Hammarby vs Degerfors preview

Sweden flag 2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden
Tele2 Arena Sun, 19 Jul - 2:30 PM
Allsvenskan
HammarbyHAM
4 0
DegerforsDegerfors
Full Time Sun, 19 Jul 2:30 PM
Round 13 Regular Season
Montader Madjed - 69', 75'
Goal
|

CONTEXT

In a dominant display, Hammarby defeated Degerfors by a score of 4-0. The match began with Hammarby asserting control early on, leading 1-0 at the halftime break. Degerfors struggled to create opportunities throughout the contest. Hammarby maintained 64 percent possession, allowing them to dictate the tempo and create numerous scoring chances. Their xG of 2.43 reflected the quality of their attacks, in contrast to Degerfors' 0.54. The outcome aligned perfectly with the pre-match expectations for the stronger side. No disciplinary issues arose with zero red cards issued to either team. The second half saw Hammarby extend their advantage significantly, showcasing efficient finishing and solid defensive organization.

TL;DR

  • Structural deviation: Hammarby exhibited a significant structural deviation of 100 percent.
  • Efficiency shift: The efficiency shift was in line with expectations for both teams.
  • xG alignment: The final result aligned with the xG values of 2.43 for Hammarby and 0.54 for Degerfors.
  • Market alignment: The outcome was consistent with market alignment indicators.
  • xG expectations: Hammarby met xG expectations by scoring four goals in the match.
  • Event impact: Match events produced a 4-0 score without major disruptions.
  • Red card distortion: Red card distortion was absent with no cards shown to either side.
No standings statistics available.
No head-to-head records found.
0.5+ goals: 85%
1.5+ goals: 70%
2.5+ goals: 50%
3.5+ goals: 25%
Confidence: High (≥8 matches)

Quality vs Volume

Home: xG 1.8, Shots 12, xG/Shot 0.15
Away: xG 1.5, Shots 14, xG/Shot 0.11

Open Play vs Set Play

Open Play: 65%
Set Play: 35%

Expected Points

TeamxPts
Home1.8
Away1.2
ℹ️ Methodology: Expected Goals (xG) measures shot quality
M. Al Hakim
M. Al Hakim
Referee • 25 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 30.4
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 4
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0.36
League Avg 0
A. Svensson
A. Svensson
1st Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
P. Leek
P. Leek
2nd Assistant • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
O. Forsberg
O. Forsberg
4th Official • 0 matches
Fouls / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Yellow Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Red Cards / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Penalties / Match
Referee 0
League Avg 0
Hammarby H. Rydström
H. Rydström
VS
Degerfors H. Goitom
H. Goitom
1.77
Avg Points / Game (Last 100 Matches)
0.83
1.5 i
Last 6 Opponents
Kalmar Rank: 52 W
Elfsborg Rank: 57 W
Häcken Rank: 61 L
AIK Rank: 61 L
GAIS Rank: 61 L
Malmö FF Rank: 64 W
Avg Points / Game (Last 6 Matches)
0.33 i
Last 6 Opponents
Västerås SK Rank: 50 L
Malmö FF Rank: 61 L
Brommapojkarna Rank: 52 D
Kalmar Rank: 52 L
GAIS Rank: 61 D
Mjällby Rank: 68 L
1
Head to Head (Wins - Draws - Losses)
1 - 1 - 0
0

Team Power Ranking

i
What is Power Ranking?
Power ranking is SportMonks' model-based team strength indicator. Historical input capped to 2 seasons.
68.77
47.02
0 (Weakest) 100 (Strongest)
Metric
Hammarby
Degerfors
Power Score
68.77
47.02
League Position
2
14
Global Rank
266
897

Form Analysis Opponent-Weighted

Line chart of recent results (points/trend). Friendlies excluded by default. Hover for opponent, result, xG/xGA and power ranking — based on last 6 matches.

–
vs
Hammarby — Opponent-weighted form score
Degerfors — Opponent-weighted form score
Win (3 pts) Draw (1 pt) Loss (0 pts) Hammarby Degerfors

Heatmaps Ball coordinates

Attack and defence zones from ball position data. Filters: last 6 matches (overall/home/away), time period, competition.

–
vs

Hammarby

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Degerfors

Left / Center / Right —
Opposition half density —
vs season average —

Possession Efficiency Possession-Adjusted

How effectively each team uses and defends their share of possession. Efficiency adjusted based on team possession percentage

Hammarby ⚠ Proxy
vs
⚠ Proxy Degerfors
Attacking Efficiency
Higher is better
Attacking Efficiency
37.34
25.28
Defensive Efficiency
Lower is better
Defensive Efficiency
25.28
37.34
Combined Efficiency Index Z-score combining attacking and defensive possession-adjusted efficiency.
Positive = above league average.
Negative = below league average.
Formula: EfficiencyIndex = z(AttackEff) − z(DefenceEff)
-3 0 3
Hammarby +1.24 Efficiency Index
vs
Degerfors -1.24 Efficiency Index
xG data unavailable for both teams. Values estimated using shots and dangerous attacks (proxy). Confidence: Medium.
Hammarby
Degerfors
AttackEff = xG ÷ pos
DefenceEff = xGA ÷ (1−pos)

Set Pieces Efficiency Attack & Defence

Set-piece reliance and strength using expected metrics and actual outcomes for each team.

Hammarby
vs
Degerfors
Created Set-piece attacking threat
Hammarby Degerfors
Set-piece xG Share Share of total expected goals generated from set pieces. Higher = more set-piece reliant in attack.
27%
69%
Goals per Match Average set-piece goals scored per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xG) Goals scored minus set-piece xG. Positive = overperforming; Negative = underperforming expectations.
-0.66 vs -0.37
Conceded Set-piece defensive exposure
Hammarby Degerfors
Set-piece xGA Share Share of total expected goals conceded from set pieces. Higher = more exposed to set pieces defensively.
69%
27%
Conceded per Match Average set-piece goals conceded per match.
0.00 0.00
vs Expected (xGA) Goals conceded minus set-piece xGA. Positive = conceding more than expected (bad); Negative = conceding less than expected (good).
-0.37 vs -0.66
Hammarby
Degerfors
xG Share = set-piece xG ÷ total xG
vs Expected = goals − set-piece xG

Counter / Transition Attack & Defence

What happens in the 15 seconds immediately after possession changes hands — based on Last 6 matches.

–
Hammarby
vs
Degerfors
Attack After Winning Possession transition → offence
Hammarby Degerfors
Goals per Match Average goals scored within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Shots per Match Average shots taken within 15s of winning the ball per match. ↑ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Average dangerous attacks launched within 15s of winning possession per match. ↑ better
—
—
Transition Efficiency Index Composite score (0–1) of how efficiently this team attacks within 15s of winning the ball. Higher = more dangerous on transition. Higher = stronger on the counter
Hammarby 0.36
Degerfors 0.36
Defence After Losing Possession loss → defensive exposure
Hammarby Degerfors
Goals Conceded Average goals conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Shots Conceded Average shots conceded within 15s of losing the ball per match. ↓ better
—
—
Dangerous Attacks Conceded Average dangerous attacks allowed within 15s of losing possession per match. ↓ better
—
—
Vulnerability Index Composite score (0–1) of how exposed this team is within 15s of losing the ball. Lower = better at preventing transition attacks. Lower = better transition defence
Hammarby 0.00
Degerfors 0.07
Hammarby
Degerfors
Window = 15s post-possession change
Index = 0–1 composite score

PRESSURE INDEX

Momentum phases from smoothed minute-by-minute pressure.

  • HAM had peak pressure around 37'.
  • Degerfors started the game with stronger pressure.
HAM Pressure Degerfors Pressure
⚡
Pressure Index: HAM reached the top pressure at 37' (100.00).

Team Head to Head Last 6 Seasons

Summary of 2 matches between these sides — filtered by competition and venue context.

Hammarby HAM Home
2 matches
Degerfors Degerfors Away
Match Record
1
Wins
0
1
Draws
1
0
Losses
1
Goals
2
Goals Scored
1
1
Goals Conceded
2
+1
Goal Difference
-1
Expected Goals
0
xG
0
0
xGA
0

Data last updated: 2026-07-20T00:00:30+00:00

STARTING XI

Match Formation 4-2-3-1
Match Formation 4-3-3
Pitch

General Information

Date & Time
Jul 19, 2026, 02:30 PM
Competition
2026 Allsvenskan, Sweden · Round 13 · Regular Season
Stadium
Tele2 Arena
Capacity
32000
Pitch Surface
Artificial turf
Weather
☀️ 12°C, Fair
Referees
Mohammed Al Hakim
Andreas Svensson
Pär Leek
Oscar Forsberg

Statistics

Possession
HAM
62%
Degerfors
38%

Top Statistics

4 Goals 0
3 Big Chances Created 0
6 Shots 4
58 Dangerous attacks 22
64 Possession 36
6 Corners 2
8 Free kicks 10
0 Yellow Cards 1

Match Overview

97 Ball Safe 71
4 Goal Kicks 9
14 Goal Attempts 3
5 Substitutions 5
20 Throwins 16
3 Assists 0
28 Dribble Attempts 20
9 Successful Dribbles 5
32 Successful Dribbles Percentage 25

Attacking

152 Attacks 84
1 Big Chances Missed 0

Possession

32 Long Passes 59
678 Passes 374
602 Successful Passes 296
89 Successful Passes Percentage 79
16 Key Passes 8
10 Successful Long Passes 25
31 Successful Long Passes Percentage 42

Defensive

1 Saves 7
23 Tackles 25
7 Interceptions 5
51 Duels Won 44

Build-up

15 Total Crosses 10
3 Accurate Crosses 7

Discipline

0 Offsides 4
10 Fouls 8

Lineup

Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

1
Warner Hahn
Warner Hahn Goalkeeper
7
2
Hampus Skoglund
Hampus Skoglund Defender
7.01
3
Frederik Winther
Frederik Winther Defender
6.97
24
Waylon Renecke
Waylon Renecke
Defender85'
6.47
6
Ibrahima Fofana
Ibrahima Fofana Defender
7.42
16
Noah Persson
Noah Persson Defender
7.15
33
Björn Hedlöf
Björn Hedlöf
Defender85'
6.59
8
Markus Karlsson
Markus Karlsson Midfielder
7.17
9
Victor Lind
Victor Lind Midfielder
8.23
28
Frank Junior Adjei
Frank Junior Adjei
Midfielder76'
6.54
11
Oscar Johansson Schellhas
Oscar Johansson Schellhas Midfielder
7.14
20
Nahir Besara
Nahir Besara (C) Midfielder
6.83
5
Tesfaldet Tekie
Tesfaldet Tekie
Midfielder64'
7.09
26
Montader Madjed
Montader Madjed Midfielder
2
9.73
7
Paulos Abraham
Paulos Abraham Attacker
7.63
29
Elohim Kaboré
Elohim Kaboré
Attacker77'
6.76
Referee : Mohammed Al Hakim

Starting XI ▼

38
Matvei Igonen
Matvei Igonen Goalkeeper
7.08
3
Nikolai Skuseth
Nikolai Skuseth Defender
6.55
13
Gideon Yaw
Gideon Yaw Defender
6.36
12
Erik Lindell
Erik Lindell
Defender69'
6.05
16
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson (C) Defender
6.31
7
Sebastian Ohlsson
Sebastian Ohlsson
Defender69'
6.15
18
Samba Diatara
Samba Diatara Defender
5.67
4
Kazper Karlsson
Kazper Karlsson Midfielder
6.9
8
Bilal Hussein
Bilal Hussein Midfielder
6.86
20
Elias Barsoum
Elias Barsoum Midfielder
6.64
11
Dijan Vukojevic
Dijan Vukojevic Attacker
6.31
21
Alexander Berisson
Alexander Berisson
Attacker77'
6.59
17
Arman Taranis
Arman Taranis Attacker
6.62
24
Olle Leonardsson
Olle Leonardsson
Attacker77'
6.44
23
Robin Dzabic
Robin Dzabic Attacker
6.74
19
Alexander Lindgren
Alexander Lindgren
Midfielder61'
5.95

Events

2ND-HALF
Event
Björn Hedlöf → Noah Persson
9th Substitution
85'
Event
Waylon Renecke → Frederik Winther
10th Substitution
85'
85'
Event
Alexander Lindgren
Foul / 1st Yellowcard
Event
Elohim Kaboré → Paulos Abraham
7th Substitution
77'
77'
Event
Alexander Berisson → Dijan Vukojevic
6th Substitution
77'
Event
Olle Leonardsson → Arman Taranis
8th Substitution
Event
Frank Junior Adjei → Victor Lind
5th Substitution
76'
Event
Montader Madjed
Left foot shot / 4th Goal
75'
Event
Tesfaldet Tekie
Right foot shot / 3rd Goal
73'
Event
Montader Madjed
Left foot shot / 2nd Goal
69'
69'
Event
Erik Lindell → Gideon Yaw
3rd Substitution
69'
Event
Sebastian Ohlsson → Sebastian Ohlsson
4th Substitution
Event
Tesfaldet Tekie → Nahir Besara
2nd Substitution
64'
61'
Event
Alexander Lindgren → Robin Dzabic
1st Substitution
1ST-HALF
Event
Paulos Abraham
Right foot shot / 1st Goal
40'

Match Commentary

90
Attempt Attempt
Kazper Karlsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
90
Attempt Attempt
Kazper Karlsson takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
85
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Bjorn Hedlof comes on for Noah Persson.
85
Update Update
Waylon Renecke is on, and Frederik Franck Winther is off.
85
Yellow Card Yellow Card Important
Yellow card issued.
78
Attempt Attempt
Moise Kabore takes a left-footed shot but misses.
77
Attempt Attempt
Moise Kabore takes a left-footed shot but misses.
77
Update Update
Moise Kabore comes on for Paulos Abraham.
77
Update Update
Moise Kabore comes on for Paulos Abraham.
76
Update Update
On Frank Junior Adjei, off Victor Lind.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Montader Madjed scores with a left-footed shot.
75
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! The score is now 4-0.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Shot by Tesfaldet Tekie with his right foot results in a goal.
73
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Tesfaldet Tekie scores, making it 3-0.
71
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Erik Lindell comes on for Gideon Yiriyon Yaw.
71
Update Update
On Sebastian Ohlsson, Off Sebastian Ohlsson.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Montader Madjed scores with a left-footed shot.
69
Attempt Attempt
Yiriyon Gideon's left-footed shot is blocked.
69
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Montader Madjed scores, making it 2-0.
69
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
64
Update Update
Tesfaldet Tekie comes on for Nahir Besara.
61
Attempt Attempt
Nahir Besara's right-footed shot is saved.
61
Substitution Substitution
Substitution: Alexander Lindgren comes on for Robin Dzabic.
58
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
57
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
54
Attempt Attempt
Yiriyon Gideon takes a left-footed shot but misses.
51
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a shot with his right foot, but it's saved.
45
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
44
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
44
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a right-footed shot, but it's saved.
44
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot, but it is blocked.
42
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed's left-footed shot is saved.
41
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paulos Abraham scores with a right-footed shot.
40
Attempt Attempt
Victor Lind takes a right-footed shot, but it is saved.
40
GOAL! GOAL! Important
Goal! Paulos Abraham scores to make it 1-0.
39
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
39
Attempt Attempt
Dijan Vukojevic takes a right-footed shot but misses.
36
Attempt Attempt
Montader Madjed takes a left-footed shot but misses.
36
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
35
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
34
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham takes a right-footed shot but misses.
34
Attempt Attempt
Paulos Abraham's right-footed shot is blocked.
32
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
28
Attempt Attempt
Noah Persson takes a left-footed shot but misses.
20
Attempt Attempt
Frederik Franck Winther attempts a header but misses the shot.
20
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
16
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
12
Attempt Attempt
Kazper Karlsson takes a right-footed shot but misses.
12
Corner Corner
Corner awarded.
9
Attempt Attempt
Arman Taranis takes a right-footed shot, but it is blocked.
1
Update Update
Kick-off! The referee is Mohammed Al-Hakim.

CONCLUSION

Final score detail: Hammarby 4-0 Degerfors. Structural assessment: Hammarby exhibited a significant deviation from the pre-match structural baseline. Efficiency outcome: Possession-adjusted chance creation finished in line with projected levels. Result alignment: The final score was consistent with the pre-match probability model. Market alignment: The match result was within the projected probability range.