Hammarby vs Kalmar preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 12 Jul - 12:00 PM
Allsvenskan
Hammarby HAM
2 0
Kalmar KAL
Full Time Sun, 12 Jul 12:00 PM
Round 12 Regular Season
Paulos Abraham - 10'
A. Keita - 51' (Own Goal)
Goal
|

CONTEXT

Hammarby defeated Kalmar with a final score of 2-0. The match saw Hammarby leading 1-0 at halftime after scoring in the first half. They maintained their advantage and scored once more in the second half to confirm the victory. Possession was controlled by Hammarby at 56 percent while Kalmar held 44 percent. Expected goals metrics showed Hammarby at 2.18 and Kalmar at 1.16, reflecting a positive differential of 1.02. No red cards were shown to either side during the contest. The outcome proved consistent with the pre-game expectations for the stronger side. This result demonstrated clear alignment in various performance indicators.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hammarby recorded a significant 100 percent deviation in the match.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift remained in line with the stronger team.
  • xG alignment: The outcome aligned with xG as Hammarby posted 2.18 against 1.16.
  • Market alignment: The result stayed aligned with pre-match market indicators.
  • xG expectations: xG expectations showed a 1.02 differential favoring Hammarby.
  • Event impact: The halftime goal at 1-0 shaped the path to the 2-0 finish.
  • Red card distortion: No red cards occurred to distort the match flow.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
K. Karlsson
K. Karlsson
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
R. Wilde
R. Wilde
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
A. Spahić
A. Spahić
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
T. Dahlin
T. Dahlin
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Hammarby H. Rydström
H. Rydström
VS
Kalmar T. Koskela
T. Koskela
1.67
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
1.18
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Elfsborg Rank: 57 W
Häcken Rank: 61 L
AIK Rank: 60 L
GAIS Rank: 62 L
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
IFK Göteborg Rank: 55 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Örgryte Rank: 40 W
GAIS Rank: 62 L
Degerfors Rank: 47 W
Brommapojkarna Rank: 52 L
Halmstad Rank: 46 W
Sirius Rank: 67 L
2
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
2 - 0 - 0
0

Win Probabilities

Live Win Probability (90 Min)
Home Hammarby
0%
Draw
0%
Away Kalmar
0%

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.71
41.52
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
Kalmar
Power Score
68.71
41.52
League Position
2
12
Global Rank
266
760

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Kalmar — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Kalmar

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Kalmar

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Kalmar
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
36.96
26.70
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
26.70
36.96
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hammarby +1.06 Efficiency Index
vs
Kalmar -1.06 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Kalmar
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hammarby
vs
Kalmar
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hammarby Kalmar
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
21%
10%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.46 vs -0.12
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hammarby Kalmar
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
10%
21%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.12 vs -0.46
Hammarby
Kalmar
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hammarby
vs
Kalmar
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hammarby Kalmar
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hammarby 0.33
Kalmar 0.29
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hammarby Kalmar
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hammarby 0.00
Kalmar 0.04
Hammarby
Kalmar
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 15'.
  • HAM started the game with stronger pressure.
HAM Pressure KAL Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 15' (62.38).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home
2 matches
Kalmar KAL Away
Match Record
2
Wins
0
0
Draws
0
0
Losses
2
Goals
7
Goals Scored
2
2
Goals Conceded
7
+5
Goal Difference
-5
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-13T09:58:25+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-4-2
Pitch
W. Hahn
Suriname
1 W. Hahn
E. Skoglund
Sweden
2 E. Skoglund
V. Eriksson
Sweden
4 V. Eriksson
F. Winther
Denmark
3 F. Winther
N. Persson
Sweden
16 N. Persson
M. Karlsson
Sweden
8 M. Karlsson
T. Tekie
Substitution
Sweden
5 T. Tekie
M. Madjed
Substitution
Sweden
26 M. Madjed
N. Besara
Sweden
20 (C) N. Besara
V. Lind
Substitution
Denmark
9 V. Lind
P. Abraham
Substitution
Sweden
7 P. Abraham
S. Brolin
Sweden
1 S. Brolin
V. Larsson
Substitution
Sweden
2 V. Larsson
A. Keita
Substitution
United States
47 A. Keita
M. Hallberg
Sweden
5 (C) M. Hallberg
R. Jansson
Finland
4 R. Jansson
C. Gustafsson
Sweden
17 C. Gustafsson
R. Gojani
Sweden
23 R. Gojani
C. Sagoe Junior
England
24 C. Sagoe Junior
A. Magashy
Substitution
Nigeria
21 A. Magashy
C. Rosenquist
Substitution
13 C. Rosenquist
A. Olusanya
Substitution
Finland
11 A. Olusanya

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 12, 2026, 12:00 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 12 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tele2 Arena
Capacity
32000
Attendance
22833
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Kristoffer Karlsson
Robin Wilde
Almira Spahić
Teddy Dahlin

Statistics

Possession
HAM
56%
KAL
44%

Top Statistics

2 Goals 0
2 Big Chances Created 1
6 Shots 8
54 Dangerous attacks 35
56 Possession 44
5 Corners 1
11 Free kicks 12
2 Yellow Cards 0

Match Overview

97 Ball Safe 75
10 Goal Kicks 7
11 Goal Attempts 7
4 Substitutions 5
27 Throwins 8
8 Dribble Attempts 5
8 Successful Dribbles 5
62 Successful Dribbles Percentage 42

Attacking

113 Attacks 94

Possession

18 Long Passes 24
645 Passes 514
573 Successful Passes 447
89 Successful Passes Percentage 88
13 Key Passes 7

Defensive

0 Saves 5
15 Tackles 17
10 Interceptions 8
39 Duels Won 45

Build-up

10 Total Crosses 9

Discipline

0 Offsides 2
12 Fouls 11

Lineup

Referee : Kristoffer Karlsson

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
6.67
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
7.61
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
7.35
4
Victor Eriksson
Victor Eriksson Defender
7.03
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
6.66
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie Midfielder
6.78
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Midfielder63'
6.5
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
7.49
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
6.72
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei
Midfielder63'
6.59
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara (C) Midfielder
6.86
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
7.27
15
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Oliver Jordan Hagen
Attacker78'
6.76
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
7.75
29
Elohim Kaboré
Elohim Kaboré
Attacker78'
6.41
Referee : Kristoffer Karlsson

Starting XI ▼

1
S. Brolin
S. Brolin Goalkeeper
7.38
2
Victor Larsson
Victor Larsson Defender
6.27
3
S. Øverby
S. Øverby
Defender46'
6.85
4
R. Jansson
R. Jansson Defender
6.63
5
M. Hallberg
M. Hallberg (C) Defender
6.86
47
A. Keita
A. Keita Defender
6.53
12
Z. Råvik
Z. Råvik
Defender74'
6.48
13
C. Rosenquist
C. Rosenquist Midfielder
6.8
10
Marius Söderbäck
Marius Söderbäck
Midfielder67'
6.36
17
C. Gustafsson
C. Gustafsson Midfielder
6.95
21
A. Magashy
A. Magashy Midfielder
6.28
7
N. Chourak
N. Chourak
Midfielder46'
6.91
23
R. Gojani
R. Gojani Midfielder
6.66
24
Charles Sagoe Jr
Charles Sagoe Jr Midfielder
6.69
11
A. Olusanya
A. Olusanya Attacker
6.57
70
Emeka Nnamani
Emeka Nnamani
Attacker67'
6.78

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Victor Eriksson
2nd Yellowcard
90+3'
Event
Oliver Jordan Hagen → Montader Madjed
8th Substitution
78'
Event
Elohim Kaboré → Paulos Abraham
9th Substitution
78'
Event
Elohim Kaboré
1st Yellowcard
78'
74'
Event
Z. Råvik → A. Keita
7th Substitution
67'
Event
Emeka Nnamani → A. Olusanya
5th Substitution
67'
Event
Marius Söderbäck → C. Rosenquist
6th Substitution
Event
Frank Junior Adjei → Victor Lind
3rd Substitution
63'
Event
Oscar Johansson Schellhas → Tesfaldet Tekie
4th Substitution
63'
Event
A. Keita
Own Goal / 1st Own Goal
51'
46'
Event
N. Chourak → A. Magashy
1st Substitution
46'
Event
S. Øverby → Victor Larsson
2nd Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Paulos Abraham
Left foot shot / 1st Goal
10'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Melker Hallberg's right-footed shot is blocked.
90
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Victor Eriksson receives a yellow card.
87
Attempt Attempt
Oliver Hagen takes a left-footed shot, but it is saved.
85
Attempt Attempt
Melker Hallberg takes a right-footed shot but misses.
80
Attempt Attempt
Shot by Emeka Nnamani with his left foot, but it misses the target.
79
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Moise Kabore.
78
Update Update
Moise Kabore comes on for Paulos Abraham.
78
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Oliver Hagen comes on for Montader Madjed.
77
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a right-footed shot but misses.
74
Update Update
Zakarias Ravik comes on for Aboubacar Keita.
71
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
69
Attempt Attempt
Emeka Nnamani's right-footed shot is blocked.
67
Update Update
Emeka Nnamani is on, and Anthony Olusanya is off.
67
Update Update
Marius Soderback comes on for Charlie Rosenqvist.
65
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham's right-footed shot is saved.
64
Attempt Attempt
Frank Junior Adjei takes a right-footed shot but misses.
63
Update Update
On Frank Junior Adjei, off Victor Lind.
63
Update Update
On comes Oscar Johansson, off goes Tesfaldet Tekie.
61
Attempt Attempt
Charlie Rosenqvist takes a header shot, but it misses the target.
59
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Franck Winther takes a left-footed shot but misses.
58
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
58
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham's left-footed shot is saved.
57
Attempt Attempt
Charles Sagoe Jr. takes a left-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Attempt Attempt
Robert Gojani takes a right-footed shot but misses.
54
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Aboubacar Keita results in an own goal.
51
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Aboubacar Keita scores an own goal, making it 2-0.
49
Update Update
Match ends with a score of 2-0.
48
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
46
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued to Moise Kabore.
46
Update Update
Moise Kabore is on, and Paulos Abraham is off.
45
Update Update
Zakarias Ravik comes on for Aboubacar Keita.
41
Update Update
Emeka Nnamani comes on for Anthony Olusanya.
40
Update Update
Marius Soderback replaces Charlie Rosenqvist.
35
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Frank Junior Adjei comes on for Victor Lind.
32
Update Update
On comes Oscar Johansson, off goes Tesfaldet Tekie.
31
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
17
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! An own goal by Aboubacar Keita makes it 2-0.
17
Update Update
Sivert Engh Overby comes on for Victor Larsson.
16
Update Update
Nassef Chourak is on, and Abdussalam Magashy is off.
14
Update Update
First half ends with the score at 1-0.
14
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
10
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Corner awarded.
6
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
4
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paulos Abraham scores, making it 1-0.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Kristoffer Karlsson.

CONCLUSION

Hammarby completed a controlled performance to win 2-0 against Kalmar. Leading 1-0 at the interval allowed them to manage the second half with composure and add a further goal. The xG values of 2.18 to 1.16 confirmed the home side created the clearer openings throughout. A 56 to 44 possession edge enabled Hammarby to set the tempo and restrict Kalmar effectively. With no red cards issued the contest remained eleven versus eleven and free of major disruptions. The stronger team delivered an efficient display that matched the data projections and produced a deserved clean sheet.