NSÍ 0.33
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hamrun Spartans NSÍ
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hamrun Spartans 0.06
NSÍ 0.02
Hamrun Spartans
NSÍ
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • NSÍ had peak pressure around 77'.
  • Hamrun Spartans started the game with stronger pressure.
Hamrun Spartans Pressure NSÍ Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: NSÍ reached the top pressure at 77' (68.10).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 1 match between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hamrun Spartans Hamrun Spartans Home
1 matches
NSÍ NSÍ Away
Match Record
0
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
0
Goals
1
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
1
0
Goal Difference
0
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-17T00:02:29+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-3-3
Match Formation 5-4-1
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 16, 2026, 05:30 PM
Competition
2026/2027 Europa Conference League, Europe · 1st Qualifying Round · Leg 2 of 2 · Aggregate : 2 - 3
Stadium
MFA Centenary Stadium
Capacity
3000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Jérémy Muller
Dani Dias Balsa
Kevin Stammet
Loïc Thomas

Statistics

Possession
Hamrun Spartans
55%
NSÍ
45%

Top Statistics

1 Goals 2
13 Shots 5
61 Dangerous attacks 33
55 Possession 45
6 Corners 7
5 Free kicks 10
4 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

68 Ball Safe 73
0 Penalties 1
13 Goal Attempts 9
5 Substitutions 2
14 Throwins 12
1 Injuries 1

Attacking

100 Attacks 83

Discipline

2 Offsides 0
10 Fouls 5

Lineup

Referee : Jérémy Muller

Starting XI ▼

98
Célio Goalkeeper
2
Rafael Compri
Rafael Compri Defender
6.05
3
Tobias Bjørnstad
Tobias Bjørnstad Defender
6.26
25
Ederson
Ederson
Attacker46'
6.51
13
Vincenzo Polito
Vincenzo Polito Defender
6.04
94
Ryan Camenzuli
Ryan Camenzuli
Defender90+6'
15
Kean Scicluna
Kean Scicluna Defender
6.05
6
Matthew Guillaumier
Matthew Guillaumier Midfielder
6.27
8
Jake Grech
Jake Grech Midfielder
6.27
18
Jack Ipalibo
Jack Ipalibo Midfielder
6.37
10
Villela
Villela
Attacker46'
6.46
88
Ante Coric
Ante Coric Midfielder
6.57
17
Kléri Serber
Kléri Serber
Midfielder80'
6.33
91
Emerson
Emerson (C) Midfielder
6.27
99
Emmanuel Ernest
Emmanuel Ernest
Attacker90+6'
6.46
9
Damir Céter
Damir Céter Attacker
6.39
Referee : Jérémy Muller

Starting XI ▼

13
Tom Amos
Tom Amos Goalkeeper
6.12
3
Viljormur Davidsen
Viljormur Davidsen Defender
6.37
4
Daniel Obbekjær
Daniel Obbekjær Defender
6.26
12
Filip Drinic
Filip Drinic Defender
6.26
7
Aron Knudsen
Aron Knudsen
Midfielder79'
6.5
17
Jann Benjaminsen
Jann Benjaminsen Defender
6.26
2
Sammy Skytte
Sammy Skytte Midfielder
6.37
9
Tobias Hestad
Tobias Hestad
Attacker79'
6.5
6
Beinir Nolsøe
Beinir Nolsøe Midfielder
6.37
11
Marius Lindh
Marius Lindh Midfielder
6.37
16
Petur Knudsen
Petur Knudsen (C) Midfielder
6.37
29
Emil Joensen
Emil Joensen Midfielder
6.37
33
Michal Przybylski
Michal Przybylski Midfielder
6.57

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Emmanuel Ernest
Foul / 5th Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
Vincenzo Polito
Argument / 7th Yellowcard
90+7'
Event
Ryan Camenzuli → Vincenzo Polito
6th Substitution
90+6'
Event
Emmanuel Ernest → Emerson
7th Substitution
90+6'
90+4'
Event
Petur Knudsen
Penalty / 1st Penalty
Event
Messie Biatoumoussoka
Argument / 6th Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Kléri Serber
Foul / 4th Yellowcard
90+2'
Event
Damir Céter
Foul / 3rd Yellowcard
89'
Event
Kléri Serber → Ante Coric
5th Substitution
80'
79'
Event
Tobias Hestad → Sammy Skytte
3rd Substitution
79'
Event
Aron Knudsen → Filip Drinic
4th Substitution
73'
Event
Petur Knudsen
Foul / 2nd Yellowcard
Event
Ederson
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
59'
Event
Ante Coric
Field Goal / 2nd Goal
53'
Event
Ederson → Tobias Bjørnstad
1st Substitution
46'
Event
Villela → Jack Ipalibo
2nd Substitution
46'
1ST-HALF
43'
Event
Michal Przybylski
Field Goal / 1st Goal

Match Commentary

90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Vincenzo Polito receives a yellow card.
90
Update Update
Emmanuel Ernest is on, and Marcelina Emerson is off.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Red Card Red Card Important
Red card issued.
90
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal in the penalty shootout! Petur Knudsen scores, making it 1-2.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Kleri Serber receives a yellow card.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
89
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
87
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
80
Update Update
On comes Kleri Serber, replacing Ante Coric.
79
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: A. Petur Knudsen comes on for Filip Drinic.
79
Update Update
Tobias Hestad is on, and Sammy Skytte is off.
75
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
73
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Petur Knudsen.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
68
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
60
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Eder receives a yellow card.
55
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
53
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Ante Coric scores, bringing the match to 1-1.
46
Update Update
Lucas Villela comes on for Jack Ipalibo.
46
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Lucas Villela comes on for Jack Ipalibo.
46
Substitution Substitution
Eder is substituted off for Tobias Bjornstad.
43
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Michal Przybylski scores to make it 1-0.
41
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
40
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
27
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
19
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
2
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Jeremy Muller.

CONCLUSION

NSÍ completed the comeback required from the first leg by winning the second leg 2-1 away from home. The visitors controlled key moments after establishing their halftime advantage and limited Hamrun Spartans to a single goal despite the hosts holding more possession. Absence of disciplinary incidents allowed both teams to maintain full squads for the full ninety minutes. The result aligned with the designation of NSÍ as the stronger side entering the fixture. Overall the tie concluded with NSÍ advancing on aggregate after demonstrating greater consistency across both legs. Possession edges for Hamrun Spartans did not translate into enough scoring opportunities to overturn the deficit.